Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nakanishi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20823:1" rel="noopener">Nakanishi Inc (7716 JP)</a> guided for 25% revenue growth to ¥74B for 2024, driven by an additional ¥12B revenue contribution from DCI and 6% growth in dental business to ¥47B.</li>
<li>EBITDA is expected to improve from 2025 due to normalization of the personnel expenses and depreciation. 2026 EBITDA margin (26.8%) will improve significantly over 2024 (23.9%).</li>
<li>Amid slow global consumption, Nakanishi’s cost-effective products offer strong value proposition. The company is expected to meet 2024 guidance and no negative surprise (downward revision in last year) is expected.</li>
</ul>



Nakanishi Inc (7716 JP) guided for 25% revenue growth to ¥74B for 2024, driven by an additional ¥12B revenue contribution from DCI and 6% growth in dental business to ¥47B.
EBITDA is expected to improve from 2025 due to normalization of the personnel expenses and depreciation. 2026 EBITDA margin (26.8%) will improve significantly over 2024 (23.9%).
Amid slow global consumption, Nakanishi’s cost-effective products offer strong value proposition. The company is expected to meet 2024 guidance and no negative surprise (downward revision in last year) is expected.


Nakanishi Inc (7716 JP): Acquisition and Fx to Nourish Topline; Margin Expansion in Near-Term

Dentsply International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentsply-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10926:1" rel="noopener">Dentsply International (XRAY US)</a> guided for 2024 revenue of $3.96–4.02B, flat to up 1.5% on an organic basis and 12% growth in 2024 EPS at midpoint.</li>
<li>The macro environment continues to be challenging. The company anticipates the ongoing softness in imaging will continue in 2024. Cost savings will support the bottom-line growth.</li>
<li>In terms of every valuation metrics, Dentsply is overpriced compared to its U.S.-listed peers. Strong balance sheet, accelerating dividend, and buyback do not justify the pricey valuation.</li>
</ul>



Dentsply International (XRAY US) guided for 2024 revenue of $3.96–4.02B, flat to up 1.5% on an organic basis and 12% growth in 2024 EPS at midpoint.
The macro environment continues to be challenging. The company anticipates the ongoing softness in imaging will continue in 2024. Cost savings will support the bottom-line growth.
In terms of every valuation metrics, Dentsply is overpriced compared to its U.S.-listed peers. Strong balance sheet, accelerating dividend, and buyback do not justify the pricey valuation.


Dentsply International (XRAY US): Sombre Growth Outlook and Pricey Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dentium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23565:1" rel="noopener">Dentium (145720 KS)</a> earns more than 50% of its total revenue from China. The company’s revenue from China reported a CAGR of 32% during 2018–2022.</li>
<li>Despite concern over China slowdown and lower ASP due to VBP, in 3Q23, Dentium reported 12% YoY revenue growth in China, similar growth rate reported in 2Q23, driven by volume.</li>
<li>Economic slowdown is lingering over the global as well as Chinese dental implant sector, especially the premium brands. Dentium is positioned at the upper price portion within the value segment.  </li>
</ul>



Dentium (145720 KS) earns more than 50% of its total revenue from China. The company’s revenue from China reported a CAGR of 32% during 2018–2022.
Despite concern over China slowdown and lower ASP due to VBP, in 3Q23, Dentium reported 12% YoY revenue growth in China, similar growth rate reported in 2Q23, driven by volume.
Economic slowdown is lingering over the global as well as Chinese dental implant sector, especially the premium brands. Dentium is positioned at the upper price portion within the value segment.  


Dentium (145720 KS): Economic Health of China Is the Key to Bring Back Smiles

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/modern-dental-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21020:1" rel="noopener">Modern Dental Group (3600 HK)</a> reported strong 1H23 performance, with 12% YoY revenue growth to HK$1.6B, driven by increase in demand for its products from existing, returning, and new customers.</li>
<li>With increasing economies of scale resulting from China re-opening and global dental industry recovery and increase in the proportion of digital solution cases, net profit jumped 109% YoY to HK$210M.</li>
<li>Despite macroeconomic headwinds, the company is confident that the medium and long-term global demand for dental prosthetics is expected to continue due to key irreversible demographic factors and trends.</li>
</ul>



Modern Dental Group (3600 HK) reported strong 1H23 performance, with 12% YoY revenue growth to HK$1.6B, driven by increase in demand for its products from existing, returning, and new customers.
With increasing economies of scale resulting from China re-opening and global dental industry recovery and increase in the proportion of digital solution cases, net profit jumped 109% YoY to HK$210M.
Despite macroeconomic headwinds, the company is confident that the medium and long-term global demand for dental prosthetics is expected to continue due to key irreversible demographic factors and trends.


Modern Dental Group (3600 HK): Stellar 1H23 Result- Volume Drives Revenue Growth; Net Profit Doubled

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our 2023 outlook, initially discussed in our January 6th 2023 Int'l Compass, was for $93 to cap upside on the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); this has again proven prescient.</li>
<li>Since late-January/early-February we have recommended shifting to defensives, and MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care (IXJ-US), Utilities (JXI-US), and Consumer Staples (KXI-US) are now hitting 3-4-month RS highs.</li>
<li>With the ACWI-US just now starting to turn down after testing $93, we continue to recommend a tactical overweight to the aforementioned defensive Sectors, and also to gold miners (GDX-US).</li>
</ul>


Our 2023 outlook, initially discussed in our January 6th 2023 Int'l Compass, was for $93 to cap upside on the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); this has again proven prescient.
Since late-January/early-February we have recommended shifting to defensives, and MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care (IXJ-US), Utilities (JXI-US), and Consumer Staples (KXI-US) are now hitting 3-4-month RS highs.
With the ACWI-US just now starting to turn down after testing $93, we continue to recommend a tactical overweight to the aforementioned defensive Sectors, and also to gold miners (GDX-US).


Stay Tactically Overweight Defensives; Remain Overweight Europe, Japan, & EAFE. Buys in Defensives

Switzerland

Straumann Holding AG develops, produces and sells dental implants.  The Company manufactures metal devices implantable in the jaw, in place of missing teeth, to which prosthetic teeth are attached.  Straumann has subsidiaries throughout Europe and North America.  The Company sells its products worldwide.

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Straumann Holding (STMN SW)

Nakanishi Inc (7716 JP): Acquisition and Fx to Nourish Topline; Margin Expansion in Near-Term

Nakanishi guided for 25% YoY revenue growth to ¥74B for 2024, driven by additional ¥12B revenue contribution from DCI and 6% YoY growth in dental...

Tina Banerjee

Dentsply International (XRAY US): Sombre Growth Outlook and Pricey Valuation

Dentsply International expects just 1% organic revenue growth in 2024 due to challenging macro environment. In terms of every valuation metrics,...

Tina Banerjee

Dentium (145720 KS): Economic Health of China Is the Key to Bring Back Smiles

In 3Q23, Dentium reported 12% YoY revenue growth from China, which represents 50%+ of total revenue. With value segment focus, Dentium is less...

Tina Banerjee

Modern Dental Group (3600 HK): Stellar 1H23 Result- Volume Drives Revenue Growth; Net Profit Doubled

Modern Dental reported strong 1H23 result, with 12% revenue growth driven by increased demand. Net profit jumped 109%. The company is confident in...

Tina Banerjee

Stay Tactically Overweight Defensives; Remain Overweight Europe, Japan, & EAFE. Buys in Defensives

$93 on $ACWI continues to be a key resistance that we have discussed since early-Jan as capping upside for 2023. Stick with defensives $IXJ $XLV...

Vermilion Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Nakanishi Inc (7716 JP): Acquisition and Fx to Nourish Topline; Margin Expansion in Near-Term

Nakanishi guided for 25% YoY revenue growth to ¥74B for 2024, driven by additional ¥12B revenue contribution from DCI and 6% YoY growth in dental...

Tina Banerjee

Dentsply International (XRAY US): Sombre Growth Outlook and Pricey Valuation

​Dentsply International expects just 1% organic revenue growth in 2024 due to challenging macro environment. In terms of every valuation metrics,...

Tina Banerjee

Dentium (145720 KS): Economic Health of China Is the Key to Bring Back Smiles

​In 3Q23, Dentium reported 12% YoY revenue growth from China, which represents 50%+ of total revenue. With value segment focus, Dentium is less...

Tina Banerjee

Modern Dental Group (3600 HK): Stellar 1H23 Result- Volume Drives Revenue Growth; Net Profit Doubled

​Modern Dental reported strong 1H23 result, with 12% revenue growth driven by increased demand. Net profit jumped 109%. The company is confident in...

Tina Banerjee

Stay Tactically Overweight Defensives; Remain Overweight Europe, Japan, & EAFE. Buys in Defensives

$93 on $ACWI continues to be a key resistance that we have discussed since early-Jan as capping upside for 2023. Stick with defensives $IXJ $XLV...

Vermilion Research

Dentsply International expects just 1% organic revenue growth in 2024 due to challenging macro environment. In terms of every valuation metrics,...

In 3Q23, Dentium reported 12% YoY revenue growth from China, which represents 50%+ of total revenue. With value segment focus, Dentium is less...

Modern Dental reported strong 1H23 result, with 12% revenue growth driven by increased demand. Net profit jumped 109%. The company is confident in...