FLASH: UK Wages Surge Beyond BoE Forecast in Jul-18
The UK unemployment rate remained at 4.03% in July as employment was depressed by the new cohort joining the survey. Bullish trends remain...
226 Views
FLASH: UK 3Q18 GDP Growth Now Tracking 0.5% Q-O-Q
Monthly GDP increased by 0.3% m-o-m in July, which exceeded even my above-consensus forecast. I am raising my forecast for 3Q18 GDP growth to...
222 Views
Preview: BoE Still Awaits Withdrawal Agreement
Uncertainty about the withdrawal treaty, or lack thereof, makes it worth waiting a few months more before giving guidance around the next rate...
333 Views
UK Wrap: Brexit Bifurcation in Bullish Trends
Economy: The post-referendum growth trend pace has re-established at 0.15% m-o-m, which appears to remain above-potential. Inflation should...
341 Views
FLASH: UK August PMIs Reinforce Upside Risk to 3Q18
The UK’s services PMI rebounded to 54.3, which is back above its post-referendum Surveys are overall consistent with recent growth trends...
380 Views