Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>While much focus has been on EURO/USD cross, Asian currencies haven’t seen that much focus due to range-bound markets.</li><li>That is until two weeks ago when the USD/YEN breakout caught the imagination and became the centre of all things foreign exchange. Bonds &amp; short-term interest rates have been the macro focus of 2022.</li><li>The extent to which US bond yields have risen signals that the bond sell-off is not about to end despite the inverted yield curve. It is likely to cause more pain for EM countries.</li></ul>

While much focus has been on EURO/USD cross, Asian currencies haven’t seen that much focus due to range-bound markets.That is until two weeks ago when the USD/YEN breakout caught the imagination and became the centre of all things foreign exchange. Bonds &amp; short-term interest rates have been the macro focus of 2022.The extent to which US bond yields have risen signals that the bond sell-off is not about to end despite the inverted yield curve. It is likely to cause more pain for EM countries.

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>South Korean battery makers stand to benefit from Tesla's production issues with 46800 cells, boosting profitability in May 2024.</li><li>STMicro and Panasonic Cycle Tech team up to introduce AI technology in e-bikes, making safety enhancements more affordable and accessible.</li><li>Axelera AI secures US$68 million for global expansion in AI, recognizing computing as the new currency and focusing on growth in the tech industry.</li></ul>

South Korean battery makers stand to benefit from Tesla's production issues with 46800 cells, boosting profitability in May 2024.STMicro and Panasonic Cycle Tech team up to introduce AI technology in e-bikes, making safety enhancements more affordable and accessible.Axelera AI secures US$68 million for global expansion in AI, recognizing computing as the new currency and focusing on growth in the tech industry.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Jun-2024): Notebook shipment update May 2024

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Humanoid robot development is rapidly advancing with improvements in AI, mobility, and interaction capabilities, exciting progress being made.</li><li>China's cloud service spending expected to surge 20% by 2024, with the country leading the hydrogen race through policies and demand.</li><li>Former TSMC R&amp;D director sheds light on Taiwan chip industry facing geopolitical shifts, reaching a crucial crossroads amidst declining semiconductor market.</li></ul>

Humanoid robot development is rapidly advancing with improvements in AI, mobility, and interaction capabilities, exciting progress being made.China's cloud service spending expected to surge 20% by 2024, with the country leading the hydrogen race through policies and demand.Former TSMC R&amp;D director sheds light on Taiwan chip industry facing geopolitical shifts, reaching a crucial crossroads amidst declining semiconductor market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Jun-2024): Humanoid robot develpment status.

TYC Brother Industrial / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>TYC Brother Industrial is set to dominate the NEV market with a US plant scheduled to be operational by the first quarter of 2025.</li><li>Despite sanctions, a Russian company has introduced the MP21 SBC to rival the Raspberry Pi 5, showcasing the competitiveness of the technology market.</li><li>Cerebras and Dell have joined forces to challenge Nvidia in the AI market, highlighting the growth of AI accelerator technology for servers. Taiwan's carbon market is advancing with new initiatives and regulations, while the UK collaborates with Taiwan to lead in semiconductors at Semi-Impact forum. India is ramping up cobalt supply efforts to meet growing demand.</li></ul>

TYC Brother Industrial is set to dominate the NEV market with a US plant scheduled to be operational by the first quarter of 2025.Despite sanctions, a Russian company has introduced the MP21 SBC to rival the Raspberry Pi 5, showcasing the competitiveness of the technology market.Cerebras and Dell have joined forces to challenge Nvidia in the AI market, highlighting the growth of AI accelerator technology for servers. Taiwan's carbon market is advancing with new initiatives and regulations, while the UK collaborates with Taiwan to lead in semiconductors at Semi-Impact forum. India is ramping up cobalt supply efforts to meet growing demand.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Jun-2024): TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEVs; US plant ready by 1Q25.

<ul><li>Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI capabilities, enhancing customization options for users.</li><li>CuspAI receives US$30M funding, partners with Geoffrey Hinton to address climate change using advanced materials.</li><li>Global IC fab capacity expected to grow by 6% in 2024 and 7% in 2025, with Taiwan playing a key role in AI innovation.</li></ul>

Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI capabilities, enhancing customization options for users.CuspAI receives US$30M funding, partners with Geoffrey Hinton to address climate change using advanced materials.Global IC fab capacity expected to grow by 6% in 2024 and 7% in 2025, with Taiwan playing a key role in AI innovation.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

eMemory Technology, Inc. develops and provides logic non-volatile memory (LogicNVM) technology. The company licenses its intellectual property to semiconductor foundries, integrated devices manufacturers (IDMs), and fabless design houses around the world.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation offers integrated circuit foundry services.  The Company manufactures 0.18um logic, mixed-signal, analog, high voltage, low power, CMOS RF, flash, embedded memory, and bipolar CMOS DMOS semiconductors.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

A powder keg

While much focus has been on EURO/USD cross, Asian currencies haven’t seen that much focus due to range-bound markets. That is until two weeks ago...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (29-Jun-2024): Notebook shipment update May 2024

May 2024 notebook shipment update, Tesla's production issues benefit South Korean battery makers, AI technology in e-bikes, Axelera AI secures $68M...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Jun-2024): Humanoid robot develpment status.

Robot development advances with AI, mobility, and interaction improvements; China cloud spending to surge; Polish photonics foundation solidified;...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Jun-2024): TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEVs; US plant ready by 1Q25.

TYC Brother Industrial excels in NEV market; Russian company competes with Raspberry Pi 5; Cerebras teams up with Dell in AI market; Taiwan's...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jun-2024): Fujitsu launches new AI customization platform.

Fujitsu launches GenAI platform for advanced AI, CuspAI secures funding for climate change efforts, IC fab capacity to grow, Lumai boosts AI with...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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