External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul><li>Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades sales</li><li>We estimate aggregate volumes will grow 10% YoY in Q4FY24 (as against 8% YoY in Q3)</li><li>However, owing to aggressive volume push in non-trade segments (channel check suggests major players pushed volumes hard in Q4), cement pricing took a beating during the peak demand quarter</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades salesWe estimate aggregate volumes will grow 10% YoY in Q4FY24 (as against 8% YoY in Q3)However, owing to aggressive volume push in non-trade segments (channel check suggests major players pushed volumes hard in Q4), cement pricing took a beating during the peak demand quarterContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Weak pricing dampens industry margin

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>After observing a slowdown in demand growth during Q3FY24, the momentum in cement demand accelerated in Q4FY24, despite facing a higher base from the previous year, which had seen growth rates of 11-13% in Q4FY23.</li><li>This surge in demand was predominantly fueled by government-led initiatives in infrastructure and housing development, alongside an uptick in real estate demand.</li><li>Following a lacklustre performance in Jan’24, cement demand gained traction in Feb’24 and concluded on a high note in Mar’24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After observing a slowdown in demand growth during Q3FY24, the momentum in cement demand accelerated in Q4FY24, despite facing a higher base from the previous year, which had seen growth rates of 11-13% in Q4FY23.This surge in demand was predominantly fueled by government-led initiatives in infrastructure and housing development, alongside an uptick in real estate demand.Following a lacklustre performance in Jan’24, cement demand gained traction in Feb’24 and concluded on a high note in Mar’24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters</li><li>While demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivals</li><li>Thus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quartersWhile demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivalsThus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

<ul><li>Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.</li><li>This was on account of Diwali festivity, labour shortage, construction ban in NCR, and Assembly election in key States of MP, CG, Rajasthan, and Telangana.</li><li>After witnessing double-digit growth in Oct’23, cement demand moderated sharply in Nov’23 and remained subdued in Dec’23, though a slight pick-up towards the end of the month was observed. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.This was on account of Diwali festivity, labour shortage, construction ban in NCR, and Assembly election in key States of MP, CG, Rajasthan, and Telangana.After witnessing double-digit growth in Oct’23, cement demand moderated sharply in Nov’23 and remained subdued in Dec’23, though a slight pick-up towards the end of the month was observed. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive valuation of 4.7x Mar-25 EPS, a ~10% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.2x, 0.7x Mar-25 P/Bv with RoE of ~16%, and a dividend yield of ~6%</li><li>However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gas</li><li>Q2FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 184bn (-2% YoY, -6% QoQ), coming in marginally below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected statutory levies and other expenses</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive valuation of 4.7x Mar-25 EPS, a ~10% discount to 5-year average P/E of 5.2x, 0.7x Mar-25 P/Bv with RoE of ~16%, and a dividend yield of ~6%However, this is offset by limited earnings potential, owing to the levy of a windfall tax on crude oil prices and a decline in the price of domestically produced APM gasQ2FY24 reported EBITDA at INR 184bn (-2% YoY, -6% QoQ), coming in marginally below our estimate, owing to higher-than-expected statutory levies and other expensesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE,

India

Star Cement Limited manufactures construction materials. The Company produces and markets cement and concrete products. Star Cement serves customers in India.

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Star Cement Ltd (STRCEM IN)

Cement (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Weak pricing dampens industry margin

Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades sales

HDFC Securities

Cement - Q4FY24 Earnings Preview

After observing a slowdown in demand growth during Q3FY24, the momentum in cement demand accelerated in Q4FY24, despite facing a higher base from...

Axis Direct

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters

HDFC Securities

Cement - Q3FY24 Earnings Preview

Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Eicher Motors, Trent, Berger Paints, BSE,

We maintain our ADD rating on ONGC with a target price of INR 208, based on oil and gas production growth at 6/9% CAGR over FY24-26E, attractive...

HDFC Securities

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