Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC snags $6.6 billion in US CHIPS Act funding, along with loans up to $5 billion and tax credits up to 25% on eligible capital expenditures</li>
<li>TSMC has committed to building a third fab in Arizona, scheduled to begin operations around 2030</li>
<li>TSMC's reiteration of their world class CAGR, Gross Margin &amp; ROE numbers shines a light on Intel's vastly inferior performance outlook.</li>
</ul>


TSMC snags $6.6 billion in US CHIPS Act funding, along with loans up to $5 billion and tax credits up to 25% on eligible capital expenditures
TSMC has committed to building a third fab in Arizona, scheduled to begin operations around 2030
TSMC's reiteration of their world class CAGR, Gross Margin &amp; ROE numbers shines a light on Intel's vastly inferior performance outlook.


TSMC Snags US CHIPS Act Funding & Ups The Ante On Intel

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>Today, the U.S. Department of Commerce and TSMC Arizona have signed a non-binding preliminary memorandum of terms for US$6.6 billion in direct funding under the CHIPS and Science Act.</li>
<li>We estimate the impact of the earthquake on April 3rd should result in a loss of within 0.5% in 2Q24F, which means it should not affect our 2Q24F revenue expectations.</li>
<li>TSMC's 1st Japan Fab is expected to commence pilot production in February, and the 2nd Fab is projected to begin production of N6/N7 in 2027F.</li>
</ul>


Today, the U.S. Department of Commerce and TSMC Arizona have signed a non-binding preliminary memorandum of terms for US$6.6 billion in direct funding under the CHIPS and Science Act.
We estimate the impact of the earthquake on April 3rd should result in a loss of within 0.5% in 2Q24F, which means it should not affect our 2Q24F revenue expectations.
TSMC's 1st Japan Fab is expected to commence pilot production in February, and the 2nd Fab is projected to begin production of N6/N7 in 2027F.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +16.2%, Bounced Back to Historically Extreme Level, Consider Short</li>
<li>UMC: -0.3% Discount, Flipped to Positive and Now Negative Again</li>
<li>ASE: +15.3% Premium; Bounced Back to Extreme Highs, Short the Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +16.2%, Bounced Back to Historically Extreme Level, Consider Short
UMC: -0.3% Discount, Flipped to Positive and Now Negative Again
ASE: +15.3% Premium; Bounced Back to Extreme Highs, Short the Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Spreads Bounce Back to Historically Extreme Highs

<ul>
<li>TSMC Q2 2024 outlook is expected to increase by approximately 5% QoQ, with 2024 projected Capex to see a slight uptick. </li>
<li>Intel is expected to adopt <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC</a> N3B technology in 2Q24F, while we anticipate that MediaTek will transition to N3E by the end of 3Q24F.  </li>
<li>Intel has received financial assistance of US$8 billion through the US Chips and Science Act, and TSMC is also projected to receive around US$5 billion.</li>
</ul>


TSMC Q2 2024 outlook is expected to increase by approximately 5% QoQ, with 2024 projected Capex to see a slight uptick. 
Intel is expected to adopt TSMC N3B technology in 2Q24F, while we anticipate that MediaTek will transition to N3E by the end of 3Q24F.  
Intel has received financial assistance of US$8 billion through the US Chips and Science Act, and TSMC is also projected to receive around US$5 billion.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2Q24F Preview; TSMC Is Anticipated to Receive ~US$5Bn from the US Chip Act.

<ul>
<li>Quanta surged with major server wins from Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon. Nanya Tech results are two weeks ahead and Intel will host a webinar this week about its Foundry business.</li>
<li>Mediatek: Accelerating Momentum in Automotive, Data Center, and AI Memory Solutions </li>
<li>Hon Hai (Foxconn): After the 50% Surge, Where Can It Go From Here? </li>
</ul>


Quanta surged with major server wins from Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon. Nanya Tech results are two weeks ahead and Intel will host a webinar this week about its Foundry business.
Mediatek: Accelerating Momentum in Automotive, Data Center, and AI Memory Solutions 
Hon Hai (Foxconn): After the 50% Surge, Where Can It Go From Here? 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Quanta Surging on Nvidia Server Orders; Nanya Results Ahead; Intel Foundry Event

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

TSMC Snags US CHIPS Act Funding & Ups The Ante On Intel

TSMC gets $6.6 billion US CHIPS Act funding & will build a third fab in Arizona, scheduled to open in 2030. They also reminded us of their world...

William Keating

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab.

US Department of Commerce and TSMC Arizona sign $6.6 billion deal; earthquake impact minimal on TSMC revenue; TSMC's 1st Japan Fab to start...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Spreads Bounce Back to Historically Extreme Highs

ADR spreads for TSMC and ASE have bounced back to historically high levels, opening potential shorting opportunities. CHT bounced back from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2Q24F Preview; TSMC Is Anticipated to Receive ~US$5Bn from the US Chip Act.

TSMC's Q2 2024 outlook to increase by 5%, Intel to adopt TSMC N3B technology, and both companies to receive financial assistance through US Chips...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Quanta Surging on Nvidia Server Orders; Nanya Results Ahead; Intel Foundry Event

Quanta sees stock surge with server wins, Mediatek accelerates expansion in automotive and data center solutions. Intel will host a webinar about...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC Snags US CHIPS Act Funding & Ups The Ante On Intel

TSMC gets $6.6 billion US CHIPS Act funding & will build a third fab in Arizona, scheduled to open in 2030. They also reminded us of their world...

William Keating

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab.

​US Department of Commerce and TSMC Arizona sign $6.6 billion deal; earthquake impact minimal on TSMC revenue; TSMC's 1st Japan Fab to start...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Spreads Bounce Back to Historically Extreme Highs

ADR spreads for TSMC and ASE have bounced back to historically high levels, opening potential shorting opportunities. CHT bounced back from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2Q24F Preview; TSMC Is Anticipated to Receive ~US$5Bn from the US Chip Act.

​TSMC's Q2 2024 outlook to increase by 5%, Intel to adopt TSMC N3B technology, and both companies to receive financial assistance through US Chips...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Quanta Surging on Nvidia Server Orders; Nanya Results Ahead; Intel Foundry Event

​Quanta sees stock surge with server wins, Mediatek accelerates expansion in automotive and data center solutions. Intel will host a webinar about...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

US Department of Commerce and TSMC Arizona sign $6.6 billion deal; earthquake impact minimal on TSMC revenue; TSMC's 1st Japan Fab to start...

TSMC's Q2 2024 outlook to increase by 5%, Intel to adopt TSMC N3B technology, and both companies to receive financial assistance through US Chips...

Quanta sees stock surge with server wins, Mediatek accelerates expansion in automotive and data center solutions. Intel will host a webinar about...