Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-14896'>Jingrui Holdings</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-21047'>Ronshine China Holdings</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-216'>Tata Motors Ltd</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Jingrui HoldingsRonshine China HoldingsTata Motors Ltd

Morning Views Asia: Jingrui Holdings, Ronshine China Holdings, Tata Motors Ltd

Trung Nguyen

Tata Motors’ Q3/19-20 results were better than expected, with significant improvement in profitability. This was driven by the product mix, a continued recovery in China and better-than-guided cost savings. The financial risk profile has improved since end-September 2019, but remains weaker than that at FYE 2018-19. Liquidity remains adequate, especially at the JLR level. While we believe there will be a good chance that JLR’s operations will stabilise going forward, the coronavirus outbreak may change the situation. The continued rebound in sales in China (+24.3% in Q3/19-20) was a key driver for the performance in Q2 and Q3. Sales in China typically register above-average profitability as well. The new virus may hurt this recovery significantly; we suspect sales in China will collapse, at least in Q4.  While TML’s sales may rebound for a quarter or two due to the low system inventory, we believe this may be shortlived due to the sharp slowdown in the economy, with no sign of a turnaround so far. We do not expect any rating pressure (upwards or downwards) in the near future.

  Tata Motors’ Q3/19-20 results were better than expected, with significant improvement in profitability. This was driven by the product mix, a continued recovery in China and better-than-guided cost savings. The financial risk profile has improved since end-September 2019, but remains weaker than that at FYE 2018-19. Liquidity remains adequate, especially at the JLR level.   While we believe there will be a good chance that JLR’s operations will stabilise going forward, the coronavirus outbreak may change the situation. The continued rebound in sales in China (+24.3% in Q3/19-20) was a key driver for the performance in Q2 and Q3. Sales in China typically register above-average profitability as well. The new virus may hurt this recovery significantly; we suspect sales in China will collapse, at least in Q4.    While TML’s sales may rebound for a quarter or two due to the low system inventory, we believe this may be shortlived due to the sharp slowdown in the economy, with no sign of a turnaround so far.   We do not expect any rating pressure (upwards or downwards) in the near future. 

Tata Motors - Earnings Flash - Q3 FY 2019-20 Results - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-20744'>361 Degrees International</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-216'>Tata Motors Ltd</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.361 Degrees InternationalTata Motors Ltd

Morning Views Asia: 361 Degrees International, Tata Motors Ltd

As in 2018, Brexit and US-China trade relations took centre stage in 2019. With a phase-one trade deal between the US and China reached and an uncontrolled Brexit averted for the time being, almost all asset classes recorded strong performance during the year, including European HY. Going forward, Brexit and US-China trade relations may well remain major market drivers. Other potential drivers include the coronavirus outbreak in China, tensions in the Middle East and the development of US-EU trade relations. Our HY investment outlook opens with a discussion on the key macro developments that defined 2019, and the outlook for 2020. We then provide an overview of the HY market performance, and offer our top trade ideas for the year. Finally, we zoom in on the developments for key sectors and companies in our coverage universe, including outlooks and trade recommendations.

   As in 2018, Brexit and US-China trade relations took centre stage in 2019. With a phase-one trade deal between the US and China reached and an uncontrolled Brexit averted for the time being, almost all asset classes recorded strong performance during the year, including European HY. Going forward, Brexit and US-China trade relations may well remain major market drivers. Other potential drivers include the coronavirus outbreak in China, tensions in the Middle East and the development of US-EU trade relations.    Our HY investment outlook opens with a discussion on the key macro developments that defined 2019, and the outlook for 2020. We then provide an overview of the HY market performance, and offer our top trade ideas for the year. Finally, we zoom in on the developments for key sectors and companies in our coverage universe, including outlooks and trade recommendations. 

European High Yield Outlook 2020 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for January includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

  The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for January includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.  

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - January 2020 - Lucror Analytics

India

Tata Motors Limited manufactures cars and commercial automotive vehicles in India. The Company designs, manufactures and sells heavy commercial, medium commercial and small commercial vehicles including trucks, tankers, vans, buses, ambulances and minibuses. Tata also manufactures small cars and sports utility vehicles.

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Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN)

Morning Views Asia: Jingrui Holdings, Ronshine China Holdings, Tata Motors Ltd

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Tata Motors - Earnings Flash - Q3 FY 2019-20 Results - Lucror Analytics

Tata Motors’ Q3/19-20 results were better than expected, with significant improvement in profitability. This was driven by the product mix, a...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: 361 Degrees International, Tata Motors Ltd

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

European High Yield Outlook 2020 - Lucror Analytics

As in 2018, Brexit and US-China trade relations took centre stage in 2019. With a phase-one trade deal between the US and China reached and an...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - January 2020 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for January includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also...

Lucror Analytics

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