Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Which major Chinese cities are likely to outperform in 2017 on price growth/pickup in residential new home sales markets? In 2016 (Jan-Nov), we saw lower-tier spill-over cities near Tier-1 cities as top performers, followed by Hefei, Xiamen, Nanjing and Shenzhen, on a 12-month price growth basis. Which cities are worth watching in 2017?</p>

Which major Chinese cities are likely to outperform in 2017 on price growth/pickup in residential new home sales markets? In 2016 (Jan-Nov), we saw lower-tier spill-over cities near Tier-1 cities as top performers, followed by Hefei, Xiamen, Nanjing and Shenzhen, on a 12-month price growth basis. Which cities are worth watching in 2017?

<p>Chongqing comes up as the next 'lead city' in volume growth and price pickup in the 'commercial residential' new home sales market in China. The average performance of the city on a 12-month basis contrasts with a standout growth in volumes and pickup in prices in recent months (November data); the impact of latest January tightening measures is still to be seen, but the city has a good chance of becoming a relative outperformer in 2017.</p>

Chongqing comes up as the next 'lead city' in volume growth and price pickup in the 'commercial residential' new home sales market in China. The average performance of the city on a 12-month basis contrasts with a standout growth in volumes and pickup in prices in recent months (November data); the impact of latest January tightening measures is still to be seen, but the city has a good chance of becoming a relative outperformer in 2017.

<p>In our annual 2017 Forecast for the housing market in China (new home sales), the main scenario is a cyclical peak in the price growth in Dec/Jan (latest data is for Nov) and sharp deceleration to negative growth by the year-end.</p>

In our annual 2017 Forecast for the housing market in China (new home sales), the main scenario is a cyclical peak in the price growth in Dec/Jan (latest data is for Nov) and sharp deceleration to negative growth by the year-end.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Capital Markets

Dasin Retail Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<p>China Zhongshan City based Dasin Retail Trust plans to raise US$100m through its IPO in Singapore. In this insight, we will analyse the deal's fundamentals, its financials, valuation and its scores in our Smartkarma ECM Framework.</p><hr><div><h2>Deal and framework score overview</h2></div><p>Regular readers will be familiar with the below embed from our IPO tool which has been designed to provide you with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the…</p>

China Zhongshan City based Dasin Retail Trust plans to raise US$100m through its IPO in Singapore. In this insight, we will analyse the deal's fundamentals, its financials, valuation and its scores in our Smartkarma ECM Framework.Deal and framework score overviewRegular readers will be familiar with the below embed from our IPO tool which has been designed to provide you with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the…

Dasin Retail Trust IPO: Sponsor Waiver Will Increase DPU by 122%

<p>The housing market in Shanghai (new home sales) is showing signs of slight price growth deceleration from all-time highs, according to the latest data. Volumes growth is slowing down year-to-date year-on-year and declining sequentially, in response to the latest set of policy tightening measures in the city. Our volume-based model would suggest further price deceleration is to be expected, despite still-strong inventory clearing.</p>

The housing market in Shanghai (new home sales) is showing signs of slight price growth deceleration from all-time highs, according to the latest data. Volumes growth is slowing down year-to-date year-on-year and declining sequentially, in response to the latest set of policy tightening measures in the city. Our volume-based model would suggest further price deceleration is to be expected, despite still-strong inventory clearing.

China

Sino-Ocean Group Holding Limited operates as a real estate holding company. The Company develops residential, office, and commercial real estate in the northern People's Republic of China.

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Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK)

China Property: 2017 City Picks

Which major Chinese cities are likely to outperform in 2017 on price growth/pickup in residential new home sales markets? In 2016 (Jan-Nov), we saw...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: The Case of Chongqing

Chongqing comes up as the next 'lead city' in volume growth and price pickup in the 'commercial residential' new home sales market in China. The...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property 2017 Forecast Summary

In our annual 2017 Forecast for the housing market in China (new home sales), the main scenario is a cyclical peak in the price growth in Dec/Jan...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: The Case Of Shanghai

The housing market in Shanghai (new home sales) is showing signs of slight price growth deceleration from all-time highs, according to the latest...

Robert Ciemniak

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Property: 2017 City Picks

Which major Chinese cities are likely to outperform in 2017 on price growth/pickup in residential new home sales markets? In 2016 (Jan-Nov), we saw...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: The Case of Chongqing

Chongqing comes up as the next 'lead city' in volume growth and price pickup in the 'commercial residential' new home sales market in China. The...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property 2017 Forecast Summary

In our annual 2017 Forecast for the housing market in China (new home sales), the main scenario is a cyclical peak in the price growth in Dec/Jan...

Robert Ciemniak

Dasin Retail Trust IPO: Sponsor Waiver Will Increase DPU by 122%

China Zhongshan City based Dasin Retail Trust plans to raise US$100m through its IPO in Singapore. In this insight, we will analyse the deal's...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Property: The Case Of Shanghai

The housing market in Shanghai (new home sales) is showing signs of slight price growth deceleration from all-time highs, according to the latest...

Robert Ciemniak