Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC says limited impact from U.S. China restrictions -- We crosscheck the comments.</li>
<li>TSMC guidance was strong and gives hope for 1H23 industry improvement. Looks cheap on a cycle-adjusted PE.</li>
<li>Intel has outperformed TSMC shares despite the recent TSMC rebound.</li>
</ul>


TSMC says limited impact from U.S. China restrictions -- We crosscheck the comments.
TSMC guidance was strong and gives hope for 1H23 industry improvement. Looks cheap on a cycle-adjusted PE.
Intel has outperformed TSMC shares despite the recent TSMC rebound.


Intel Vs. TSMC/​​​UMC Long/​​​Short Monitor: Mgmt Call Takeaways, Calculating a Normalized Valuation

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AMD and Samsung preliminary numbers disappoint, PC demand weakness cited.</li>
<li>U.S. issues broad new rules restricting technology sales to China, essentially removing China as a long-term demand driver for advanced products.</li>
<li>TSMC results coming out this week, expecting all-time high revenue.</li>
</ul>


AMD and Samsung preliminary numbers disappoint, PC demand weakness cited.
U.S. issues broad new rules restricting technology sales to China, essentially removing China as a long-term demand driver for advanced products.
TSMC results coming out this week, expecting all-time high revenue.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Our Summary of Sweeping New China Restrictions, TSMC Results This Week

<ul>
<li>Taiwan’s tech space fell hard last week, with the tech sector down 5.4%, compared to a 4.9% drop for the overall market. Semiconductors performed the worst, down 6.2%.</li>
<li>Hon Hai, Delta, Lite-On -- EV a major theme for the first-ever Taiwan Expo USA coming October 12th.</li>
<li>Taiwan wafer exports were at an all-time high in August. We note that wafer names have underperformed TSMC.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan’s tech space fell hard last week, with the tech sector down 5.4%, compared to a 4.9% drop for the overall market. Semiconductors performed the worst, down 6.2%.
Hon Hai, Delta, Lite-On -- EV a major theme for the first-ever Taiwan Expo USA coming October 12th.
Taiwan wafer exports were at an all-time high in August. We note that wafer names have underperformed TSMC.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

<ul>
<li>Intel's CEO has clearly put NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) in the cross-hairs with his conference comments and the unveiling of new graphics chips.</li>
<li>Separate reports are that Apple is cutting back iPhone 14 production volumes, negatively impacting TSMC and the Apple supply chain.</li>
<li>Intel is now slightly outperforming TSMC &amp; UMC, however has a lot of room to catch up in our view given its large underperformance over the last six months.</li>
</ul>


Intel's CEO has clearly put NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) in the cross-hairs with his conference comments and the unveiling of new graphics chips.
Separate reports are that Apple is cutting back iPhone 14 production volumes, negatively impacting TSMC and the Apple supply chain.
Intel is now slightly outperforming TSMC &amp; UMC, however has a lot of room to catch up in our view given its large underperformance over the last six months.


Intel Vs. TSMC/​​UMC Long/​​Short Monitor: Post Conference Take Aways, Intel Performance Reverts

<ul>
<li>Taiwan ADR premiums vs. their local shares have generally rebounded across the board.</li>
<li>TSMC's premium has risen substantially but remains at the lower bound of its historical range.</li>
<li>ChipMOS &amp; UMC ADRs' previous rare discount to Taiwan shares has ended, returning to premiums.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan ADR premiums vs. their local shares have generally rebounded across the board.
TSMC's premium has risen substantially but remains at the lower bound of its historical range.
ChipMOS &amp; UMC ADRs' previous rare discount to Taiwan shares has ended, returning to premiums.


Taiwan Dual-Listings - TSMC Premium Rebounds While UMC, ChipMOS Discounts Disappear

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

Global Unichip Corporation designs and produces a wide variety of silicon chips.

Novatek Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's products are used in telecommunication, computer peripherals, and LCD (liquid crystal display) drivers.

Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation offers integrated circuit foundry services.  The Company manufactures 0.18um logic, mixed-signal, analog, high voltage, low power, CMOS RF, flash, embedded memory, and bipolar CMOS DMOS semiconductors.

Globalwafers Co., Ltd. specializes in silicon wafer manufacturing and also provides solar wafers and crystal rods. The Company possesses a complete production line from ingot growth, slicing, etching, diffusion, polishing to epitaxy. Their products include Epi wafers, polished wafers, etched wafers, ultra thin wafers and deep diffusion wafers.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Skyworks Solutions, Inc., a wireless semiconductor company, designs and manufactures radio frequency and complete semiconductor system solutions for mobile communications applications.  The Company provides front-end modules, radio frequency subsystems, and system solutions to wireless handset and infrastructure customers worldwide.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Mgmt Call Takeaways, Calculating a Normalized Valuation

TSMC guidance was strong and gives hope for 1H23 industry improvement. We perform an analysis based on cycle-adjusting the company's margins and PE.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Our Summary of Sweeping New China Restrictions, TSMC Results This Week

U.S. issues broad new rules restricting technology sales to China, essentially removing China as a long-term demand driver for advanced products.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

AU Optronics stock suspended, Intel's Mobileye IPO is back, Samsung takes share from TSMC, Taiwan wafer exports are at an all-time high.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Post Conference Take Aways, Intel Performance Reverts

Separate reports are that Apple is cutting back iPhone 14 production volumes, negatively impacting TSMC and the Apple supply chain.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings - TSMC Premium Rebounds While UMC, ChipMOS Discounts Disappear

Premiums have rebounded across most of the Taiwan ADRs except for Chunghwa Telecom (CHT). US vs. Taiwan domestic investors' relative sentiment...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Intel Vs. TSMC/​​​UMC Long/​​​Short Monitor: Mgmt Call Takeaways, Calculating a Normalized Valuation

TSMC guidance was strong and gives hope for 1H23 industry improvement. We perform an analysis based on cycle-adjusting the company's margins and PE.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Our Summary of Sweeping New China Restrictions, TSMC Results This Week

U.S. issues broad new rules restricting technology sales to China, essentially removing China as a long-term demand driver for advanced products.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trying to Recover After a Week of Deep Declines

AU Optronics stock suspended, Intel's Mobileye IPO is back, Samsung takes share from TSMC, Taiwan wafer exports are at an all-time high.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/​​UMC Long/​​Short Monitor: Post Conference Take Aways, Intel Performance Reverts

Separate reports are that Apple is cutting back iPhone 14 production volumes, negatively impacting TSMC and the Apple supply chain.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings - TSMC Premium Rebounds While UMC, ChipMOS Discounts Disappear

Premiums have rebounded across most of the Taiwan ADRs except for Chunghwa Telecom (CHT). US vs. Taiwan domestic investors' relative sentiment...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Mgmt Call Takeaways, Calculating a Normalized Valuation

Intel Vs. TSMC/UMC Long/Short Monitor: Post Conference Take Aways, Intel Performance Reverts