Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Yang Ming Marine Transport / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>The base date for the December 2024 review was 25th November 2024. <em><strong>However, after the base date, the index selection methodology has been changed.</strong></em>
</li>
<li>As a result, we are revising our expectations for index changes and flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.
The base date for the December 2024 review was 25th November 2024. However, after the base date, the index selection methodology has been changed.

As a result, we are revising our expectations for index changes and flow expectations.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Late Changes to Methodology; New Flow Expectations

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are now new changes forecast for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December for a total of 8 inclusions and 7 deletions.</li>
<li>Constituent changes along with capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 21.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 75.8bn (US$2.33bn).</li>
<li>The potential changes had a big one-day move yesterday and we expect similar moves over the next couple of days.</li>
</ul>


There are now new changes forecast for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December for a total of 8 inclusions and 7 deletions.
Constituent changes along with capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 21.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 75.8bn (US$2.33bn).
The potential changes had a big one-day move yesterday and we expect similar moves over the next couple of days.


Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Last-Second Changes to the Last-Minute Changes

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 25 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 17.3% and a one-way trade of TWD 60.6bn (US$1.86bn).</li>
<li>On average, the forecast adds have started to outperform the forecast deletes. Positioning should continue in stocks that have large flow/impact or have recently joined the list of forecast adds/deletes.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 25 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 17.3% and a one-way trade of TWD 60.6bn (US$1.86bn).
On average, the forecast adds have started to outperform the forecast deletes. Positioning should continue in stocks that have large flow/impact or have recently joined the list of forecast adds/deletes.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Shift in Divs Leads to Last Minute Changes

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see five ADDs and four DELs.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way flow to be around US$1.68bn with multiple names having 5x ADV or more to trade.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.
Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see five ADDs and four DELs.
We estimate one-way flow to be around US$1.68bn with multiple names having 5x ADV or more to trade.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Final Expectations; US$1.68bn One-Way; +17% Gain from Last Trade

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>I currently see 5 ADDs and 4 DELs but some of these names are different from what we had last time (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-tdiv-dec-24-5-adds-4-dels-likely-us-1-38bn-one-way" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>).</li>
<li>The current estimate for one-way flow in December 2024 is US$1.54bn.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.
I currently see 5 ADDs and 4 DELs but some of these names are different from what we had last time (link).
The current estimate for one-way flow in December 2024 is US$1.54bn.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Trade Successful; +9.5% in Three Weeks; More Upside Possible.

Taiwan

SinoPac Financial Holdings Co., Ltd. is an investment holding company, formed through Bank SinoPac and SinoPac Securities.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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SinoPac Holdings (2890 TT)

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Late Changes to Methodology; New Flow Expectations

Our one-way flow expectations have increased from US$1.7bn to US$2.3bn for the TDIV Dec 24 index rebal event. Our expected number of index changes...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Last-Second Changes to the Last-Minute Changes

There could now be 8 adds and 7 deletes for the ETF in December leading to one-way turnover of 21.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 75.8bn...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Shift in Divs Leads to Last Minute Changes

There could be 6 adds, 5 deletes, capping and funding changes, leading to a 1-way turnover of 17.3% and a 1-way trade of US$1.86bn. There are new...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Final Expectations; US$1.68bn One-Way; +17% Gain from Last Trade

The LONG-SHORT trade suggested in our previous insight has delivered a return of 17% in less than two months. With index change expectations now...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Trade Successful; +9.5% in Three Weeks; More Upside Possible.

The base date for the TDIV Dec24 rebal is 25th December 2024 (next Monday). The trade suggested in this insight has been performing very well and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Late Changes to Methodology; New Flow Expectations

Our one-way flow expectations have increased from US$1.7bn to US$2.3bn for the TDIV Dec 24 index rebal event. Our expected number of index changes...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Last-Second Changes to the Last-Minute Changes

There could now be 8 adds and 7 deletes for the ETF in December leading to one-way turnover of 21.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 75.8bn...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Shift in Divs Leads to Last Minute Changes

There could be 6 adds, 5 deletes, capping and funding changes, leading to a 1-way turnover of 17.3% and a 1-way trade of US$1.86bn. There are new...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Final Expectations; US$1.68bn One-Way; +17% Gain from Last Trade

The LONG-SHORT trade suggested in our previous insight has delivered a return of 17% in less than two months. With index change expectations now...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Trade Successful; +9.5% in Three Weeks; More Upside Possible.

The base date for the TDIV Dec24 rebal is 25th December 2024 (next Monday). The trade suggested in this insight has been performing very well and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Shift in Divs Leads to Last Minute Changes