Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index committee has used a 6-month minimum listing history and that results in two changes. This is the first rebalance with less than 5 changes at a review.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 1.03% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 1,025m. Given the adds are new listings, there will be some reverse funding flow.</li>
<li>There appears to be little pre-positioning on the adds while there is a bigger buildup on the deletes.</li>
</ul>


The index committee has used a 6-month minimum listing history and that results in two changes. This is the first rebalance with less than 5 changes at a review.
One way turnover is estimated at 1.03% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 1,025m. Given the adds are new listings, there will be some reverse funding flow.
There appears to be little pre-positioning on the adds while there is a bigger buildup on the deletes.


STAR50 Index Rebalance: Two Changes in June (As Expected)

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ends 28 April. We expect the changes to be announced 26 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>Using a 12-month minimum listing history results in no index changes. Using a 6-month minimum listing history results in two changes - we think this is what will be used.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes but both sets of stocks have underperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shanghai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index - Shanghai (SH000905 INDEX)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ends 28 April. We expect the changes to be announced 26 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 9 June.
Using a 12-month minimum listing history results in no index changes. Using a 6-month minimum listing history results in two changes - we think this is what will be used.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes but both sets of stocks have underperformed the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and the CSI Smallcap 500 Index - Shanghai (SH000905 INDEX). 


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Depend on Minimum Listing History

Jiangsu Cnano Technology  Lt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 26 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 1.6% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 1,442m. The impact on the deletions will be larger than that on the inclusions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 26 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 9 June.
We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.
One way turnover is estimated at 1.6% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 1,442m. The impact on the deletions will be larger than that on the inclusions.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in June (Possibly)

Qingdao Haier Biomedical  Lt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ends today. We forecast 2 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history. The impact on the potential deletes is a lot higher than the impact on the potential adds.</li>
<li>With 5 changes to the index, estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 4,549m. There is a reasonably large reverse funding trade.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ends today. We forecast 2 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.
We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history. The impact on the potential deletes is a lot higher than the impact on the potential adds.
With 5 changes to the index, estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 4,549m. There is a reasonably large reverse funding trade.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes Forecast as Review Period Ends

<ul>
<li>Nearly 85% of the way through the review period, we see 2 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>Given the significantly higher market cap of the inclusions using a 6-month minimum listing history, we expect the index committee will continue to use the shorter listing history requirement.</li>
<li>With 5 changes a side, one-way turnover is estimated at 5.15% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,994m. Impact on some deletions is quite high.</li>
</ul>


Nearly 85% of the way through the review period, we see 2 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.
Given the significantly higher market cap of the inclusions using a 6-month minimum listing history, we expect the index committee will continue to use the shorter listing history requirement.
With 5 changes a side, one-way turnover is estimated at 5.15% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,994m. Impact on some deletions is quite high.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Another Five Potential Changes in March

China

China Wafer Level CSP Company Limited provides Wafer level chip size package and testing services.  The Company's main products include image sensor chip, the ambient light sensor chip, medical and electronic devices, micro-electromechanical system (MEMS), radio frequency identification chip (RFID).

Shanghai Aiko Solar Energy Co., Ltd. operates as a solar cell production company. The Company researches, develops, manufactures, and distributes PERC (passivated emitter and rear cell) cell and other products and provides related services. Shanghai Aiko Solar Energy exports its products to South Korea, Japan, India, Europe, and other countries and regions.

Shanghai Belling Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells integrated circuits which are used in telecommunications and multi-media systems.  The Company also processes silicon chips and produces other electronic components.

Risen Energy Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells photovoltaic applications. The Company's products include crystalline silicon solar lamps, batteries, parts and other applications.

Grinm Advanced Materials Co Ltd. develops and manufactures semiconductor materia ls. The Company's products include monocrystalline silicon, germanium,  compound  semiconductor materials, and other related electronic materials. Grinm Advanced Materials also invests in technology development and provides technical  and processing services.

Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials Co. Ltd. develops, produces, and provides services for the electronic chemicals used in the semiconductor industry. The company also provides electronic cleaning and electronic plating core technologies. They develops specialized equipment, such as: chemical materials, equipment, and application process etc.

Shanghai Sinyang Smcndctr Mtls (300236 CH)

JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited manufactures solar products. The Company produces silicon wafers, solar cells and solar modules.

Daqo New Energy Corporation manufactures polysilicon.  The Company markets its polysilicon to photovoltaic product manufacturers who process it into ingots, wafers, cells and modules for solar power products.

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Company Limited designs and sells integrated circuits (IC) for industrial applications.  The Company's IC products are used for smart cards, telecommunication products, as well as motor vehicle electronic and power supply electronic products.

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics H (1385 HK)

Beijing Jingyuntong Technology Company Limited manufactures photovoltaic equipment, silicon crystal and silicon wafer. Its photovoltaic equipment includes monocrystalline silicon and polycrystalline silicon ingot furnace; its silicon crystal and wafer product mainly includes silicon rods, ingots and wafers.

Beijing Jingyuntong Technology (601908 CH)

Kinsus Interconnect Technology Corp. manufactures BGA (Ball Grid Array) boards. The Company's products include PBGA (Plastic BGA), MCM (Multi Chip Module) BGA, Mini BGA, TEBGA (Thermal Enhanced BGA), and flip chip substrate boards.

Macronix International Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) as well as memory products.  The Company's products include nonvolatile memory integrated circuits, mask ROM (Read Only Memory), EPROM (Erasable Programmable ROM), and flash memory products.  Macronix also produces logic ICs for audio, clock generators, and graphic application devices.

MICRONICS JAPAN CO., LTD. designs, manufactures, and markets probe cards, which are used to inspect semiconductors and integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company also makes wafer probers, probe card testers, IC handlers, and inspection devices used for liquid crystal display (LCD) manufacturing.

Ambarella, Inc. manufactures high definition video compression and image processing semiconductors. The Company products are used in digital still cameras, camcorders, and video-enabled mobile phones.

CHIPBOND Technology Corporation provides chip packaging service for the IC (Integrated Circuit) industry.  The Company manufactures Gold Bump, TCP (Tape Carrier Packaging), Solder Bump, and COG (Chip on Glass), which are applied to the process of packaging.

EO Technics Co., Ltd. is a laser-based equipment supplier. The Company develops laser technology and applications used for marking, drilling, trimming and cutting.

Photronics, Inc. manufactures photomasks, which are high precision quartz plates that contain microscopic images of electronic circuits.  The Company's products are used to transfer circuit patterns onto semiconductor wafers during the fabrication of integrated circuits.  Photronics operates manufacturing facilities in Asia, Europe, and North America.

Parade Technologies Ltd is a fabless semiconductor company that specialzies in high-speed video interfacing and processing products used in personal computer and consumer electronics applications, such as digital TVs, DVDs, monitors and display panels, and set-top boxes.

Veeco Instruments Inc. manufactures enabling solutions for customers in the HB-LED, solar, data storage, semiconductor, scientific research and industrial markets. The Company has technology positions in three businesses: LED & Solar Process Equipment, Data Storage Process Equipment, and Metrology Instruments.

Unisem (M) Berhad manufactures semiconductor devices.  The Company provides turnkey solutions to its customers in wafer grinding, packaging and testing of integrated circuits, tape and reel, and dropship services. Unisem also provides packaging and testing wide range of leadframe packages.

Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics Co., Ltd. produces and sells integrated circuits. The Company manufactures and sells integrated sensor chips, isolation and interface chips, drive and sampling chips, and other products. Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics provides its products for energy, industrial automation, auto electronic, and consumer electronic fields.

Suzhou Novosense Microelectron (688052 CH)

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Suzhou Novosense Microelectron (688052 CH)

STAR50 Index Rebalance: Two Changes in June (As Expected)

There are 2 changes for the STAR50 Index as a 6-month minimum listing history is used. There is little increase in excess volume on the adds while...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Depend on Minimum Listing History

There could be 2 index changes if a 6-month minimum listing history is used. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes. But both...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in June (Possibly)

There could be 2 changes to the index in June with a higher impact on the deletes than on the adds. The potential adds have started to o/p the...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes Forecast as Review Period Ends

There could be 5 index changes in March if the index committee continues using a 6-month minimum listing history. One-way turnover will be over 5%....

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Another Five Potential Changes in March

There could be 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history. One-way turnover will be 5%+ resulting in a one-way trade of CNY4bn. Impact on...

Brian Freitas

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