Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyocera-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:753:1" rel="noopener">Kyocera (6971 JP)</a></strong> is not blowing out the lights versus peers, but it's relatively inexpensive to its history and peers. If Kazuo Inamori's shares are sold, Kyocera can buy them.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Hang Lung (10 HK)</strong></a> currently trades at a 62% discount to NAV, a level last seen around the Covid lows in May 2020.</li>
<li>Washington and Beijing reach an agreement allowing US regulators access to audits of Chinese companies listed on American exchanges.  However, US regulators remain cautious about the success of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Kyocera (6971 JP) is not blowing out the lights versus peers, but it's relatively inexpensive to its history and peers. If Kazuo Inamori's shares are sold, Kyocera can buy them.

Hang Lung (10 HK) currently trades at a 62% discount to NAV, a level last seen around the Covid lows in May 2020.
Washington and Beijing reach an agreement allowing US regulators access to audits of Chinese companies listed on American exchanges.  However, US regulators remain cautious about the success of the deal.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Kyocera, Hang Lung Group, CSRC/PCAOB Audit Terms, MACA, Nitro Software

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Kadokawa announced yesterday that subsidiary From Software would conduct a third-party allocation of shares to Sony and Tencent. </li>
<li>The allotment values From Software at about ¥120bn with Tencent acquiring 16.25% and Sony acquiring 14.09% of the company. </li>
<li>This creates opportunities for both Sony and Tencent and likely puts Kadokawa on track to eventually be acquired though timing may be somewhat later than we had anticipated.</li>
</ul>


Kadokawa announced yesterday that subsidiary From Software would conduct a third-party allocation of shares to Sony and Tencent. 
The allotment values From Software at about ¥120bn with Tencent acquiring 16.25% and Sony acquiring 14.09% of the company. 
This creates opportunities for both Sony and Tencent and likely puts Kadokawa on track to eventually be acquired though timing may be somewhat later than we had anticipated.


Kadokawa – Investments From Sony and Tencent

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 36 adds and 34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. Some of the changes are interesting.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 4.75% and a two-way trade of JPY 444.45bn (US$3.3bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a> is a delete from the JPX Nikkei 400 Index but a high probability inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> at the September rebalance.</li>
</ul>


There are 36 adds and 34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. Some of the changes are interesting.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 4.75% and a two-way trade of JPY 444.45bn (US$3.3bn).

Oriental Land (4661 JP) is a delete from the JPX Nikkei 400 Index but a high probability inclusion to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) at the September rebalance.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: Some Biggish Impact Stocks

<ul>
<li>FFW changes and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercari-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27149:1" rel="noopener">Mercari Inc (4385 JP)</a>'s inclusion in the TOPIX will lead to a one-way turnover of 0.55% and one-way trade of JPY 443bn (US$3.23bn) at the close today.</li>
<li>There is net buying in Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Communication Services stocks, while there will be net selling in Consumer Staples and Health Care stocks.</li>
<li>The upweights have outperformed the downweights since announcement of the changes and there has not been a lot of excess volume traded in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


FFW changes and Mercari Inc (4385 JP)'s inclusion in the TOPIX will lead to a one-way turnover of 0.55% and one-way trade of JPY 443bn (US$3.23bn) at the close today.
There is net buying in Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Communication Services stocks, while there will be net selling in Consumer Staples and Health Care stocks.
The upweights have outperformed the downweights since announcement of the changes and there has not been a lot of excess volume traded in the last couple of weeks.


TOPIX July Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>LG Energy Solution (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO. The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>LGES is the EV battery unit of LG Chem. The company is a major supplier to customers including Tesla and General Motors.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


LG Energy Solution (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO. The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.
LGES is the EV battery unit of LG Chem. The company is a major supplier to customers including Tesla and General Motors.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


LG Energy IPO Lock-Up - Largest Lockup Release of the Lot at US$3bn

Japan

Sony Corporation manufactures audio, home video game consoles, communications, key device and information technology products for the consumer and professional markets.  The Company's other businesses include music, pictures, computer entertainment, and online businesses.

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Sony Corp (6758 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Kyocera, Hang Lung Group, CSRC/PCAOB Audit Terms, MACA, Nitro Software

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Kadokawa – Investments From Sony and Tencent

Investment in From Software by both Sony and Tencent and likely puts Kadokawa on track to eventually be acquired though timing may be somewhat...

Mio Kato

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: Some Biggish Impact Stocks

There are 36 adds & 34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index at the August rebalance leading to an estimated one way turnover of 4.75% and a two-way...

Brian Freitas

TOPIX July Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

The TOPIX July rebalance will lead to a turnover of 0.55% and trade of JPY 443bn at the close today. The top 25 upweights have outperformed the top...

Brian Freitas

LG Energy IPO Lock-Up - Largest Lockup Release of the Lot at US$3bn

LG Energy Solution (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO. The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

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