Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Shanghai United Imaging Health / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index committee has continued to use a 6-month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>All changes are in line with our forecasts and there appears to be some pre-positioning over the last week as the deletes have sold off hard.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 5.34% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,766m. The estimated impact on the deletes is higher than that on the adds.</li>
</ul>


The index committee has continued to use a 6-month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in December.
All changes are in line with our forecasts and there appears to be some pre-positioning over the last week as the deletes have sold off hard.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 5.34% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,766m. The estimated impact on the deletes is higher than that on the adds.


STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes in the Last Week

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, there could be 4 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>The market cap of potential adds using a 6-month minimum listing history is higher and there is a higher probability of a 6-month minimum listing history being used.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the index. Similar to the last few rebalances, we could see the adds outperform post the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, there could be 4 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.
The market cap of potential adds using a 6-month minimum listing history is higher and there is a higher probability of a 6-month minimum listing history being used.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the index. Similar to the last few rebalances, we could see the adds outperform post the end of the review period.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Stable Long/Short Performance in a Volatile Market

<ul>
<li>Nearly 90% of the way through the review period, we see 4 changes using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>There are overlaps in the inclusions using 6/12 month minimum listing history, so there is less risk if the index committee switches from 6 to 12 months at the review.</li>
<li>Using a 6 month minimum listing history, one-way turnover is estimated at 5.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,795m.</li>
</ul>


Nearly 90% of the way through the review period, we see 4 changes using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.
There are overlaps in the inclusions using 6/12 month minimum listing history, so there is less risk if the index committee switches from 6 to 12 months at the review.
Using a 6 month minimum listing history, one-way turnover is estimated at 5.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,795m.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four or Five Changes in December

Hoymiles Power Electronics / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index committee has continued to use a 6 month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> in September.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 4.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,265m. Passive trackers will need to trade between 1-5 days ADV on the adds/deletes.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and the CSI500 Index since the end of the review period. We'd look to buy the adds and hedge with CSI500 Index futures.</li>
</ul>


The index committee has continued to use a 6 month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in September.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 4.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,265m. Passive trackers will need to trade between 1-5 days ADV on the adds/deletes.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and the CSI500 Index since the end of the review period. We'd look to buy the adds and hedge with CSI500 Index futures.


STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Continue to Outperform as Changes Are Announced

<ul>
<li>Over 96% of the way through the review period, we see 1 change using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>We expect the index committee to continue using the shorter minimum listing history since the potential adds have much larger market caps than the potential deletes.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and there could be more once the current consolidation is complete.</li>
</ul>


Over 96% of the way through the review period, we see 1 change using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.
We expect the index committee to continue using the shorter minimum listing history since the potential adds have much larger market caps than the potential deletes.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and there could be more once the current consolidation is complete.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Adds Outperforming the Deletes

China

SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 Index consists of 50 securities with largest market capitalization and good liquidity listed on SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board. The index aims to reflect the overall performance of leading technological innovation-based enterprises’ securities.

SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)

STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes in the Last Week

There are 5 changes for the STAR50 in Dec. The changes were forecast; the adds have outperformed the deletes in the last week. Historically, a long...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Stable Long/Short Performance in a Volatile Market

We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history. That means 5 changes in December. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four or Five Changes in December

There could be 4/5 changes if a 12/6 month minimum listing history is used. Using a 6 month minimum listing history, one-way turnover is estimated...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Continue to Outperform as Changes Are Announced

There are 5 changes to the STAR50 in September as the index committee sticks to a 6 month minimum listing history. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Adds Outperforming the Deletes

There could be 5 changes if the index committee continues using a 6 month minimum listing history. The adds have outperformed the deletes over the...

Brian Freitas