Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC - ADR</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a> are the largest sells with buying spread across <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asml-holding-nv-b0092428-e3ec-4a92-bdd6-2f6eff7f1879" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28204:1" rel="noopener">ASML Holding NV</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology</a>.</li>
<li>The selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> will add to the selling from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> due to the market consultation.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.

TSMC - ADR and NVIDIA are the largest sells with buying spread across ASML Holding NV, Qualcomm Inc, Applied Materials and Micron Technology.
The selling in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) will add to the selling from the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) due to the market consultation.


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Global auto and EV sales in 2024 are heavily impacted by supply chain resilience, as emphasized by Cenex CEO Robert Evans.</li><li>Silicon Saxony in the EU is attracting global players with EUR50 billion investments, positioning itself as a semiconductor hub.</li><li>Chinese game developers are pushing AI boundaries by developing NPCs to virtual societies, while Samsung offers aggressive discounts in the US to compete with Apple's Korea strategy in 3Q24.</li></ul>

Global auto and EV sales in 2024 are heavily impacted by supply chain resilience, as emphasized by Cenex CEO Robert Evans.Silicon Saxony in the EU is attracting global players with EUR50 billion investments, positioning itself as a semiconductor hub.Chinese game developers are pushing AI boundaries by developing NPCs to virtual societies, while Samsung offers aggressive discounts in the US to compete with Apple's Korea strategy in 3Q24.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Sep-2024): Global auto and EV sales: 2024.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Top Gainers/Loser: Taiwan Tech Stocks Hit Hard Last Week By Global AI/Tech Pullback</li>
<li>Key Events This Week: Major Earnings Week Including UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, Microsoft</li>
<li>TechChain Insights: Call with Silicon Motion; QLC NAND Emerging as Key Enabler for AI Devices </li>
</ul>


Top Gainers/Loser: Taiwan Tech Stocks Hit Hard Last Week By Global AI/Tech Pullback
Key Events This Week: Major Earnings Week Including UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, Microsoft
TechChain Insights: Call with Silicon Motion; QLC NAND Emerging as Key Enabler for AI Devices 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hit Hard By AI/Tech Pullback; Watch UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, MSFT Earnings

<ul>
<li>TSMC Extends Global Foundry Dominance Amid 33% Sales Surge – A Buy on Weakness Despite Market Concerns</li>
<li>Apple 'Glowtime' AI Announcements: Mixed Analyst and Media Reactions May Overlook Key Advantage — Apple Is Best Positioned to Seamlessly Integrate AI Into Your Smartphone Experience</li>
<li>Taiwan Market Gainers &amp; Losers: Consumer Electronics &amp; Memory Names Some of the Hardest Hit</li>
</ul>


TSMC Extends Global Foundry Dominance Amid 33% Sales Surge – A Buy on Weakness Despite Market Concerns
Apple 'Glowtime' AI Announcements: Mixed Analyst and Media Reactions May Overlook Key Advantage — Apple Is Best Positioned to Seamlessly Integrate AI Into Your Smartphone Experience
Taiwan Market Gainers &amp; Losers: Consumer Electronics &amp; Memory Names Some of the Hardest Hit


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Becoming More Dominant; Apple's AI Opportunity; Taiwan Market Hammered

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>TSMC guided Q324 revenues of $22.8 billion at the midpoint, up 9.5% QoQ and up 32% YoY</li>
<li>Increased full year guidance to be above mid-20% YoY growth in US dollar terms</li>
<li>Share price has declined ~14% from its 52 week high but still up &gt;2x from its 52 week low. Many will view this pullback as a gift, we certainly do...</li>
</ul>


TSMC guided Q324 revenues of $22.8 billion at the midpoint, up 9.5% QoQ and up 32% YoY
Increased full year guidance to be above mid-20% YoY growth in US dollar terms
Share price has declined ~14% from its 52 week high but still up &gt;2x from its 52 week low. Many will view this pullback as a gift, we certainly do...


Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Sep-2024): Global auto and EV sales: 2024.

Global auto and EV sales projected for 2024; Chinese game devs push AI boundaries, while Silicon Saxony attracts investment, and EV development...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hit Hard By AI/Tech Pullback; Watch UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, MSFT Earnings

A recap of last week's gainers and losers plus key events to watch out for this week and recently published research pieces.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Becoming More Dominant; Apple's AI Opportunity; Taiwan Market Hammered

TSMC extending its lead in global foundry with Intel and Samsung needing help. Apple best positioned deliver the AI phone 'dream'. Taiwan market...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC. Take The Pullback Gift

Q324 revenues $22.8 billion, up 9.5% QoQ & up 32% YoY. FY24 guidance raised to >25% YoY. Share price down 14% from 52 week high but still up >2x...

William Keating

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Sep-2024): Global auto and EV sales: 2024.

Global auto and EV sales projected for 2024; Chinese game devs push AI boundaries, while Silicon Saxony attracts investment, and EV development...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hit Hard By AI/Tech Pullback; Watch UMC, Mediatek, Realtek, AMD, MSFT Earnings

A recap of last week's gainers and losers plus key events to watch out for this week and recently published research pieces.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Becoming More Dominant; Apple's AI Opportunity; Taiwan Market Hammered

​TSMC extending its lead in global foundry with Intel and Samsung needing help. Apple best positioned deliver the AI phone 'dream'. Taiwan market...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC. Take The Pullback Gift

Q324 revenues $22.8 billion, up 9.5% QoQ & up 32% YoY. FY24 guidance raised to >25% YoY. Share price down 14% from 52 week high but still up >2x...

William Keating

TSMC extending its lead in global foundry with Intel and Samsung needing help. Apple best positioned deliver the AI phone 'dream'. Taiwan market...