Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 Index and LQ45 Index and 11 changes for the IDX80 Index at the upcoming rebalance to be implemented on 29 July.</li>
<li>There is passive inflow on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO)</a> due to index inclusion, and on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a> due to capping changes.</li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 Index and LQ45 Index and 11 changes for the IDX80 Index at the upcoming rebalance to be implemented on 29 July.
There is passive inflow on Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO) due to index inclusion, and on Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA) due to capping changes.
With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​LQ45 Index Rebalance: Big Inflows on ARTO, BBRI, BBCA; Outflows on GOTO, TLKM, BMRI

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6061:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Energy</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-indosari-corpindo-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1181:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Indosari Corpindo (ROTI),</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a>, as well as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a>, as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent</a>'s lock-up expirres.</li>
<li>There were also insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> as it heads for IPO, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axiata-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:944:1" rel="noopener">Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)</a> post the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net</a> deal approval, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bg-container-glass-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28453:1" rel="noopener">BG Container Glass</a> in Thailand.</li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on Adaro Energy, Nippon Indosari Corpindo (ROTI), and Bukalapak, as well as Sea Ltd (SE US), as Tencent's lock-up expirres.
There were also insights on Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) as it heads for IPO, Axiata Group (AXIATA MK) post the Link Net deal approval, and BG Container Glass in Thailand.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Adaro's Sustainability, ROTI's Diversification, and BUKA.

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> on news of lay-offs, Thai Life IPO, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/erajaya-swasembada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18869:1" rel="noopener">Erajaya Swasembada</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thomson-medical-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8495:1" rel="noopener">Thomson Medica</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-citra-media-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14739:1" rel="noopener">PT Surya Citra Media,</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kiatnakin-bank-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:299:1" rel="noopener">Kiatnakin Bank (KKP TB).</a>
</li>
<li>We also saw a list of top ASEAN Picks from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/dr-andrew-stotz-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:756" rel="noopener">Dr Andrew Stotz</a> highlighting his top 14 picks and an update on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carabao-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12027:1" rel="noopener">Carabao Group</a> as a recovery proxy. </li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on Sea Ltd on news of lay-offs, Thai Life IPO, Erajaya Swasembada, Thomson Medica, PT Surya Citra Media, and Kiatnakin Bank (KKP TB).

We also saw a list of top ASEAN Picks from Dr Andrew Stotz highlighting his top 14 picks and an update on Carabao Group as a recovery proxy. 


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Sea Ltd Lay-Offs, SCMA, and Kiatnakin Bank

Equity Bottom-Up

PT Surya Citra Media Tbk / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The news that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-citra-media-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14739:1" rel="noopener">PT Surya Citra Media's</a> digital platform Vidio has raised an additional US$45m from Sinarmas, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (GRAB US)</a>, and Bali United should be seen as a positive.</li>
<li>Vidio is Indonesia's leading OTT platform with 61m subs and 2.5m paying subs forecast to grow to 4m by year-end with Champions League, World Cup, and Original Drama driving demand.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-citra-media-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14739:1" rel="noopener">PT Surya Citra Media</a> looks cheap relative to its holding in Vidio, which is worth 71% of its market cap, and trading at a discount to 5-year average forward PER.</li>
</ul>


The news that PT Surya Citra Media's digital platform Vidio has raised an additional US$45m from Sinarmas, Grab (GRAB US), and Bali United should be seen as a positive.
Vidio is Indonesia's leading OTT platform with 61m subs and 2.5m paying subs forecast to grow to 4m by year-end with Champions League, World Cup, and Original Drama driving demand.

PT Surya Citra Media looks cheap relative to its holding in Vidio, which is worth 71% of its market cap, and trading at a discount to 5-year average forward PER.


PT Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA IJ) - A Vote of Confidence in Vidio

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 29 July.</li>
<li>Potential adds are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-minerals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35927:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-resources-minerals-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9136:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transcoal-pacific-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28449:1" rel="noopener">Transcoal Pacific Tbk PT (TCPI IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-dayamitra-telekomunikasi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34741:1" rel="noopener">Mitratel (MTEL IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pembangunan-perumahan-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19840:1" rel="noopener">Pembangunan Perumahan (Persero) (PTPP IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pabrik-kertas-tjiwi-kimia-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19184:1" rel="noopener">Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia (TKIM IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/media-nusantara-citra-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6881:1" rel="noopener">Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gudang-garam-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:722:1" rel="noopener">Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chandra-asri-petrochemical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2556:1" rel="noopener">Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 29 July.
Potential adds are Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO IJ), Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ), Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS IJ), Transcoal Pacific Tbk PT (TCPI IJ) and Mitratel (MTEL IJ).
Potential deletions are Pembangunan Perumahan (Persero) (PTPP IJ), Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia (TKIM IJ), Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ), Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ) and Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ).


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July 2022): Candidates for Change

Indonesia

PT Media Nusantara Citra Tbk is the largest integrated media company in Southeast Asia. The Company has 3 main businesses 1) 4 free-to-air TV stations with a dominant audience share of 40% 2) The largest content production house producing up to 20,000 hours annually while managing the largest talent agency with almost 400 talents 3) Digital businesses: the largest social media presence in Indonesia through Youtube (100 million subscribers), Facebook and TikTok. 3 online portals, okezone.com, sindonews.com and inews.id with more than 24 million unique visitors daily. RCTI+, the largest entertainment super app in Indonesia with AVOD business model.

PT Global Mediacom Tbk, also known as MNC Media, is the holding company of MNC Group's media businesses. The Company's businesses cover free-to-air televisions, a regional TV network, 150,000 hours of content library, a broadband and Pay TV platforms, and new media businesses that includes a mobile games developer in China.

PT MNC Investama Tbk is an investment company in Indonesia with a scope of business that spans media, financial services, property, as well as portfolio investments. The Company, through its subsidiaries, covers a portfolio of free-to-air tv stations, pay tv, online media platforms, offers a complete range of financial products, and engages in themepark, resort & property development.

PT Graha Layar Prima Tbk operates and manages a movie theater chain. The Company features wide range of movies.

PT Fortune Indonesia Tbk provides integrated marketing services which include advertising, public relations, exhibitions, multimedia, and promotions.  The Company plans advertising and develops creative solutions for advertising. Fortune Indonesia services its clients' needs in e-marketing, e-business consulting, and web development.

PT Star Pacific Tbk provides information technology services including Internet and e-commerce services. The Company also provides consultation and distribution services as well as operates in the investment activities.

MNC Vision Network PT provides television broadcasting services. The Company offers DTH service for satellite and cable customers. MNC Vision Network distributes subscription television shows through the satellite. MNC Vision Network serves customers in Indonesia.

PT Tempo Inti Media Tbk publishes and distributes "Majalah Berita Mingguan TEMPO" and "Koran TEMPO."  The Company also provides a news website under the name of TEMPO Interaktif.

PT Tunas Ridean Tbk and its subsidiaries operate automobile dealerships that sell new and used motor vehicles, spare parts and accessories as well as provide after-sales services.  Through its subsidiary, PT Tunas Financindo Corporation, the Company also provides operating lease and consumer financing services.

PT Metrodata Electronics, Tbk (“the Company”)—the publicly listed Company on Bursa Efek Indonesia (IDX) since 1990 (IDX: MTDL) is one of the leading Information and Communication Technology (“ICT”) companies in Indonesia that build strategic alliances with world‐class ICT companies.

The Company has main business units, namely Distribution Business (Providing World‐Class ICT Hardware and Software) that handles distribution to partnered dealers, ICT solution companies and also running an e‐commerce business. Its distribution network is covering more than 150 cities in Indonesia and has more than 4,000 channel partners and more than 100 world‐class IT products and service brands; Solution & Consulting Business (Digital Solution Provider to Help Companies Achieving Digital Transformation) that provides complete ICT solutions from conceptual/design, implementation, IT Managed Services, consulting and training, as well as support for business digital transformation.

Evergrande Auto researches, develops, and manufactures new energy vehicles. The Company engages in vehicle manufacturing, electric motor control, power batteries, vehicle sales, smart charging, shared mobility, and more. Evergrande Auto also operates health management businesses.

Hathway Cable and Datacom Limited is a cable television service provider.  The Company offers analog and digital cable television services.  Hathway also provides cable broadband services as well.

Daily Journal Corporation publishes newspapers and web sites covering California and Arizona. The Company also produces several specialized information services. In addition. Daily Journal serves as a newspaper representative specializing in public notice advertising.

oOh!media Ltd is a media company. The Company provides advertising and marketing solutions, campaign production, campaign management, creative and digital solutions.

Chengdu B-Ray Media Co., Ltd. provides newspaper publishing, printing, delivery, and advertising services.  The Company also sells newsprints and printing equipment.

SEPTENI Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company, which manages operations for its subsidiaries.  Group companies provide Internet advertising services, direct mailing, and catalog advertising.

VGI Public Company Limited operates as an advertising media company. The Company offers out of home advertising, campaign measurement, target advertising campaign, and offline-to-online solutions. VGI serves customers globally.

Gray Television, Inc. operates television stations.  The Company operates in the southern, midwestern, and southwestern United States.

TV TOKYO Holdings Corporation has been established by making mainly TV TOKYO Corporation and TXBB(TV TOKYO Broadband Entertainment, Inc.) its subsidiaries. The Company operates and manages the business through equity holdings.

Jishi Media Company Limited constructs, manages and maintains cable television networks. The Company's main businesses include basic radio and television transmission services, digital television value-added services, two-way interactive broadband services, and cable-based network services.

PT Surya Citra Media Tbk has operations in mass media consultation, in house production and other multimedia services.  The Company's subsidiaries, SCTV and Indosiar provides television broadcasting throughout Indonesia.

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PT Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA IJ)

IDX30/LQ45 Index Rebalance: Big Inflows on ARTO, BBRI, BBCA; Outflows on GOTO, TLKM, BMRI

There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 and LQ45 indices that will be implemented on 29 July. The largest passive inflows are on BBRI, ARTO and...

Brian Freitas

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Adaro's Sustainability, ROTI's Diversification, and BUKA.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Sea Ltd Lay-Offs, SCMA, and Kiatnakin Bank

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh