Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The pace of recovery in 200 millimeters appears to have been very weak. Customers continue to respect LTA prices but we have to push out delivery timing which impacts volumes.</li>
<li>China appears to have developed their own capability to fabricate wafers. Quality does not necessarily appear to be very good but there is strong pressure to comply with “Buy China” </li>
<li>The recovery in legacy applications has been surprisingly slow. At this stage we don't know whether it is a slow recovery or in fact that there won't be a recovery.</li>
</ul>


The pace of recovery in 200 millimeters appears to have been very weak. Customers continue to respect LTA prices but we have to push out delivery timing which impacts volumes.
China appears to have developed their own capability to fabricate wafers. Quality does not necessarily appear to be very good but there is strong pressure to comply with “Buy China” 
The recovery in legacy applications has been surprisingly slow. At this stage we don't know whether it is a slow recovery or in fact that there won't be a recovery.


SUMCO Despairs On Legacy Rebound, EVs, China, Visibility Etc...

<ul>
<li>Silicon wafer area shipments in Q324 amounted to 3,214 million square inches (MSI), up 5.9% QoQ and up 6.8% YoY,</li>
<li>Q324 saw the combined revenues from the top four players in the segment reaching $2.5 billion, up 0.5% QoQ and up 6.5% YoY</li>
<li>Top 4 EBIT amounted to just $337 million, up 1.5% QoQ but down 38.9% YoY.</li>
</ul>


Silicon wafer area shipments in Q324 amounted to 3,214 million square inches (MSI), up 5.9% QoQ and up 6.8% YoY,
Q324 saw the combined revenues from the top four players in the segment reaching $2.5 billion, up 0.5% QoQ and up 6.5% YoY
Top 4 EBIT amounted to just $337 million, up 1.5% QoQ but down 38.9% YoY.


Silicon Wafers Q324 Area Shipments, Revenue, EBIT, Outlook & More

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Big Tesla move up may help sentiment for Panasonic, although gains are largely Trump related.</li>
<li>Lumentum strong numbers and big move up will continue to help sentiment for optical related plays in Japan.</li>
<li>Good numbers from Sony with solid performance from its mainstay games and imaging segments.</li>
</ul>


Big Tesla move up may help sentiment for Panasonic, although gains are largely Trump related.
Lumentum strong numbers and big move up will continue to help sentiment for optical related plays in Japan.
Good numbers from Sony with solid performance from its mainstay games and imaging segments.


Japan Morning Connection: Strong Earnings from Sony's Games and Sensors

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Up to 9 stocks could be deleted from global passive portfolios in November. The deletion will lead to liquidity events where trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.</li>
<li>There has been a buildup of shorts on nearly all these stocks though the extent of the pre-positioning varies.</li>
<li>The increase in shorts is smaller than the estimated passive selling, though there is a fair amount of variability across the names.</li>
</ul>


Up to 9 stocks could be deleted from global passive portfolios in November. The deletion will lead to liquidity events where trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.
There has been a buildup of shorts on nearly all these stocks though the extent of the pre-positioning varies.
The increase in shorts is smaller than the estimated passive selling, though there is a fair amount of variability across the names.


Japan: Potential Passive Selling in November

<ul>
<li>Don't expect initial 'sell the fact' reaction to Fed's best-case 50 bps cut to weigh on Japan, with a lot of money on the sidelines in Asia to be deployed.</li>
<li>Shin-Etsu via its PVC sub Shintech and the Japanese home builders with high US exposure continue to look attractive as rate cut plays.</li>
<li>Further US export controls for allies on chip making equipment are imminent and names with lower China sales ratios remain the safer SPE plays.</li>
</ul>


Don't expect initial 'sell the fact' reaction to Fed's best-case 50 bps cut to weigh on Japan, with a lot of money on the sidelines in Asia to be deployed.
Shin-Etsu via its PVC sub Shintech and the Japanese home builders with high US exposure continue to look attractive as rate cut plays.
Further US export controls for allies on chip making equipment are imminent and names with lower China sales ratios remain the safer SPE plays.


Japan Morning Connection: Market Expected to Recover After Fed Announcement

Japan

SUMCO Corporation manufactures silicon wafers for the semiconductor industry. The Company produces silicon wafers used to produce solar batteries as well as ultra-high purity quartz used to produce vessels for silicon manufacturing process. SUMCO markets its products worldwide.

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SUMCO Corp (3436 JP)

SUMCO Despairs On Legacy Rebound, EVs, China, Visibility Etc...

There isn't much point in speculating about things we don't understand. We don't know whether it is a slow recovery or if there won't be a...

William Keating

Silicon Wafers Q324 Area Shipments, Revenue, EBIT, Outlook & More

Q324 silicon wafer area shipments in 3,214 MSI , +5.9% QoQ & +6.8% YoY. Top 4 revenues $2.5 billion, +0.5% QoQ & + 6.5% YoY. Top 4 EBIT $337...

William Keating

Japan Morning Connection: Strong Earnings from Sony's Games and Sensors

Tesla's move may boost Panasonic sentiment, Lumentum's strong numbers will benefit optical plays, Sony reports good numbers driven by games and...

Andrew Jackson

Japan: Potential Passive Selling in November

There are a bunch of stocks in Japan that could be sold by passive global investors in November. Shorts have increased on nearly all stocks and the...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Market Expected to Recover After Fed Announcement

Japan expected to recover this morning after Fed announcement. Japanese home builders continue to look attractive. Companies with lower China...

Andrew Jackson

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SUMCO Despairs On Legacy Rebound, EVs, China, Visibility Etc...

There isn't much point in speculating about things we don't understand. We don't know whether it is a slow recovery or if there won't be a...

William Keating

Silicon Wafers Q324 Area Shipments, Revenue, EBIT, Outlook & More

Q324 silicon wafer area shipments in 3,214 MSI , +5.9% QoQ & +6.8% YoY. Top 4 revenues $2.5 billion, +0.5% QoQ & + 6.5% YoY. Top 4 EBIT $337...

William Keating

Japan Morning Connection: Strong Earnings from Sony's Games and Sensors

​Tesla's move may boost Panasonic sentiment, Lumentum's strong numbers will benefit optical plays, Sony reports good numbers driven by games and...

Andrew Jackson

Japan: Potential Passive Selling in November

There are a bunch of stocks in Japan that could be sold by passive global investors in November. Shorts have increased on nearly all stocks and the...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Market Expected to Recover After Fed Announcement

​Japan expected to recover this morning after Fed announcement. Japanese home builders continue to look attractive. Companies with lower China...

Andrew Jackson

Tesla's move may boost Panasonic sentiment, Lumentum's strong numbers will benefit optical plays, Sony reports good numbers driven by games and...

Japan expected to recover this morning after Fed announcement. Japanese home builders continue to look attractive. Companies with lower China...