Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Over the next couple of weeks, we will focus on highlighting key earnings and what catches our attention in the conference calls</li>
<li>Top Large Cap Bullish Ideas include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-asset-management-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27027:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Asset Management Co Ltd (HDFCAMC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pvr-inox-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10144:1" rel="noopener">Pvr Inox (PVRINOX IN)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/d-b-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6044:1" rel="noopener">D.B. Corp Ltd (DBCL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indiamart-intermesh-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27733:1" rel="noopener">IndiaMart (INMART IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gopal-snacks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40960:1" rel="noopener">Gopal Snacks (GOPAL IN)</a> are names that we have a bearish view on. </li>
</ul>


Over the next couple of weeks, we will focus on highlighting key earnings and what catches our attention in the conference calls
Top Large Cap Bullish Ideas include HDFC Asset Management Co Ltd (HDFCAMC IN), Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) &amp; Pvr Inox (PVRINOX IN).

D.B. Corp Ltd (DBCL IN), IndiaMart (INMART IN) &amp; Gopal Snacks (GOPAL IN) are names that we have a bearish view on. 


Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Editions Are Back

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vishnu-chemicals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4917:1" rel="noopener">Vishnu Chemicals (VCL IN)</a>  is now backward integrated with the soda ash, CO2 Gas plant and ore requirement to overcome the challenge of raw material price volatility. </li>
<li>Company operated in niche &amp; specialty chemical segment and will launch detailed  capex plan in Q2 for forward integration. </li>
<li>Management aims to consolidate EBITDA margins around 17.5%-18% by year-end, with a target of achieving consistent margins at 20% over the next 2-3 years.</li>
</ul>



Vishnu Chemicals (VCL IN)  is now backward integrated with the soda ash, CO2 Gas plant and ore requirement to overcome the challenge of raw material price volatility. 
Company operated in niche &amp; specialty chemical segment and will launch detailed  capex plan in Q2 for forward integration. 
Management aims to consolidate EBITDA margins around 17.5%-18% by year-end, with a target of achieving consistent margins at 20% over the next 2-3 years.


The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals- Niche Business with High Growth Levers

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Shiva Pharmachem Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shiva-pharmachem-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40109:1" rel="noopener">Shiva Pharmachem Limited (9155347Z IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$110m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>It is a manufacturer in the Indian specialty chemicals business and was the largest manufacturer of acid and alkyl chlorides by volume in CY22 in India, as per Frost&amp;Sullivan .</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Shiva Pharmachem Limited (9155347Z IN) is looking to raise around US$110m in its India IPO.
It is a manufacturer in the Indian specialty chemicals business and was the largest manufacturer of acid and alkyl chlorides by volume in CY22 in India, as per Frost&amp;Sullivan .
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Shiva Pharmachem Pre-IPO - High Borrowings Along with Expansion Plans Leading to Liquidity Concerns

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aarti-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6583:1" rel="noopener">Aarti Industries (ARTO IN)</a>  is planning a huge capex of 2500 Cr, which will increase their PPE by more than 50% from current CWIP and new capex.</li>
<li>Company is targeting 1450 to 1700Cr EBITDA in next year which is almost 1.5x to 2x of the existing EBITDA.</li>
<li>Introducing new products in the value chain, which has high-value added and high margins.</li>
</ul>



Aarti Industries (ARTO IN)  is planning a huge capex of 2500 Cr, which will increase their PPE by more than 50% from current CWIP and new capex.
Company is targeting 1450 to 1700Cr EBITDA in next year which is almost 1.5x to 2x of the existing EBITDA.
Introducing new products in the value chain, which has high-value added and high margins.


The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries Ltd.- Capex, Growth, Value Addition!

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited / Event-Driven

Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited

<ul>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six months.</li>
<li>Momentum on the upward migrations could sustain as active managers reposition their portfolios. Some stocks will have passive flows over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new additions to MidCap.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other potential migrations with all stocks moving higher over the last six months.
Momentum on the upward migrations could sustain as active managers reposition their portfolios. Some stocks will have passive flows over the next few months.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers

India

Tata Chemicals Ltd. manufactures salt and salt by-products, alkalies and heavy chemicals, pharmaceuticals, fertilizers and agro-chemicals. The Company's salt products include common salt, pure salt and gypsum salt.  Heavy chemicals include soda ash, caustic soda and hydrochloric acid. Tata Chemicals' pharmaceuticals include bromides of ammonium, sodium, potassium and ethyl.

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Tata Chemicals (TTCH IN)

Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Editions Are Back

Focus on key earnings and conference calls. Top Large Cap Bullish Ideas: HDFC Asset Management, Bajaj Auto, Pvr Inox. Bearish view on D.B. Corp,...

Pranav Bhavsar

The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals- Niche Business with High Growth Levers

Vishnu Chemicals (VCL IN) aims to overcome raw material price volatility by backward integration and plans to improve EBITDA margins to 20% in the...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Shiva Pharmachem Pre-IPO - High Borrowings Along with Expansion Plans Leading to Liquidity Concerns

Shiva PharmaChem is looking to raise around US$110m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Akshat Shah

The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries Ltd.- Capex, Growth, Value Addition!

The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries - Aarti Industries plans significant capex to boost EBITDA and expand product offerings with high margins.

Sudarshan Bhandari

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers

We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new adds...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Editions Are Back

Focus on key earnings and conference calls. Top Large Cap Bullish Ideas: HDFC Asset Management, Bajaj Auto, Pvr Inox. Bearish view on D.B. Corp,...

Pranav Bhavsar

The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals- Niche Business with High Growth Levers

​Vishnu Chemicals (VCL IN) aims to overcome raw material price volatility by backward integration and plans to improve EBITDA margins to 20% in the...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Shiva Pharmachem Pre-IPO - High Borrowings Along with Expansion Plans Leading to Liquidity Concerns

Shiva PharmaChem is looking to raise around US$110m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Akshat Shah

The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries Ltd.- Capex, Growth, Value Addition!

The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries - ​Aarti Industries plans significant capex to boost EBITDA and expand product offerings with high margins.

Sudarshan Bhandari

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2024): Potential Changes as Momentum Recovers

We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 17 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, 19 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap and 2 new adds...

Brian Freitas

Vishnu Chemicals (VCL IN) aims to overcome raw material price volatility by backward integration and plans to improve EBITDA margins to 20% in the...

The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries - Aarti Industries plans significant capex to boost EBITDA and expand product offerings with high margins.