External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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<ul><li>With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures</li><li>As channel inventory ran dry post a sizzling summer season, primary sales of cooling products (more so RAC and air coolers) are likely to support overall industry growth</li><li>While Onam demand (start of the festive season) was below expectation, early trends from Navratri/Dusshera have been encouraging</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressuresAs channel inventory ran dry post a sizzling summer season, primary sales of cooling products (more so RAC and air coolers) are likely to support overall industry growthWhile Onam demand (start of the festive season) was below expectation, early trends from Navratri/Dusshera have been encouragingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Soft Quarter, Festive Season a Key Monitorable

<ul><li>In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR)</li><li>The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air coolers, fans) which benefited from a harsh summer season</li><li>White goods/ ECD segments’ revenues grew by 41%/17% YoY (+19%/+12% 2-yr CAGR)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR)The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air coolers, fans) which benefited from a harsh summer seasonWhite goods/ ECD segments’ revenues grew by 41%/17% YoY (+19%/+12% 2-yr CAGR)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS: Decoding Q1FY25 Trends

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment with a levy of windfall tax, (2) gas price realisation too unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen until March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM and (3) slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas production</li><li>In Q1FY25, reported EBITDA stood at INR 186bn (-4% YoY, +7% QoQ), coming in above our estimate owing to lower-than-expected statutory levies</li><li>PAT at INR 89bn (-11% YoY, -9% QoQ) was below our estimate, mainly driven by higher-than-expected depreciation and depletion costs</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment with a levy of windfall tax, (2) gas price realisation too unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen until March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM and (3) slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas productionIn Q1FY25, reported EBITDA stood at INR 186bn (-4% YoY, +7% QoQ), coming in above our estimate owing to lower-than-expected statutory leviesPAT at INR 89bn (-11% YoY, -9% QoQ) was below our estimate, mainly driven by higher-than-expected depreciation and depletion costsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

<ul><li>With the country witnessing an intense heatwave, demand for consumer durables in 1Q was largely led by cooling products which witnessed inventory stock-outs as demand outstripped supply</li><li>Ex of the cooling portfolio, there was the sustenance of only a gradual improvement in consumer sentiment</li><li>Rising RM prices, high A&amp;P spending and EPR costs are likely to keep margins under check</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With the country witnessing an intense heatwave, demand for consumer durables in 1Q was largely led by cooling products which witnessed inventory stock-outs as demand outstripped supplyEx of the cooling portfolio, there was the sustenance of only a gradual improvement in consumer sentimentRising RM prices, high A&amp;P spending and EPR costs are likely to keep margins under checkContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS: Summer Season Drives Demand Uptick

<ul><li>Indian Oil Corporation: Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 145, is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem supplies/capacity, moderation in refining margins, and lower auto-fuel marketing margins</li><li>IOCL’s Q4FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 104bn (-32% YoY, -33% QoQ) and APAT at INR 48bn (-52% YoY, -40% QoQ) came in below our estimates</li><li>Earnings were impacted by weak performance from the petchem segment, lower refining margins, inventory loss and higher-than-expected expenses</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Oil Corporation: Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 145, is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem supplies/capacity, moderation in refining margins, and lower auto-fuel marketing marginsIOCL’s Q4FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 104bn (-32% YoY, -33% QoQ) and APAT at INR 48bn (-52% YoY, -40% QoQ) came in below our estimatesEarnings were impacted by weak performance from the petchem segment, lower refining margins, inventory loss and higher-than-expected expensesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Star Health and Allied Insurance

India

Symphony Ltd. manufactures a wide range of air coolers.  The Company's products include evaporative air coolers, air conditioners, and water heaters.

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Symphony Ltd (SYML IN)

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Soft Quarter, Festive Season a Key Monitorable

With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables & EMS: Decoding Q1FY25 Trends

In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR). The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables & EMS: Summer Season Drives Demand Uptick

With the country witnessing an intense heatwave, demand for consumer durables in 1Q was largely led by cooling products which witnessed inventory...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Star Health and Allied Insurance

Our REDUCE rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 145, is premised on margin pressure due to increasing petchem...

HDFC Securities

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