Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX +0.2% as Investors Buy Financials; Semis regained some of its mojo as SOX rose 1.3%; Fed remains in Focus; Boeing glitches;  All Telsa cars qualify for IRA benefits</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; Relentless bid in JP equities continues - yesterday ignoring US weakness on Monday; JP Govt tgts 3x rise in Domestic Semi Sales by 2030. </li>
<li>NUGGET. Japan revamps its semi strategy - aggressive targets to get to ¥15 trillion in domestic sales by 2030, while being the key in the global semi supply chain.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX +0.2% as Investors Buy Financials; Semis regained some of its mojo as SOX rose 1.3%; Fed remains in Focus; Boeing glitches;  All Telsa cars qualify for IRA benefits
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; Relentless bid in JP equities continues - yesterday ignoring US weakness on Monday; JP Govt tgts 3x rise in Domestic Semi Sales by 2030. 
NUGGET. Japan revamps its semi strategy - aggressive targets to get to ¥15 trillion in domestic sales by 2030, while being the key in the global semi supply chain.


Ohayo Japan |SPX +0.2%; Fed in Focus; NUGGET: Japan Global Semi Suppy Chain Dominance in Sight ?

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. US Rally Pauses as weak(er) Services ISM brings recession risk reminder; MS Big Bearish Call on SPX; Apple unveils Game Changing VR Headset ; Crypto Worries -Binance CEO Charged</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.3% vs Cash; Expect a pull back today given US pause, overbought markets, and stronger yen;  MS Bullish Call on Japan; Panasonic expands Battery production for TESLA</li>
<li>NUGGET. Data Centers - Demand set to Explode with AI: Next Growth Driver for an Already undervalued Kansai Electric ?</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. US Rally Pauses as weak(er) Services ISM brings recession risk reminder; MS Big Bearish Call on SPX; Apple unveils Game Changing VR Headset ; Crypto Worries -Binance CEO Charged
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.3% vs Cash; Expect a pull back today given US pause, overbought markets, and stronger yen;  MS Bullish Call on Japan; Panasonic expands Battery production for TESLA
NUGGET. Data Centers - Demand set to Explode with AI: Next Growth Driver for an Already undervalued Kansai Electric ?


Ohayo Japan|US Rally Pauses on Services ISM-Recession Fears?; NUGGET: KEPCO, AI, and Data Centers ?

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  US Equities Soar on Debt Resolution and Payrolls; Markets continue to price in Fed Pause; Leaks about China Property stimulus support sentiment; Saudi Arabia slashes oil output.</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +1.4% vs Cash;  JP bid to continue after US Rally; Inflation pushing households to stocks; Japan prioritizes hydrogen; Companies face a raft of proposals at June AGMs</li>
<li>NUGGET. Where Nvidia Goes, Advantest Follows; Advantest now simply just a proxy on Nvidia's share price</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  US Equities Soar on Debt Resolution and Payrolls; Markets continue to price in Fed Pause; Leaks about China Property stimulus support sentiment; Saudi Arabia slashes oil output.
JAPAN. NKY Futs +1.4% vs Cash;  JP bid to continue after US Rally; Inflation pushing households to stocks; Japan prioritizes hydrogen; Companies face a raft of proposals at June AGMs
NUGGET. Where Nvidia Goes, Advantest Follows; Advantest now simply just a proxy on Nvidia's share price


Ohayo Japan |Stocks Soar on Debt Resolution/Jobs/China; NUGGET: Where Nvidia Goes, Advantest Follows

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.</li>
<li>We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.</li>
</ul>


There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.
We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.


No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX -0.7%, down again on inability to get a debt deal; Yellen's warnings keep coming; Fed Minutes - Officials mixed on hikes/pause; NVIDIA-BLOW OUT AI DRIVEN GUIDANCE</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.3% Discount to Cash; US debt limit weighs on Japans;  Fujitsu MTP - to return ¥600bn to shareholders over 3 yrs; Watch Advantest today on NVIDIA's guidance</li>
<li>NUGGET. Next Gen drinks development takes off as Sapporo Holdings(2501 JP) seeks competitive edge in drinks development by using AI</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX -0.7%, down again on inability to get a debt deal; Yellen's warnings keep coming; Fed Minutes - Officials mixed on hikes/pause; NVIDIA-BLOW OUT AI DRIVEN GUIDANCE
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.3% Discount to Cash; US debt limit weighs on Japans;  Fujitsu MTP - to return ¥600bn to shareholders over 3 yrs; Watch Advantest today on NVIDIA's guidance
NUGGET. Next Gen drinks development takes off as Sapporo Holdings(2501 JP) seeks competitive edge in drinks development by using AI


Ohayo Japan | US Stocks/Bond Sell Off (Again) On Debt Impass;NUGGET: Sapporo HD-Using AI to Get Edge

Japan

Sony Corporation manufactures audio, home video game consoles, communications, key device and information technology products for the consumer and professional markets.  The Company's other businesses include music, pictures, computer entertainment, and online businesses.

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Sony Corp (6758 JP)

Ohayo Japan |SPX +0.2%; Fed in Focus; NUGGET: Japan Global Semi Suppy Chain Dominance in Sight ?

NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; Relentless bid in JP equities continues - yesterday ignoring US weakness on Monday; JP Govt tgts 3x rise in Domestic Semi...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|US Rally Pauses on Services ISM-Recession Fears?; NUGGET: KEPCO, AI, and Data Centers ?

NKY Futs -0.3% vs Cash; Expect a pull back today given US pause, overbought markets, and stronger yen; MS Bullish Call on Japan; Panasonic expands...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan |Stocks Soar on Debt Resolution/Jobs/China; NUGGET: Where Nvidia Goes, Advantest Follows

US Equites well bid as SPX closes up +1.5% on Debt relief/Strong payrolls. NKY Futs +1.4% vs Cash; Inflation pushing households to stocks;...

Mark Chadwick

No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

No Traction Above $93 on MSCI $ACWI or 4400-4415 on EURO #STOXX 50. Continues to reinforce our view from early-January that $93 on ACWI caps upside...

Vermilion Research

Ohayo Japan | US Stocks/Bond Sell Off (Again) On Debt Impass;NUGGET: Sapporo HD-Using AI to Get Edge

Stocks and Bonds sell off in the US on ongoing debt limit impass; NKY Futs -0.3% Discount to Cash; Aggressive shareholder returns in Fujitsu's...

Mark Chadwick

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