Asia Ex-J Consumer/ Transport analyst

Valerie Law, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Shares of Singapore Post recently climbed ~5% because e-commerce giant Alibaba got the green light to increase its stake in the postal company. Is the share price rally justified? <ul><li>Granted that e-commerce and logistics are hot sectors, there are signs of increasing competition and impending consolidation. At 22X forward PE, SingPost is not cheap by historical standards.</li><li>As SingPost is trying to digest acquisitions made over the last few years, last-mile delivery guys from Ninja Van to Deliveroo are moving aggressively and getting funded.</li><li>What is SingPost's edge? Until it decides, sticking around for dividends does not seem like a good plan.</li></ul>

Shares of Singapore Post recently climbed ~5% because e-commerce giant Alibaba got the green light to increase its stake in the postal company. Is the share price rally justified? Granted that e-commerce and logistics are hot sectors, there are signs of increasing competition and impending consolidation. At 22X forward PE, SingPost is not cheap by historical standards.As SingPost is trying to digest acquisitions made over the last few years, last-mile delivery guys from Ninja Van to Deliveroo are moving aggressively and getting funded.What is SingPost's edge? Until it decides, sticking around for dividends does not seem like a good plan.

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
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Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.</li>
<li>ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.</li>
<li>A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.</li>
<li>Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.</li>
<li>BUY…</li>
</ul>


Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.
ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.
A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.
Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.
BUY…


Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

Singapore’s GDP grew by 1.8% y-o-y in 1Q2016 similar to the growth experienced in the previous two quarters. Private consumption expenditure contributed about one-percentage points while government expenditure contributed 0.7 percentage points to the growth. Net exports detracted 3.8% from GDP growth the in quarter ended March 2016.While services sector remains a major contributor to overall GDP, 1Q2016 saw its contribution decelerate from 2.8% in 1Q2015 to 0.9% in 1Q2016 while that of goods…

Singapore’s GDP grew by 1.8% y-o-y in 1Q2016 similar to the growth experienced in the previous two quarters. Private consumption expenditure contributed about one-percentage points while government expenditure contributed 0.7 percentage points to the growth. Net exports detracted 3.8% from GDP growth the in quarter ended March 2016.While services sector remains a major contributor to overall GDP, 1Q2016 saw its contribution decelerate from 2.8% in 1Q2015 to 0.9% in 1Q2016 while that of goods…

Singapore: GDP Grows by 1.8% in 1Q2016 Driven by Consumption Expenditure

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight rates for cargo moving under contracts on the major East-West trade routes witnessing another reduction in the last quarter of 2015, according to Drewry’s Benchmarking Club, a closed user group of multinational retailers and manufacturers who closely monitor their contract freight rates. The Drewry Benchmarking Club Contract Rate Index, based on Trans…

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight rates for cargo moving under contracts on the major East-West trade routes witnessing another reduction in the last quarter of 2015, according to Drewry’s Benchmarking Club, a closed user group of multinational retailers and manufacturers who closely monitor their contract freight rates. The Drewry Benchmarking Club Contract Rate Index, based on Trans…

2016 - Washout Year for Container Shipping

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Another report of potential suitors made it to market on Friday, forcing NOL to disclose there have been talks with French carrier CMA and global leader Maersk. NOL&rsquo;s shares rose some 6% to $1.05 and closer to book NAV per share around&nbsp;S$1.4 (and higher when the US dollar drifts higher). But what would make a potential transaction more interesting, if at all, keeping in mind the Hapag IPO pricing was about 25% below the original high end of the range?

Another report of potential suitors made it to market on Friday, forcing NOL to disclose there have been talks with French carrier CMA and global leader Maersk. NOL&rsquo;s shares rose some 6% to $1.05 and closer to book NAV per share around&nbsp;S$1.4 (and higher when the US dollar drifts higher). But what would make a potential transaction more interesting, if at all, keeping in mind the Hapag IPO pricing was about 25% below the original high end of the range?

NOL's Latest Potential Merger Discussions... Where is the [Partial] Exit for Temasek?

Singapore

Singapore Post Limited is the national postal service provider in Singapore. The Company provides domestic and international postal and courier services including end-to-end integrated mail solutions covering data printing, letter-shopping, delivery and mailroom management, and others. Singapore Post also offers end-to-end e-commerce logistics solutions.

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Singapore Post (SPOST SP)

Sloth Vs Ninja; King Kong Awaits

Shares of Singapore Post recently climbed ~5% because e-commerce giant Alibaba got the green light to increase its stake in the postal company. Is...

Valerie Law, CFA

Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos. ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with...

David Riedel

Singapore: GDP Grows by 1.8% in 1Q2016 Driven by Consumption Expenditure

Singapore’s GDP grew by 1.8% y-o-y in 1Q2016 similar to the growth experienced in the previous two quarters. Private consumption expenditure...

Rajan Govil

2016 - Washout Year for Container Shipping

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

NOL's Latest Potential Merger Discussions... Where is the [Partial] Exit for Temasek?

Another report of potential suitors made it to market on Friday, forcing NOL to disclose there have been talks with French carrier CMA and global...

Charles De Trenck

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