Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ASPEED blazing a trail with 92.9% YoY revenue growth in May</li>
<li>Quanta, WiWynn, TSMC and Nanya all &gt; 30% YoY revenue growth in May</li>
<li>TSMC looking likely to exceed 30% YoY revenue growth in 2024</li>
</ul>


ASPEED blazing a trail with 92.9% YoY revenue growth in May
Quanta, WiWynn, TSMC and Nanya all &gt; 30% YoY revenue growth in May
TSMC looking likely to exceed 30% YoY revenue growth in 2024


Taiwan Semis May '24 Revenue Roundup. Looking Good Across The Board

<ul>
<li>Intel, AMD &amp; Qualcomm all lined up in support of Microsoft's CoPilot+ PC program during the Computex 2024 keynotes last week.  </li>
<li>While Qualcomm is all in and AMD mostly too, Intel's support is more passive agressive in nature. We outline how &amp; why this is the case</li>
<li>On Friday June 7, reacting to customer feedback, Microsoft announced that their CoPilot+ Recall feature will now become disabled out of the box by default. Ouch!</li>
</ul>


Intel, AMD &amp; Qualcomm all lined up in support of Microsoft's CoPilot+ PC program during the Computex 2024 keynotes last week.  
While Qualcomm is all in and AMD mostly too, Intel's support is more passive agressive in nature. We outline how &amp; why this is the case
On Friday June 7, reacting to customer feedback, Microsoft announced that their CoPilot+ Recall feature will now become disabled out of the box by default. Ouch!


Computex 2024 & The Drama Of The CoPilot+ PC Launch

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC reduced 2023 revenue guidance when it reported results during the week. A weaker than expected economy in China and general economic weakness was blamed.</li>
<li>However, the company's results beat Street expectations and management maintained its long-term gross margin guidance of 53%+, which implies the company maintaining a structurally higher margin.</li>
<li>Shares fell after results on a profit taking excuse -- We however note that latest guidance also reaffirmed multi-year strength ahead. Structural Long.</li>
</ul>


TSMC reduced 2023 revenue guidance when it reported results during the week. A weaker than expected economy in China and general economic weakness was blamed.
However, the company's results beat Street expectations and management maintained its long-term gross margin guidance of 53%+, which implies the company maintaining a structurally higher margin.
Shares fell after results on a profit taking excuse -- We however note that latest guidance also reaffirmed multi-year strength ahead. Structural Long.


TSMC: 2023 Guidance Reduction Excuse To Take Profit? Guidance Also Affirmed Long-Term Bullishness

<ul>
<li>Q124 revenue was $12.7 billion, down 17.5% QoQ but up 9% YoY.</li>
<li>Q224 revenue forecast of just $13 billion &amp; vague promise of full year YoY growth disappoints</li>
<li>Capacity constraints on wafer level assembly limited Meteor Lake shipments. So much for a maniacal focus on execution.</li>
</ul>


Q124 revenue was $12.7 billion, down 17.5% QoQ but up 9% YoY.
Q224 revenue forecast of just $13 billion &amp; vague promise of full year YoY growth disappoints
Capacity constraints on wafer level assembly limited Meteor Lake shipments. So much for a maniacal focus on execution.


Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a>'s 2Q24F outlook is experiencing a slight upward now, possibly indicating a positive QoQ.  </li>
<li>UMC's notable contributors are showing a mixed outlook, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a> could be the most influencer.</li>
<li>Attention should be paid to the 3Q24F outlook for any potential changes and a shift from a bearish view could positively impact the outlook, potentially signaling the end of downturn.  </li>
</ul>



United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)'s 2Q24F outlook is experiencing a slight upward now, possibly indicating a positive QoQ.  
UMC's notable contributors are showing a mixed outlook, and Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) could be the most influencer.
Attention should be paid to the 3Q24F outlook for any potential changes and a shift from a bearish view could positively impact the outlook, potentially signaling the end of downturn.  


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ.

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

eMemory Technology, Inc. develops and provides logic non-volatile memory (LogicNVM) technology. The company licenses its intellectual property to semiconductor foundries, integrated devices manufacturers (IDMs), and fabless design houses around the world.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation offers integrated circuit foundry services.  The Company manufactures 0.18um logic, mixed-signal, analog, high voltage, low power, CMOS RF, flash, embedded memory, and bipolar CMOS DMOS semiconductors.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Semis May '24 Revenue Roundup. Looking Good Across The Board

ASPEED blazing a trail with 92.9% YoY revenue growth in May. Quanta, WiWynn, TSMC and Nanya all > 30% YoY. TSMC looking likely to hit >30% YoY...

William Keating

Computex 2024 & The Drama Of The CoPilot+ PC Launch

While Qualcomm is all in and AMD mostly too, Intel's CoPilot+ support is more passive agressive in nature. We outline how & why this is the case...

William Keating

TSMC: 2023 Guidance Reduction Excuse To Take Profit? Guidance Also Affirmed Long-Term Bullishness

Results beat Street expectations and management maintained its long-term gross margin guidance of 53%+, which implies the company maintaining a...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel. Just Check Back In Again In 2026

Q124 revenue $12.7 billion, -17.5% QoQ but +9% YoY. Q224 forecast of $13 billion, vague promise of full year YoY growth & capacity constraints on...

William Keating

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ.

UMC's 2Q24F outlook is slightly improving, with Novatek Microelectronics Corp potentially being a key influencer. Keep an eye on the 3Q24F outlook...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Semis May '24 Revenue Roundup. Looking Good Across The Board

ASPEED blazing a trail with 92.9% YoY revenue growth in May. Quanta, WiWynn, TSMC and Nanya all > 30% YoY. TSMC looking likely to hit >30% YoY...

William Keating

Computex 2024 & The Drama Of The CoPilot+ PC Launch

While Qualcomm is all in and AMD mostly too, Intel's CoPilot+ support is more passive agressive in nature. We outline how & why this is the case...

William Keating

TSMC: 2023 Guidance Reduction Excuse To Take Profit? Guidance Also Affirmed Long-Term Bullishness

Results beat Street expectations and management maintained its long-term gross margin guidance of 53%+, which implies the company maintaining a...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel. Just Check Back In Again In 2026

Q124 revenue $12.7 billion, -17.5% QoQ but +9% YoY. Q224 forecast of $13 billion, vague promise of full year YoY growth & capacity constraints on...

William Keating

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ.

​UMC's 2Q24F outlook is slightly improving, with Novatek Microelectronics Corp potentially being a key influencer. Keep an eye on the 3Q24F outlook...

Patrick Liao

UMC's 2Q24F outlook is slightly improving, with Novatek Microelectronics Corp potentially being a key influencer. Keep an eye on the 3Q24F outlook...