Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toast-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34261:1" rel="noopener">Toast (TOST US)</a> increased its IPO price range to<a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/restaurant-software-provider-toast-raises-144113955.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> $34 to $36</a> per share on 20 September, up from $30 to $33 per share previously. The company plans to offer 21.74 million class A shares through its IPO. At the high end of the revised up IPO price ($36 per share), Toast Inc would raise $783 million.<div class="content-highlight">
Our base case valuation of Toast Inc is implied market cap of US$24.9 billion or US$45.5 per share, which is 26% higher than the high end of the IPO price range (US$36). Given the decent upside, we have a POSITIVE view of this IPO. 
Our valuation of Toast Inc is based on an EV/S multiple of 10.1x using our estimated sales of $2.4 billion in 2022. The EV/S multiple of 10.1x is based on a 10% discount to the average multiple of the comps in 2022.
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Toast (TOST US) increased its IPO price range to $34 to $36 per share on 20 September, up from $30 to $33 per share previously. The company plans to offer 21.74 million class A shares through its IPO. At the high end of the revised up IPO price ($36 per share), Toast Inc would raise $783 million.
Our base case valuation of Toast Inc is implied market cap of US$24.9 billion or US$45.5 per share, which is 26% higher than the high end of the IPO price range (US$36). Given the decent upside, we have a POSITIVE view of this IPO. 
Our valuation of Toast Inc is based on an EV/S multiple of 10.1x using our estimated sales of $2.4 billion in 2022. The EV/S multiple of 10.1x is based on a 10% discount to the average multiple of the comps in 2022.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, aims to raise up to US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO. Kakao held a 55% stake prior to listing, with Ant Financial holding the balance 45% stake.As of 1H21, KP had a total of 36m users and around 20m monthly active users (MAU). It processed a total GMV of KRW66.9tn in 2020 and it had already generated KRW47.9tn GMV in 1H21 itself. As of the end of 1H21, it had dealings with more than 610,000 affiliated stores and 100 financial institutions.Since spinning out from Kakao in 2017, the number of MAUs have grown 14x from 2Q17 to 2Q21, while the quarterly transaction amount grew 61x from KRW0.4tn in 2Q17 to KRW24.5tn in 2Q21. Over the past few years the company has been expanding its offering beyond payment processing to include other financial products. On the back of this, its revenue has been growing faster than its GMV.We have covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kakao-pay-ipo-guided-by-ant-financial-to-be-a-mini-ant" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay IPO - Guided by Ant Financial to be a mini Ant</a>.In this note we will undertake a peer comparison.

Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, aims to raise up to US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO. Kakao held a 55% stake prior to listing, with Ant Financial holding the balance 45% stake.As of 1H21, KP had a total of 36m users and around 20m monthly active users (MAU). It processed a total GMV of KRW66.9tn in 2020 and it had already generated KRW47.9tn GMV in 1H21 itself. As of the end of 1H21, it had dealings with more than 610,000 affiliated stores and 100 financial institutions.Since spinning out from Kakao in 2017, the number of MAUs have grown 14x from 2Q17 to 2Q21, while the quarterly transaction amount grew 61x from KRW0.4tn in 2Q17 to KRW24.5tn in 2Q21. Over the past few years the company has been expanding its offering beyond payment processing to include other financial products. On the back of this, its revenue has been growing faster than its GMV.We have covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier note, Kakao Pay IPO - Guided by Ant Financial to be a mini Ant.In this note we will undertake a peer comparison.

Kakao Pay IPO - Peer Comparison - Local and International

Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, aims to raise up to US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO. Kakao held a 55% stake prior to listing, with Ant Financial holding the balance 45% stake.As of 1H21, KP had a total of 36m users and around 20m monthly active users (MAU). It processed a total GMV of KRW66.9tn in 2020 and it had already generated KRW47.9tn GMV in 1H21 itself. As of the end of 1H21, it had dealings with more than 610,000 affiliated stores and 100 financial institutions.KP began operation in Sep 2014 as a fintech division of Kakao to facilitate online payments. Ant Financial invested US$200m in the company in Feb 2017 and the division was spun out of Kakao in Apr 2017. Since spinning out, the number of MAUs have grown 14x from 2Q17 to 2Q21, while the quarterly transaction amount grew 61x from KRW0.4tn in 2Q17 to KRW24.5tn in 2Q21. Over the past few years the company has been expanding its offering beyond payment processing to include other financial products. On the back of this, its revenue has been growing faster than its GMV.

Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, aims to raise up to US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO. Kakao held a 55% stake prior to listing, with Ant Financial holding the balance 45% stake.As of 1H21, KP had a total of 36m users and around 20m monthly active users (MAU). It processed a total GMV of KRW66.9tn in 2020 and it had already generated KRW47.9tn GMV in 1H21 itself. As of the end of 1H21, it had dealings with more than 610,000 affiliated stores and 100 financial institutions.KP began operation in Sep 2014 as a fintech division of Kakao to facilitate online payments. Ant Financial invested US$200m in the company in Feb 2017 and the division was spun out of Kakao in Apr 2017. Since spinning out, the number of MAUs have grown 14x from 2Q17 to 2Q21, while the quarterly transaction amount grew 61x from KRW0.4tn in 2Q17 to KRW24.5tn in 2Q21. Over the past few years the company has been expanding its offering beyond payment processing to include other financial products. On the back of this, its revenue has been growing faster than its GMV.

Kakao Pay IPO - Guided by Ant Financial to Be a Mini Ant

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

If you have never heard of the Long-Term Stock Exchange (LTSE), that is understandable. It is new, and still quite small; in fact, it is the second smallest in the world (for reference LTSE is larger than the Armenia Securities Exchange and considerably smaller than the Bermuda Stock Exchange).But this is about strategy, not size.As the world's first and one-of-a-kind "ESG stock exchange," LTSE's evolution is worth watching. One big milestone came last week when Asana (ASAN US) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/twilio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26473:1" rel="noopener">Twilio (TWLO US)</a> began trading; LTSE's first two listings, and solid "anchors" that should give other issuers confidence in LTSE.This Insight provides an overview of LTSE – its ESG business model, history, funding, expertise, and outlook including potential future listings. Not just from the perspective of LTSE, but also in terms of the broader implications for sustainable/ESG investing and capital markets.

If you have never heard of the Long-Term Stock Exchange (LTSE), that is understandable. It is new, and still quite small; in fact, it is the second smallest in the world (for reference LTSE is larger than the Armenia Securities Exchange and considerably smaller than the Bermuda Stock Exchange).But this is about strategy, not size.As the world's first and one-of-a-kind "ESG stock exchange," LTSE's evolution is worth watching. One big milestone came last week when Asana (ASAN US) and Twilio (TWLO US) began trading; LTSE's first two listings, and solid "anchors" that should give other issuers confidence in LTSE.This Insight provides an overview of LTSE – its ESG business model, history, funding, expertise, and outlook including potential future listings. Not just from the perspective of LTSE, but also in terms of the broader implications for sustainable/ESG investing and capital markets.

Asana and Twilio Are First Listings for ESG-Focused Long-Term Stock Exchange (LTSE)

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Square has been all over the news after its big announcement to acquire Afterpay, a ‘buy now, pay later’ solutions provider in a $29 billion all-stock deal.</li><li>Before this big acquisition announcement, Square reported a decent result with revenues driven by strong momentum across the Cash App ecosystem which added $3.33 billion to the top-line implying a growth of a staggering 177%.</li><li>Bitcoin alone was responsible for revenues of $2.72 billion, up more than 10 times as compared to the 2020 numbers.</li></ul>

Square has been all over the news after its big announcement to acquire Afterpay, a ‘buy now, pay later’ solutions provider in a $29 billion all-stock deal.Before this big acquisition announcement, Square reported a decent result with revenues driven by strong momentum across the Cash App ecosystem which added $3.33 billion to the top-line implying a growth of a staggering 177%.Bitcoin alone was responsible for revenues of $2.72 billion, up more than 10 times as compared to the 2020 numbers.

United States

Block, Inc. operates as a financial services and digital payments company. The Company develops a payments platform aimed at small and medium businesses that allows them to accept credit card payments and use tablet computers as payment registers for a point-of-sale system. Block also provides financial and marketing services.

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Block (SQ US)

Toast Inc Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Toast Inc is implied market cap of US$24.9 billion or US$45.5 per share, which is 26% higher than the high end of the...

Douglas Kim

Kakao Pay IPO - Peer Comparison - Local and International

Kakao Pay, one of South Korea’s largest payment apps, aims to raise up to US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO. Kakao held a 55% stake prior to...

Sumeet Singh

Kakao Pay IPO - Guided by Ant Financial to Be a Mini Ant

Kakao Pay, one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, aims to raise up to US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO. Kakao holds a...

Sumeet Singh

Asana and Twilio Are First Listings for ESG-Focused Long-Term Stock Exchange (LTSE)

Long-Term Stock Exchange just landed its first two listings, Asana and Twilio. It's a major milestone for this new ESG-focused exchange.

Kyle Rudden

Square Inc. - Investment Thesis

Square has been all over the news after its big announcement to acquire Afterpay, a ‘buy now, pay later’ solutions provider in a $29 billion...

Baptista Research

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