Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NVDA saving tech from a bigger pullback as the market takes profits ahead of earnings.</li>
<li>Rates higher and causing a pullback in R/E related and the yen is approaching Y151.</li>
<li>Disco's better-than-expected outlook for HBM related equipment should leave more room for upside.</li>
</ul>


NVDA saving tech from a bigger pullback as the market takes profits ahead of earnings.
Rates higher and causing a pullback in R/E related and the yen is approaching Y151.
Disco's better-than-expected outlook for HBM related equipment should leave more room for upside.


Japan Morning Connection: Potential for Disco to Push Higher with Positive HBM Outlook

<ul>
<li>Markets go risk-on with the Fed's 50 bps cut a greenlight for AI/tech favourites to rebound sharply.</li>
<li>New highs for homebuilders setting the tone for further gains the Sumitomo Forestry and Sekisui House, while logistics may be weak after FedEx numbers.</li>
<li>Worth noting out-of-favour JP autos with high short interests and US sales ratios who may be squeeze targets with undeployed capital and foreigners coming back to the Japanese market post-Fed.</li>
</ul>


Markets go risk-on with the Fed's 50 bps cut a greenlight for AI/tech favourites to rebound sharply.
New highs for homebuilders setting the tone for further gains the Sumitomo Forestry and Sekisui House, while logistics may be weak after FedEx numbers.
Worth noting out-of-favour JP autos with high short interests and US sales ratios who may be squeeze targets with undeployed capital and foreigners coming back to the Japanese market post-Fed.


Japan Morning Connection: Out-Of-Favour JP Autos May Be Squeeze Targets

<ul>
<li>Tech selloff overnight on NVDA post-earnings weakness was fairly contained, and SPE related in Japan should continue yesterdays rebound off the morning lows.</li>
<li>Big beat for Dell on the strong outlook for its AI servers outweighing the soft consumer PC market sending it +8% in after-market trading.</li>
<li>News that Tepco plans to spend $3.2bn to upgrade its electricity infrastructure to 2030 positive for wire/cable names and related names.</li>
</ul>


Tech selloff overnight on NVDA post-earnings weakness was fairly contained, and SPE related in Japan should continue yesterdays rebound off the morning lows.
Big beat for Dell on the strong outlook for its AI servers outweighing the soft consumer PC market sending it +8% in after-market trading.
News that Tepco plans to spend $3.2bn to upgrade its electricity infrastructure to 2030 positive for wire/cable names and related names.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Set to Rebound as Dell After-Market Print Sets Positive Tone

<ul>
<li>Watch for a 'megaquake' reversal after a big rotation for names deemed to be winners/losers on Friday on heightened expectations for a major Nankai Trough earthquake over the w/e</li>
<li>Retail related should rebound sharply after a solid 1Q showing from 3099 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isetan-mitsukoshi-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18871:1" rel="noopener">Isetan Mitsukoshi</a>, with several related names yet to rebound on concerns the stronger yen will curb tourist spending.</li>
<li>1911 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-forestry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9769:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Forestry</a> business briefing Friday confirms the strength of its US housing business, with it likely to easily exceed its latest MTP.</li>
</ul>


Watch for a 'megaquake' reversal after a big rotation for names deemed to be winners/losers on Friday on heightened expectations for a major Nankai Trough earthquake over the w/e
Retail related should rebound sharply after a solid 1Q showing from 3099 Isetan Mitsukoshi, with several related names yet to rebound on concerns the stronger yen will curb tourist spending.
1911 Sumitomo Forestry business briefing Friday confirms the strength of its US housing business, with it likely to easily exceed its latest MTP.


Japan Morning Connection: 3099 JP, 1911 JP, 5803 JP

<ul>
<li>ARM +11% after a broker upgrade yesterday will see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> rebound sharply off heavily sold levels yesterday, despite its surprise Y500bn buyback.</li>
<li>Tech wide relief rally in the US sets the tone for a very strong day in Japan, helped by strong earnings by the likes of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:280:1" rel="noopener">TEL (8035)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai (6525).</a>
</li>
<li>Jobs data saw leisure and powersports names in the US rally which should help the likes of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamaha-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7411:1" rel="noopener">Yamaha Motor (7272 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-heavy-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8790:1" rel="noopener">KHI (7012 JP)</a> rebound sharply also.</li>
</ul>


ARM +11% after a broker upgrade yesterday will see Softbank Group (9984 JP) rebound sharply off heavily sold levels yesterday, despite its surprise Y500bn buyback.
Tech wide relief rally in the US sets the tone for a very strong day in Japan, helped by strong earnings by the likes of TEL (8035) and Kokusai (6525).

Jobs data saw leisure and powersports names in the US rally which should help the likes of Yamaha Motor (7272 JP) and KHI (7012 JP) rebound sharply also.


Japan Morning Connection: 9984 JP, 8035 JP, 6525 JP

Japan

SWCC SHOWA HOLDINGS CO., LTD. produces wires and cables.  The Company's products include electric cables, fiber optic cables, and electronic devices such as routing switches, hub switches, and delay lines.  SWCC  also develops and produces anti-vibration system for building.

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SWCC Showa Holdings (5805 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Potential for Disco to Push Higher with Positive HBM Outlook

NVDA preventing larger tech pullback as market takes profits ahead of earnings. Higher rates impacting R/E related. Disco's outlook for HBM...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Out-Of-Favour JP Autos May Be Squeeze Targets

Markets go risk-on with AI/tech favorites rebounding sharply, homebuilders hitting new highs, JP autos with high short interests and US sales...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Set to Rebound as Dell After-Market Print Sets Positive Tone

Tech selloff contained, Dell beats with strong outlook for AI servers, Tepco's $3.2bn upgrade plan positive for wire/cable names.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 3099 JP, 1911 JP, 5803 JP

Expect a 'megaquake' reversal in stock names post-rotation due to earthquake warnings, retail rebound likely after strong 3099 1Q showing,...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 9984 JP, 8035 JP, 6525 JP

ARM stock surges after broker upgrade, Softbank Group rebounds, tech rally in US boosts Japan market, leisure and powersports names rally in US...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Potential for Disco to Push Higher with Positive HBM Outlook

​NVDA preventing larger tech pullback as market takes profits ahead of earnings. Higher rates impacting R/E related. Disco's outlook for HBM...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Out-Of-Favour JP Autos May Be Squeeze Targets

Markets go risk-on with AI/tech favorites rebounding sharply, homebuilders hitting new highs, JP autos with high short interests and US sales...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Set to Rebound as Dell After-Market Print Sets Positive Tone

​Tech selloff contained, Dell beats with strong outlook for AI servers, Tepco's $3.2bn upgrade plan positive for wire/cable names.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 3099 JP, 1911 JP, 5803 JP

​Expect a 'megaquake' reversal in stock names post-rotation due to earthquake warnings, retail rebound likely after strong 3099 1Q showing,...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 9984 JP, 8035 JP, 6525 JP

​ARM stock surges after broker upgrade, Softbank Group rebounds, tech rally in US boosts Japan market, leisure and powersports names rally in US...

Andrew Jackson

NVDA preventing larger tech pullback as market takes profits ahead of earnings. Higher rates impacting R/E related. Disco's outlook for HBM...

Tech selloff contained, Dell beats with strong outlook for AI servers, Tepco's $3.2bn upgrade plan positive for wire/cable names.

Expect a 'megaquake' reversal in stock names post-rotation due to earthquake warnings, retail rebound likely after strong 3099 1Q showing,...

ARM stock surges after broker upgrade, Softbank Group rebounds, tech rally in US boosts Japan market, leisure and powersports names rally in US...