Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paytm-mobile-solutions-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26149:1" rel="noopener">Paytm (PAYTM IN)</a> plans to raise around US$2.5bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO. The company is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ant-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24240:1" rel="noopener">Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK)</a> (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a>), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> and counts <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1044:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl A (BRK/A US)</a> among its investors.</p></div><div><p>Paytm offers payment services, commerce and cloud services, and financial services to 333m consumers and over 21m merchants, as of Mar 21. It offers consumers a wide selection of payment options on the Paytm app. It also offers merchants solutions that allow them to accept payments, acquire and retain consumers, improve their business operations and access financial services.</p></div><div>
<p>We covered the deal background in our earlier notes:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/paytm-one-97-pre-ipo-the-positives-will-be-one-of-india-s-largest-ipos" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Paytm (One 97) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Will Be One of India’s Largest IPOs</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/paytm-one-97-pre-ipo-the-negatives-asking-valuations-a-long-shot" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Paytm (One 97) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Asking Valuations a Long Shot</a></li>
</ul>
</div><div><p>In this note, we will talk about the updates since our last note.</p></div>

Paytm (PAYTM IN) plans to raise around US$2.5bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO. The company is backed by Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK) (Alibaba Group (BABA US)), Softbank Group (9984 JP) and counts Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl A (BRK/A US) among its investors.Paytm offers payment services, commerce and cloud services, and financial services to 333m consumers and over 21m merchants, as of Mar 21. It offers consumers a wide selection of payment options on the Paytm app. It also offers merchants solutions that allow them to accept payments, acquire and retain consumers, improve their business operations and access financial services.
We covered the deal background in our earlier notes:

Paytm (One 97) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Will Be One of India’s Largest IPOs
Paytm (One 97) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Asking Valuations a Long Shot

In this note, we will talk about the updates since our last note.

Paytm (One 97) IPO - RHP Updates - Better Disclosures, Signs of Turning Around

<p>PB Fintech (PBF), India’s largest online platform for insurance and lending products, aims to raise up to US$793m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO. The company is backed by a strong set of investors including Info Edge, Tencent, Temasek, Tiger Global and Softbank.</p><p>The company operates two platforms: Policybazaar operates in India’s online insurance product and service industry; and Paisabazaar platform operates in India’s online credit industry. As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, the company is a leader in the online sphere in both segments. </p><p>Despite Paisabazaar having taken a hit due to COVID-19, the company has managed to grow its revenue by 80% over FY19-21. In addition, it has been able to rein in expenses as well leading to an improvement in margins. Although, it was still making losses in FY21. </p><p>On the flip side, its growth has come on the back of large ad spending and given the transactional nature of both of its platforms combined with the increase in competition, its ad spending will probably remain high. </p><p>We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous notes,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/pb-fintech-policybazaar-pre-ipo-the-positives-fast-growth" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PB Fintech (Policybazaar) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/pb-fintech-policybazaar-pre-ipo-the-negatives-patchy-data-strategy-missteps" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PB Fintech (Policybazaar) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Patchy Data, Strategy Missteps</a>.</p><p>In this note, we will talk about updates since our last note and valuations.</p>

PB Fintech (PBF), India’s largest online platform for insurance and lending products, aims to raise up to US$793m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO. The company is backed by a strong set of investors including Info Edge, Tencent, Temasek, Tiger Global and Softbank.The company operates two platforms: Policybazaar operates in India’s online insurance product and service industry; and Paisabazaar platform operates in India’s online credit industry. As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, the company is a leader in the online sphere in both segments. Despite Paisabazaar having taken a hit due to COVID-19, the company has managed to grow its revenue by 80% over FY19-21. In addition, it has been able to rein in expenses as well leading to an improvement in margins. Although, it was still making losses in FY21. On the flip side, its growth has come on the back of large ad spending and given the transactional nature of both of its platforms combined with the increase in competition, its ad spending will probably remain high. We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous notes,  PB Fintech (Policybazaar) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth and PB Fintech (Policybazaar) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Patchy Data, Strategy Missteps.In this note, we will talk about updates since our last note and valuations.

PB Fintech (Policybazaar) IPO - Increasing Competition Will Keep Ad Spending High

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) / Equity Capital Markets

<p>FSN E-commerce (Nykaa) aims to raise around US$720m, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Indian IPO. Nykaa is a lifestyle focussed e-commerce platform and consumer brand offering a portfolio of beauty, personal care and fashion products, including its own branded products. As per RedSeer, it was the largest Specialty Beauty and Personal Care Platform in India in terms of value of products sold in FY21.</p><p>As of March 21, it had 43.7m cumulative downloads across all its mobile applications. Its offline channel comprises 73 physical stores across 38 cities in India. It reported a gross merchandise value (GMV) of INR40,459.8m (around US$550m) in FY21. </p><p>Nykaa’s GMV, revenue and gross profit have more than doubled over FY19-21, even though the company suffered from a drop in orders due to COVID-19 in 4Q20 and 1Q21. Overall, GMV grew by 62.7% in FY20 and 50.7% in FY21. Revenue growth has broadly kept pace with GMV growth while the company has managed to turn a profit in FY21. </p><p>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/fsn-e-commerce-nykaa-pre-ipo-mixed-bag-fashion-growing-beauty-slowing" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) Pre-IPO - Mixed bag - Fashion growing, beauty slowing</a>. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</p>

FSN E-commerce (Nykaa) aims to raise around US$720m, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Indian IPO. Nykaa is a lifestyle focussed e-commerce platform and consumer brand offering a portfolio of beauty, personal care and fashion products, including its own branded products. As per RedSeer, it was the largest Specialty Beauty and Personal Care Platform in India in terms of value of products sold in FY21.As of March 21, it had 43.7m cumulative downloads across all its mobile applications. Its offline channel comprises 73 physical stores across 38 cities in India. It reported a gross merchandise value (GMV) of INR40,459.8m (around US$550m) in FY21. Nykaa’s GMV, revenue and gross profit have more than doubled over FY19-21, even though the company suffered from a drop in orders due to COVID-19 in 4Q20 and 1Q21. Overall, GMV grew by 62.7% in FY20 and 50.7% in FY21. Revenue growth has broadly kept pace with GMV growth while the company has managed to turn a profit in FY21. We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note, FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) Pre-IPO - Mixed bag - Fashion growing, beauty slowing. In this note, we will talk about valuations.

FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) IPO - Beauty Showing Signs of Improvement but Its Too Expensive for Our Taste

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> is the flagship index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 17 December.</p></div><div>
<p>The December review uses the market cap and turnover data from 1 May to 31 October to determine the stocks to be included and excluded from the index, and the announcement of the changes is done 4 weeks before the rebalance effective date.</p>
<p>With 6 days to go in the review period, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> as a high probability index addition. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> is the lowest ranked index constituent and is a likely deletion from the index.</p>
<p>There is a (slim) possibility of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> being deleted from the index if it fails the annualised traded value test. As it stands, it is touch and go for the stock.</p>
<p>Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> and sell over 3.5 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a>. If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> is deleted instead, passive trackers will need to sell 7 days of ADV on the stock.</p>
<p>In terms of delivery volumes, the impact is much larger with passive trackers needing to buy 8.5 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a>, while selling either 8.8 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> or 13 days on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a>.</p>
</div>

The S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) is the flagship index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The index has 30 stocks and is a free float weighted market cap index. The next rebalance will be effective after the close of trading on 17 December.
The December review uses the market cap and turnover data from 1 May to 31 October to determine the stocks to be included and excluded from the index, and the announcement of the changes is done 4 weeks before the rebalance effective date.
With 6 days to go in the review period, we see Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) as a high probability index addition. Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) is the lowest ranked index constituent and is a likely deletion from the index.
There is a (slim) possibility of Nestle India (NEST IN) being deleted from the index if it fails the annualised traded value test. As it stands, it is touch and go for the stock.
Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) and sell over 3.5 days of ADV on Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN). If Nestle India (NEST IN) is deleted instead, passive trackers will need to sell 7 days of ADV on the stock.
In terms of delivery volumes, the impact is much larger with passive trackers needing to buy 8.5 days on Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN), while selling either 8.8 days on Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) or 13 days on Nestle India (NEST IN).


Sensex Dec 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Should Be Added, Deletion Has An Interesting Option

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<p>This insight provides the output, and an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, which takes a three-pronged approach to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 largest stocks in the MSCI GEM Index. </p><p>The model is based on 1) a typical quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two Artificial Intelligence Technology-based approaches using 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model. </p><p>This model, which has been developed and tweaked over the past 3 years (and implemented in its current state for 17 months), has a solid real-world performance track record, which I set out in the detail below. </p><p>Notable new entrants to the top decile this month include the beaten-down Chinese tech names such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> as well as two Brazilian large caps in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vale-sa-7721577f-6c6a-4536-a829-92551c2bcd7f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27725:1" rel="noopener">Vale SA (VALE3 BZ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambev-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24454:1" rel="noopener">Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ)</a>.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col>
<col>
<col>
<col>
<col>
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 48pt;">rank</td>
<td style="width: 169pt;">Name</td>
<td style="width: 119pt;">Sector</td>
<td style="width: 95pt;">Location</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 48pt;">prev.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group (9901 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Discretionary</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Communication</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> </td>
<td>Information Technology</td>
<td>Korea (South)</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">4</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Information Technology</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">91</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Discretionary</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">34</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">6</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vale-sa-7721577f-6c6a-4536-a829-92551c2bcd7f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27725:1" rel="noopener">Vale SA (VALE3 BZ)</a> </td>
<td>Materials</td>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">7</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambev-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24454:1" rel="noopener">Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Staples</td>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">35</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambev-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24454:1" rel="noopener">Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ)</a> </td>
<td>Communication</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">43</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">9</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Financials</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">23</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Discretionary</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">79</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="text-align: left;">Source: FactSet financial data and analytics, my estimates and calculations, Tensorflow, Keras, Google Colaboratory, pandas</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p><em>As usual, please feel free to reach out for the full output table, any questions, clarifications needed or suggestions. </em></p>

This insight provides the output, and an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, which takes a three-pronged approach to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 largest stocks in the MSCI GEM Index. The model is based on 1) a typical quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two Artificial Intelligence Technology-based approaches using 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model. This model, which has been developed and tweaked over the past 3 years (and implemented in its current state for 17 months), has a solid real-world performance track record, which I set out in the detail below. Notable new entrants to the top decile this month include the beaten-down Chinese tech names such as Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK), Alibaba Group (9988 HK), Tencent (700 HK) , and JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) as well as two Brazilian large caps in Vale SA (VALE3 BZ) and Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ).









rank
Name
Sector
Location
prev.


1

New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group (9901 HK) 
Consumer Discretionary
China
10


2

NetEase (9999 HK) 
Communication
China
5


3

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) 
Information Technology
Korea (South)
16


4

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) 
Information Technology
China
91


5

Alibaba Group (9988 HK) 
Consumer Discretionary
China
34


6

Vale SA (VALE3 BZ) 
Materials
Brazil
38


7

Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ) 
Consumer Staples
Brazil
35


8

Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ) 
Communication
China
43


9

Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) 
Financials
China
23


10

JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) 
Consumer Discretionary
China
79

Source: FactSet financial data and analytics, my estimates and calculations, Tensorflow, Keras, Google Colaboratory, pandas

As usual, please feel free to reach out for the full output table, any questions, clarifications needed or suggestions. 

India

Tata Consultancy Services, a division of Tata Sons Limited, is a global IT services organization that provides a comprehensive range of IT services to its clients in diverse industries. The Company, caters to finance and banking, insurance, telecommunication, transportation, retail, manufacturing, pharmaceutical, and utility industries.

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Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN)

Paytm (One 97) IPO - RHP Updates - Better Disclosures, Signs of Turning Around

Paytm (PAYTM IN) plans to raise around US$2.5bn in its India IPO. The company is backed by Ant Fin, Softbank Group (9984 JP) and counts Berkshire...

Sumeet Singh

PB Fintech (Policybazaar) IPO - Increasing Competition Will Keep Ad Spending High

PB Fintech, India’s largest online platform for insurance and lending products, aims to raise up to US$793m in its India IPO. The company is backed...

Sumeet Singh

FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) IPO - Beauty Showing Signs of Improvement but Its Too Expensive for Our Taste

FSN E-commerce (Nykaa) aims to raise around US$720m in its Indian IPO. In this note, we will look at the recent updates and valuation.

Sumeet Singh

Sensex Dec 2021 Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Should Be Added, Deletion Has An Interesting Option

Near the end of the review period, we see Wipro as a high probability add. Bajaj Auto could be deleted as the lowest ranked constituent, but Nestle...

Brian Freitas

Screening for GEMs: October 2021

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

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