Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

As the global financial markets grapple with the decision taken by the UK to exit the EU, it is clear that the question of future referendums in other member countries and potential exits will likely dominate the headlines in the coming months. The Indian economy has seen its total exports decline for 18 straight months, hurt by an overvalued exchange rate as well as a weak global economy. The uncertainty that will likely unfold in the major EU countries and especially the Eurozone (EZ) will add…

As the global financial markets grapple with the decision taken by the UK to exit the EU, it is clear that the question of future referendums in other member countries and potential exits will likely dominate the headlines in the coming months. The Indian economy has seen its total exports decline for 18 straight months, hurt by an overvalued exchange rate as well as a weak global economy. The uncertainty that will likely unfold in the major EU countries and especially the Eurozone (EZ) will add…

Headwinds for India – Brexit and Its Impact Via Other Countries

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

There are a handful of listed banks in the UK. But there are nearly 300 UK banks in our SNL database, which include unlisted banks. These are mostly the subsidiaries of banks in other regions, including Asia. The immediate concern is how banks adjust their risk-weightings on their UK assets. S&amp;P and Moody's downgrades, will also affect UK bank counterparty risk. The more distant concern is the outlook for impairments on some of these assets, namely loans and corporate bonds. UK assets to group…

There are a handful of listed banks in the UK. But there are nearly 300 UK banks in our SNL database, which include unlisted banks. These are mostly the subsidiaries of banks in other regions, including Asia. The immediate concern is how banks adjust their risk-weightings on their UK assets. S&amp;P and Moody's downgrades, will also affect UK bank counterparty risk. The more distant concern is the outlook for impairments on some of these assets, namely loans and corporate bonds. UK assets to group…

Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

What comes as crisis (Brexit) to most countries has been taken up as an opportunity by the Chinese Central bank (PBoC) and as it pushes RMB sharply lower. On the second day of trade post Brexit, Asian EM currencies like Rupiah and Rupee traded in a tight range thanks to Central bank selling, but PBoC fixed the Yuan at still a lower level of 6.6375 to USD. It was only last week that a level of RMB6.6: USD was considered a red line for PBoC by traders but is no longer the case. China is smartly…

What comes as crisis (Brexit) to most countries has been taken up as an opportunity by the Chinese Central bank (PBoC) and as it pushes RMB sharply lower. On the second day of trade post Brexit, Asian EM currencies like Rupiah and Rupee traded in a tight range thanks to Central bank selling, but PBoC fixed the Yuan at still a lower level of 6.6375 to USD. It was only last week that a level of RMB6.6: USD was considered a red line for PBoC by traders but is no longer the case. China is smartly…

China Spots Opportunity in Brexit Where Others See a Threat!

Interest rates will remain lower, for longer. For banks with excess liquidity, this means margin pressure. We look at HSBC and STAN where liquidity is high.  An additional consideration are rising credit costs from a worsening economy. It was not a positive environment for these large, liquid banks before. It is now worse.Cash and equivalent of key large banks (US$ Bn)<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/009/689/original/dt1.png?1467078004" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="9689"><figcaption class="figcaption">Source: SNL Financial</figcaption></figure>The most talked about event for years was when US rates would rise. HSBC latched onto this, indicating to…

Interest rates will remain lower, for longer. For banks with excess liquidity, this means margin pressure. We look at HSBC and STAN where liquidity is high.  An additional consideration are rising credit costs from a worsening economy. It was not a positive environment for these large, liquid banks before. It is now worse.Cash and equivalent of key large banks (US$ Bn)Source: SNL FinancialThe most talked about event for years was when US rates would rise. HSBC latched onto this, indicating to…

The reforms credentials of Modi government have been dented with news of exit of Raghuram Rajan, Governor Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in September. Rajan is widely credited for initiating monetary policy reforms, maintaining the independence of RBI and also raising its stature as a strong institution globally. Failure to retain him will cost the economy in the medium to long run especially if any of the reforms undertaken are diluted. Many of the critics of Rajan state that a country does not…

The reforms credentials of Modi government have been dented with news of exit of Raghuram Rajan, Governor Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in September. Rajan is widely credited for initiating monetary policy reforms, maintaining the independence of RBI and also raising its stature as a strong institution globally. Failure to retain him will cost the economy in the medium to long run especially if any of the reforms undertaken are diluted. Many of the critics of Rajan state that a country does not…

Post Rajan World: Potential Red Flags to Watch & Why Strong Personality Head Imp in EMs Institutions

India

State Bank of India provides a wide range of banking and financial services to corporate, institutional, commercial, agricultural, industrial and individual customers throughout India.  The Bank also provides international banking to its Indian customers and has operations in other countries.

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State Bank Of India (SBIN IN)

Headwinds for India – Brexit and Its Impact Via Other Countries

As the global financial markets grapple with the decision taken by the UK to exit the EU, it is clear that the question of future referendums in...

Rajan Govil

UK Subsidiaries of Asian Banks

There are a handful of listed banks in the UK. But there are nearly 300 UK banks in our SNL database, which include unlisted banks. These are...

Daniel Tabbush

China Spots Opportunity in Brexit Where Others See a Threat!

What comes as crisis (Brexit) to most countries has been taken up as an opportunity by the Chinese Central bank (PBoC) and as it pushes RMB sharply...

Asia Advisors

Low Rates for Longer - Asian Banks

Interest rates will remain lower, for longer. For banks with excess liquidity, this means margin pressure. We look at HSBC and STAN where liquidity...

Daniel Tabbush

Post Rajan World: Potential Red Flags to Watch & Why Strong Personality Head Imp in EMs Institutions

The reforms credentials of Modi government have been dented with news of exit of Raghuram Rajan, Governor Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in September....

Asia Advisors

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