Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-13363'>Sunny Optical Technology Group</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-24409'>Xiaomi Corp</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Sunny Optical Technology GroupXiaomi Corp

Morning Views Asia: Sunny Optical Technology Group, Xiaomi Corp

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Sunny Optical Technology Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Sunny’s 1H24 revenue/NP growth of 32%/145% YoY is largely in-line with prior positive profit alert, driven by smartphone’s HLS/HCM ASP/GPM recovery and rapid auto/XR growth.</li><li>Mgmt. raised 2024 shipment guidance for HLS/VLS to 5-10% YoY /10-15% YoY (vs prior +5%/10% YoY), and guided ASP/GPM improvement into 2H24E and 2025.</li><li>For 2025, we are positive on Apple’s share gains, AI smartphone upgrade, auto product ramp-up and XR customers’ order wins. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sunny’s 1H24 revenue/NP growth of 32%/145% YoY is largely in-line with prior positive profit alert, driven by smartphone’s HLS/HCM ASP/GPM recovery and rapid auto/XR growth.Mgmt. raised 2024 shipment guidance for HLS/VLS to 5-10% YoY /10-15% YoY (vs prior +5%/10% YoY), and guided ASP/GPM improvement into 2H24E and 2025.For 2025, we are positive on Apple’s share gains, AI smartphone upgrade, auto product ramp-up and XR customers’ order wins. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sunny Optical (2382 HK) - Gearing up for New Growth Cycle; Raise TP to HK$72.52

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Apple reported FY4Q24 (CY3Q23) revenue of US$94.9bn (+6% YoY) and EPS of US$0.97 (-34% YoY, +12% YoY excl. one-off charge), both above market consensus, thanks to better smartphone sales and continued margin expansion.</li><li>We are also encouraged by GPM of 46.2%, close to high-end of guidance range.</li><li>For FY1Q25E, mgmt. guided revenue growth at a lower pace (low-to-mid-singledigits YoY), while service revenue will grow at double digits at a similar rate in 1- 4QFY24 (+11-14% YoY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple reported FY4Q24 (CY3Q23) revenue of US$94.9bn (+6% YoY) and EPS of US$0.97 (-34% YoY, +12% YoY excl. one-off charge), both above market consensus, thanks to better smartphone sales and continued margin expansion.We are also encouraged by GPM of 46.2%, close to high-end of guidance range.For FY1Q25E, mgmt. guided revenue growth at a lower pace (low-to-mid-singledigits YoY), while service revenue will grow at double digits at a similar rate in 1- 4QFY24 (+11-14% YoY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Apple FY4Q24 Beat on Better Margin and China Sales

<ul><li>We upgrade Sunny Optical to BUY and raise our TP to HK$67.88 following 1H24 positive profit alert of 140-150% YoY growth, as we think Sunny’s GPM recovery, iPhone share gain and hybrid/periscope cam adoption are tracking ahead of expectations.</li><li>We revised up our FY24-25E EPS by 46-82% to reflect stronger GPM, iPhone share gain (18%/25% in 2024/25E, vs 15% in 2023), iPhone order wins (front-cam/TOF in 2024, hybrid lens in 2025) and periscopecam adoption in Android flagships.</li><li>We also believe AI smartphone launches will accelerate upgrade cycle in 2H24E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We upgrade Sunny Optical to BUY and raise our TP to HK$67.88 following 1H24 positive profit alert of 140-150% YoY growth, as we think Sunny’s GPM recovery, iPhone share gain and hybrid/periscope cam adoption are tracking ahead of expectations.We revised up our FY24-25E EPS by 46-82% to reflect stronger GPM, iPhone share gain (18%/25% in 2024/25E, vs 15% in 2023), iPhone order wins (front-cam/TOF in 2024, hybrid lens in 2025) and periscopecam adoption in Android flagships.We also believe AI smartphone launches will accelerate upgrade cycle in 2H24E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sunny Optical (2382 HK) - Positive Profit Alert Alleviates GPM Concerns; Upgrade to BUY

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.</li>
<li>Analysts are raising forecasts for<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> had a positive profit alert and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.
Analysts are raising forecasts forXiaomi Corp (1810 HK) as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) had a positive profit alert and Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

China

Sunny Optical Technology Group Co., Limited designs and manufactures optical and optical related products. The Company's products include glass/plastic lenses, prisms, mobile phone camera modules, microscopes, surveying instruments, and other analytical instruments.

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Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)

Morning Views Asia: Sunny Optical Technology Group, Xiaomi Corp

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Sunny Optical (2382 HK) - Gearing up for New Growth Cycle; Raise TP to HK$72.52

Sunny’s 1H24 revenue/NP growth of 32%/145% YoY is largely in-line with prior positive profit alert, driven by smartphone’s HLS/HCM ASP/GPM recovery...

CMB International

Technology - Apple FY4Q24 Beat on Better Margin and China Sales

Apple reported FY4Q24 (CY3Q23) revenue of US$94.9bn (+6% YoY) and EPS of US$0.97 (-34% YoY, +12% YoY excl. one-off charge), both above market...

CMB International

Sunny Optical (2382 HK) - Positive Profit Alert Alleviates GPM Concerns; Upgrade to BUY

We revised up our FY24-25E EPS by 46-82% to reflect stronger GPM, iPhone share gain (18%/25% in 2024/25E, vs 15% in 2023), iPhone order wins (front...

CMB International

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

Xiaomi launches its new AI enabled phone and has success in EVs. Sunny Optical has seen its auto lens business grow and Minth is successfully...

David Mudd

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