Energy Expert

Thierry Bros, PhD

Thierrybros.com

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In Saudi Arabia, the Saud family wants to launch an Initial Public Offering (IPO) for 5% of Saudi Aramco, the biggest worldwide oil company (10,1mb/d of oil produced in 2015) for more than $100bn while implementing the 0,5mb/d production cut agreed at the 30 November 2016 OPEC meeting. Could this opaque company be valued trillions of dollars as Saudi Arabia tells the Press? Maybe not!Or could after 39 years, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/811" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1">Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM US)</a>, via the IPO process, re-enter Saudi Aramco capital? Saudi…

In Saudi Arabia, the Saud family wants to launch an Initial Public Offering (IPO) for 5% of Saudi Aramco, the biggest worldwide oil company (10,1mb/d of oil produced in 2015) for more than $100bn while implementing the 0,5mb/d production cut agreed at the 30 November 2016 OPEC meeting. Could this opaque company be valued trillions of dollars as Saudi Arabia tells the Press? Maybe not!Or could after 39 years, Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM US), via the IPO process, re-enter Saudi Aramco capital? Saudi…

Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania

Assistant Professor at The Wharton School, Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania

Dr Arthur van Benthem

Assistant Professor at The Wharton School

The environmental agenda of President-elect Trump and his transition team is deeply troubling. Plans include dismantling or defunding the Environmental Protection Agency, scrapping the Paris Climate Accord, repealing the Clean Power Plan, relaxing auto emissions standards, increasing coal production, weakening the Endangered Species Act, and on and on. While Trump claims to have an “open mind” on climate, the transition at the EPA is led by Myron Ebell, a science denier who believes that free…

The environmental agenda of President-elect Trump and his transition team is deeply troubling. Plans include dismantling or defunding the Environmental Protection Agency, scrapping the Paris Climate Accord, repealing the Clean Power Plan, relaxing auto emissions standards, increasing coal production, weakening the Endangered Species Act, and on and on. While Trump claims to have an “open mind” on climate, the transition at the EPA is led by Myron Ebell, a science denier who believes that free…

Time for Corporate America to Stand up for the Environment

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

The Dudes Who Don't Matter. When I was studying MBA in New York, I met a senior at Lehman Brothers, and I must have said something like "Wow! You're already a Vice-President." And he was like..."Ah, there are so many Vice-Presidents on Wall Street. We don't matter."Truth is you could probably say the Vice-Presidential candidates of America. Unless the President dies (Kennedy, McKinley, Lincoln) before the term is over, the job description of Joe Biden seems to be recommending the best chicken…

The Dudes Who Don't Matter. When I was studying MBA in New York, I met a senior at Lehman Brothers, and I must have said something like "Wow! You're already a Vice-President." And he was like..."Ah, there are so many Vice-Presidents on Wall Street. We don't matter."Truth is you could probably say the Vice-Presidential candidates of America. Unless the President dies (Kennedy, McKinley, Lincoln) before the term is over, the job description of Joe Biden seems to be recommending the best chicken…

Battle of the Second Fiddles: Pence 1, Kane 0

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Chartonics flash  4 October 2016<div>Bullish energy theme for Q4</div>Oil is building energy for a rise out of noted bullish triangle patterns on the back of initial breakouts above RSI resistance levels. The July low in Brent missed our ideal 40.20 buy zone by a margin but does appear to have satisfied the corrective cycle that was followed by a rather mild pullback from early August that essentially formed the current triangle. Triangle patterns are formed when two cycles face off, in this case, the…

Chartonics flash  4 October 2016Bullish energy theme for Q4Oil is building energy for a rise out of noted bullish triangle patterns on the back of initial breakouts above RSI resistance levels. The July low in Brent missed our ideal 40.20 buy zone by a margin but does appear to have satisfied the corrective cycle that was followed by a rather mild pullback from early August that essentially formed the current triangle. Triangle patterns are formed when two cycles face off, in this case, the…

FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

Macroeconomics

The recent rising trend in the JPY and falling trend in the USD have had a life of their own this year, unwinding excessive positioning built up from end 2012 to mid-2015 for the JPY and from mid-2014 until January this year for the USD.  These trend reversals have contributed to the volatility in global markets that were being buffeted by the upheaval in Chinese markets and commodity prices, and more recently by Brexit fears. The rebounding JPY added to risk aversion, while the falling USD boosted risk appetite, the feedback from a falling to USD to a rising JPY added to the churn and uncertainty.  However, the JPY and USD have started to stabilize in recent days and excessive positioning appears to have been significantly cleansed, allowing markets to see more clearly improving conditions in Chinese and EM economies and focus on the rebound in commodity markets.  Brexit fears are likely to remain heightened and indeed may intensify as we approach the 23 June referendum.  This may tend to keep risk appetite and USD/JPY contained below 110.  But investors may still tend to seek out EM and commodity currencies to avoid negative rates and record low yields in major economies.  Brexit fears have weighed on European currencies and we may see further gains in EM and commodity currencies against the EUR.

The recent rising trend in the JPY and falling trend in the USD have had a life of their own this year, unwinding excessive positioning built up from end 2012 to mid-2015 for the JPY and from mid-2014 until January this year for the USD.  These trend reversals have contributed to the volatility in global markets that were being buffeted by the upheaval in Chinese markets and commodity prices, and more recently by Brexit fears. The rebounding JPY added to risk aversion, while the falling USD boosted risk appetite, the feedback from a falling to USD to a rising JPY added to the churn and uncertainty.  However, the JPY and USD have started to stabilize in recent days and excessive positioning appears to have been significantly cleansed, allowing markets to see more clearly improving conditions in Chinese and EM economies and focus on the rebound in commodity markets.  Brexit fears are likely to remain heightened and indeed may intensify as we approach the 23 June referendum.  This may tend to keep risk appetite and USD/JPY contained below 110.  But investors may still tend to seek out EM and commodity currencies to avoid negative rates and record low yields in major economies.  Brexit fears have weighed on European currencies and we may see further gains in EM and commodity currencies against the EUR.

AmpGFX - Calmer USD and JPY, Weaker EUR, More Upside for EM and Commodity Currencies

United States

Targa Resources Corp. owns general and limited partner interests in a limited partnership that provides midstream natural gas and natural gas liquid services.  The partnership gathers, compresses, treats, processes, and sells natural gas.  The Company also stores, fractionates, treats, transports, and sells natural gas liquids and related products.

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Targa Resources (TRGP US)

Saudi Aramco Value: $tn? Maybe Not!

In Saudi Arabia, the Saud family wants to launch an Initial Public Offering (IPO) for 5% of Saudi Aramco, the biggest worldwide oil company...

Thierry Bros, PhD

Time for Corporate America to Stand up for the Environment

The environmental agenda of President-elect Trump and his transition team is deeply troubling. Plans include dismantling or defunding the...

Dr Arthur van Benthem

Battle of the Second Fiddles: Pence 1, Kane 0

The Dudes Who Don't Matter. When I was studying MBA in New York, I met a senior at Lehman Brothers, and I must have said something like "Wow!...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Bullish Energy

Chartonics flash 4 October 2016Bullish energy theme for Q4Oil is building energy for a rise out of noted bullish triangle patterns on the back of...

Thomas Schroeder

AmpGFX - Calmer USD and JPY, Weaker EUR, More Upside for EM and Commodity Currencies

The recent rising trend in the JPY and falling trend in the USD have had a life of their own this year, unwinding excessive positioning built up...

Greg Gibbs

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