Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

• Pullback opportunities are prevalent in Europe and Japan. Both markets are testing key support levels, presenting attractive entry points. We see little reason to abandon our bullish outlooks for both markets... see page 2• Overweight Materials Sector. We highlight actionable names within the materials sector as global miners continue to emerge from base patterns, most of which still yield attractive entry points, including Vale (VALE) and Rio Tinto (RIO-GB)... see pages 3-5• Opportunities in China. This week we highlight attractive set-ups in China.  Highlighted charts range from Baidu (BIDU) and Bank of China (3988-HK) to Fosun (656-HK) and China Southern Airlines (1055-HK)... see pages 6-8

• Pullback opportunities are prevalent in Europe and Japan. Both markets are testing key support levels, presenting attractive entry points. We see little reason to abandon our bullish outlooks for both markets... see page 2• Overweight Materials Sector. We highlight actionable names within the materials sector as global miners continue to emerge from base patterns, most of which still yield attractive entry points, including Vale (VALE) and Rio Tinto (RIO-GB)... see pages 3-5• Opportunities in China. This week we highlight attractive set-ups in China.  Highlighted charts range from Baidu (BIDU) and Bank of China (3988-HK) to Fosun (656-HK) and China Southern Airlines (1055-HK)... see pages 6-8

EM Is Cementing Its Leadership Status; Buy Miners

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.The biggest…

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.2% in January to +11.8% in February, though the month-on-month growth actually picked up from +0.2% to +0.3%.Top risers on a 12-month basis now show some of the more significant declines on the month-on-month basis, while there are more cities with house prices rising.The biggest…

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40 major cities.In 2016, the land sales declined slightly in Gross Floor Area (GFA) terms (despite <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-property-2017-forecast-summary" target="_blank">strong property sales volumes</a>) but increased significantly in terms of RMB Value, i.e. the average price of land on that basis went up.Such average calculations don't take into account the change in the type of locations where land is being sold - recent sales are more…

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40 major cities.In 2016, the land sales declined slightly in Gross Floor Area (GFA) terms (despite strong property sales volumes) but increased significantly in terms of RMB Value, i.e. the average price of land on that basis went up.Such average calculations don't take into account the change in the type of locations where land is being sold - recent sales are more…

China Property: Land Sales In 2016 - Less Supply, Higher Prices

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look at house prices, sales volumes, inventory clearing, land sales, construction indicators, policy and other factors.  Adapted from the presentation on ChinaDebate on Feb 2.

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look at house prices, sales volumes, inventory clearing, land sales, construction indicators, policy and other factors.  Adapted from the presentation on ChinaDebate on Feb 2.

China Housing 2017 - ChinaDebate Video Presentation

China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the new data on house price indices (new home sales) for 70 cities in China. New data shows a gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.4% in December to +12.2% in January, with the month-on-month growth still up +0.2% but slower than +0.3% in December. The biggest month-on-month changes were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-property-a-turning-point-for-the-sunny-sanya-and-hainan-island" target="_blank">Sanya (+1.7%)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-property-the-case-of-chongqing" target="_blank">Chongqing (+1.3%)</a> among the risers, incidentally the two cities we have recently…

China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the new data on house price indices (new home sales) for 70 cities in China. New data shows a gradual deceleration in price growth overall on a year-on-year basis from +12.4% in December to +12.2% in January, with the month-on-month growth still up +0.2% but slower than +0.3% in December. The biggest month-on-month changes were in Sanya (+1.7%) and Chongqing (+1.3%) among the risers, incidentally the two cities we have recently…

China Property: Cooling Signs In Official NBS House Price Data For January; Sanya and Chongqing Up

China

Guangzhou R&F Properties Co., Ltd. operates real estate businesses. The Company provides housing renovation, housing loans, real estate brokerage, property management, and other services. Guangzhou R&F Properties also operates hotel management.

YunNan Metropolitan Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. operates in property development business. It also manufactures and markets beer and fruit wines, plastic film for agricultural use and grows chinaberry.

Shanghai Infotmic Co., Ltd. is a professional integrated circuit design company, focusing on the research and development of mobile Internet terminal application processor chip.

Zhejiang Guangsha Co., Ltd. develops real estate and undertakes construction projects.  The Company also provides travel services and operates in property management.

Beijing Electronic Zone Investment and Development Co. Ltd. operates as a real estate developer. The Company develops technology industrial parks and residential areas. Beijing Electronic Zone Investment and Development also conducts investment attractions, industry incubation, and industrial park operation businesses.

Hefei Urban Construction Development Co., LTD. develops residential properties. The company also markets and provides services to its related commercial properties.

Shanghai Tianchen Co., Ltd. is an investment holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company develops and manages real estate properties, provides taxi transportation services, offers driver training programs, operates parking lots and logistic zones, and manufactures pharmaceuticals. The Company also operates hotel and construction and renovation businesses.

Tianjin Jinbin Development Co., Ltd. operates a diversified business.  The Company provides construction machinery and tools leasing and rental service, sells general merchandise and real estate properties, distributes electricity and heat, and offers technology consulting services.

Shenzhen World Union Properties Consultancy Inc. develops and invests in real estate.  The Company also provides real estate agency, consultancy and management services, financial and asset management services.

Shenzhen Worldunion Proprts Cnsltncy (002285 CH)

Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co Ltd manufactures steel wire ropes, steel wires, and steel strands. The Company's products are used in tire manufacturing, telecommunication, and other industries. Hubei Fuxing also invests in real estate.

Hubei Fuxing Science & Technology (000926 CH)

PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk is an industrial property developer. The Company sells industrial estate, residential and commercial land.

Far East Consortium International Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in real estate.  The Company also operates hotels.

Far East Consortium International (35 HK)

Sinarmas Land Ltd. invests in, develops and manages real estate.  The Company owns commercial buildings, hotels and resorts in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore.

Nirlon Ltd. develops real estate.  The Company develops office parks.

KSL Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company develops properties. KSL Holdings performs all aspects of development from land purchasing to final property inspection.

PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develop properties such as  malls, hotels, and office buildings. Duta Pertiwi Tbk serves clients in Indonesia.

Hung Sheng Construction Ltd. provides real estate services to meet both resident ial and commercial real estate needs.  The Company conducts primarily its busine ss in developing, selling, and leasing residential and commercial buildings whic h are constructed by independent constructors.

Tanco Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in property development and investment, hotel, vacation ownership interval and schemes, golf club, marina club, travel and tour agent, and resort.  Tanco also provides construction and money lending services.

Shin Ruenn Development Company Ltd. provides development and sale of residential and commercial buildings, villas, and office buildings. Shin Ruenn also produces video systems, drawing machines, and consumable parts.

Joy City Property Limited, is engaged in the development, operation, sale, leasing and management of mixed-use complexes and commercial properties such as shopping malls, hotels, offices, serviced apartments and resort and tourist properties.

Soho China Ltd. is a property developer. The Company develops properties in central Beijing and Shanghai. Soho China collaborates with internationally recognized architects, translating their designs into real estate which possesses strong appeal to property investors and the local businesses and customer bases they serve.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Soho China (410 HK)

EM Is Cementing Its Leadership Status; Buy Miners

• Pullback opportunities are prevalent in Europe and Japan. Both markets are testing key support levels,presenting attractive entry points. We see...

Vermilion Research

China Property: What's Going On With House Prices... Based On The Latest NBS Data

New data from China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) for February for 70 major cities and calculations of the aggregate show a further gradual...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: Land Sales In 2016 - Less Supply, Higher Prices

The charts below illustrate what has happened in China in terms of primary land sales for residential or mixed-use development in 40...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing 2017 - ChinaDebate Video Presentation

In this 20-minute video, we review the China housing markets dynamics and present our 2017 forecast, with key arguments and data around it. We look...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: Cooling Signs In Official NBS House Price Data For January; Sanya and Chongqing Up

China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the new data on house price indices (new home sales) for 70 cities in China. New data...

Robert Ciemniak

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)