Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Average active fund returns of 6.75% match the iShares Asia Ex-Japan benchmark, with 50.8% of funds outperforming.</li>
<li>Technology Sector Again Drives Returns: Taiwan Technology contributes the most to absolute returns, aided by China &amp; HK and India positions.</li>
<li>Key Stock Overweights Pay Off: Overweights in SK Hynix, Tencent Holdings and HDFC Bank helped offset the drag from Cash holdings over the quarter.</li>
</ul>


Average active fund returns of 6.75% match the iShares Asia Ex-Japan benchmark, with 50.8% of funds outperforming.
Technology Sector Again Drives Returns: Taiwan Technology contributes the most to absolute returns, aided by China &amp; HK and India positions.
Key Stock Overweights Pay Off: Overweights in SK Hynix, Tencent Holdings and HDFC Bank helped offset the drag from Cash holdings over the quarter.


Active Asia Ex-Japan Q2 Performance Review:  Taiwan Tech Drives Returns, but Indonesia Costly

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 12th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,035.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,431mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Umc, Alchip Tech, Quanta Computer, Chung-Hsin, Cathay Financial, TSMC, Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, ASE.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 12th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,035.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,431mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Umc, Alchip Tech, Quanta Computer, Chung-Hsin, Cathay Financial, TSMC, Hon Hai, Ctbc Financial, ASE.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 12th): Umc, Alchip Tech, Quanta Computer, Chung-Hsin, TSMC

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +15.1% Premium; Will It Break Down to Lower Past Trading Levels?</li>
<li>UMC: +2.4% Premium; Can Consider Shorting This Historically High Level</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -3.1% Discount; Long The Spread Given Historically Extreme Discount</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +15.1% Premium; Will It Break Down to Lower Past Trading Levels?
UMC: +2.4% Premium; Can Consider Shorting This Historically High Level
ChipMOS: -3.1% Discount; Long The Spread Given Historically Extreme Discount


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread on Brink of Falling to Past Levels; UMC Extreme Premium

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to play the hand we have been dealt; i.e., riding the trend higher on the SPX and Nasdaq 100, and being overweight large-cap growth</li>
<li>Russell 1000 GrowthVs.Value ratio is breaking out from a 4-year base, suggesting growth's outperformance is likely to continue in the months ahead. Growth outperforming during bull markets is no surprise.</li>
<li>Latest bullish developments include the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQQE) breaking out from a 4-month base, while Discretionary (XLY) displays a 6-month base breakout and RS is reversing its YTD downtrend</li>
</ul>


We continue to play the hand we have been dealt; i.e., riding the trend higher on the SPX and Nasdaq 100, and being overweight large-cap growth
Russell 1000 GrowthVs.Value ratio is breaking out from a 4-year base, suggesting growth's outperformance is likely to continue in the months ahead. Growth outperforming during bull markets is no surprise.
Latest bullish developments include the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQQE) breaking out from a 4-month base, while Discretionary (XLY) displays a 6-month base breakout and RS is reversing its YTD downtrend


Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KKR raised around US$730m via selling some stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> Japan IPO in Sep 2023. Its remaining stake will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.</li>
<li>KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


KKR raised around US$730m via selling some stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Japan IPO in Sep 2023. Its remaining stake will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Kokusai Electric IPO Lock-Up - KKR Will Be Tempted by the US$2.7bn Release but Might Have to Wait

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

Active Asia Ex-Japan Q2 Performance Review: Taiwan Tech Drives Returns, but Indonesia Costly

Average active fund returns of 6.75% match the iShares Asia Ex-Japan benchmark, with 50.8% of funds outperforming on the quarter.

Steven Holden

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 12th): Umc, Alchip Tech, Quanta Computer, Chung-Hsin, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Umc, Alchip Tech, Quanta Computer, Chung-Hsin,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread on Brink of Falling to Past Levels; UMC Extreme Premium

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys

Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact $SPX $QQQ $IWM; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth $IWF $NVDA $AVGO $TSM $AMD $ASML $AAPL $MSFT...

Vermilion Research

Kokusai Electric IPO Lock-Up - KKR Will Be Tempted by the US$2.7bn Release but Might Have to Wait

As per media reports, KKR is considering sell half its stake in Kokusai, with the company planning to buyback some shares as well. The company has...

Sumeet Singh

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