Asia Ex-J Consumer/ Transport analyst

Valerie Law, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Shares of Singapore Post recently climbed ~5% because e-commerce giant Alibaba got the green light to increase its stake in the postal company. Is the share price rally justified? <ul><li>Granted that e-commerce and logistics are hot sectors, there are signs of increasing competition and impending consolidation. At 22X forward PE, SingPost is not cheap by historical standards.</li><li>As SingPost is trying to digest acquisitions made over the last few years, last-mile delivery guys from Ninja Van to Deliveroo are moving aggressively and getting funded.</li><li>What is SingPost's edge? Until it decides, sticking around for dividends does not seem like a good plan.</li></ul>

Shares of Singapore Post recently climbed ~5% because e-commerce giant Alibaba got the green light to increase its stake in the postal company. Is the share price rally justified? Granted that e-commerce and logistics are hot sectors, there are signs of increasing competition and impending consolidation. At 22X forward PE, SingPost is not cheap by historical standards.As SingPost is trying to digest acquisitions made over the last few years, last-mile delivery guys from Ninja Van to Deliveroo are moving aggressively and getting funded.What is SingPost's edge? Until it decides, sticking around for dividends does not seem like a good plan.

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.</li>
<li>ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.</li>
<li>A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.</li>
<li>Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.</li>
<li>BUY…</li>
</ul>


Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos.
ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with the US and should be a united front in protesting Chinese intrusions into the South China Sea.
A high-profile spat with Philippine president Duterte was an unfortunate distraction and an unhelpful development for the Philippines which benefits from strong U.S. support.
Thailand and Malaysia look like the best opportunities in ASEAN in the medium-term.
BUY…


Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

Singapore’s GDP grew by 1.8% y-o-y in 1Q2016 similar to the growth experienced in the previous two quarters. Private consumption expenditure contributed about one-percentage points while government expenditure contributed 0.7 percentage points to the growth. Net exports detracted 3.8% from GDP growth the in quarter ended March 2016.While services sector remains a major contributor to overall GDP, 1Q2016 saw its contribution decelerate from 2.8% in 1Q2015 to 0.9% in 1Q2016 while that of goods…

Singapore’s GDP grew by 1.8% y-o-y in 1Q2016 similar to the growth experienced in the previous two quarters. Private consumption expenditure contributed about one-percentage points while government expenditure contributed 0.7 percentage points to the growth. Net exports detracted 3.8% from GDP growth the in quarter ended March 2016.While services sector remains a major contributor to overall GDP, 1Q2016 saw its contribution decelerate from 2.8% in 1Q2015 to 0.9% in 1Q2016 while that of goods…

Singapore: GDP Grows by 1.8% in 1Q2016 Driven by Consumption Expenditure

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight rates for cargo moving under contracts on the major East-West trade routes witnessing another reduction in the last quarter of 2015, according to Drewry’s Benchmarking Club, a closed user group of multinational retailers and manufacturers who closely monitor their contract freight rates. The Drewry Benchmarking Club Contract Rate Index, based on Trans…

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight rates for cargo moving under contracts on the major East-West trade routes witnessing another reduction in the last quarter of 2015, according to Drewry’s Benchmarking Club, a closed user group of multinational retailers and manufacturers who closely monitor their contract freight rates. The Drewry Benchmarking Club Contract Rate Index, based on Trans…

2016 - Washout Year for Container Shipping

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Another report of potential suitors made it to market on Friday, forcing NOL to disclose there have been talks with French carrier CMA and global leader Maersk. NOL&rsquo;s shares rose some 6% to $1.05 and closer to book NAV per share around&nbsp;S$1.4 (and higher when the US dollar drifts higher). But what would make a potential transaction more interesting, if at all, keeping in mind the Hapag IPO pricing was about 25% below the original high end of the range?

Another report of potential suitors made it to market on Friday, forcing NOL to disclose there have been talks with French carrier CMA and global leader Maersk. NOL&rsquo;s shares rose some 6% to $1.05 and closer to book NAV per share around&nbsp;S$1.4 (and higher when the US dollar drifts higher). But what would make a potential transaction more interesting, if at all, keeping in mind the Hapag IPO pricing was about 25% below the original high end of the range?

NOL's Latest Potential Merger Discussions... Where is the [Partial] Exit for Temasek?

Singapore

GKE Corp. Ltd. operates as an integrated logistics solutions provider. The Company offers one-stop, door-to-door multi-modal solutions for supply chain management.

Vibrant Group Limited operates a logistics, real estate and financial services group. The Company provides international freight forwarding, chemical storage, warehousing and distribution, and record management.  Vibrant Group also engages in real estate development and management as well as provides fund management, financial leasing services, and asset and trust management.

A-Sonic Aerospace Limited provides retrofit solutions, particularly in electronic systems.  The Company also supplies aircraft systems and aerospace components.

SBS Transit Limited provides public bus services, advertisement on its bus fleet, and bus chartering.

Eneco Energy Limited is an oil and gas exploration and production company in Indonesia. The Company also provides supply chain services including inbound and outbound transportation activities, distribution management, seaport and airport cargo handling services, and chemical logistics distribution throughout the region.

Samudera Shipping Line Limited owns and operates ocean-going ships and provides containerized feeder shipping services. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also owns and charters vessels, provides sea and air freight forwarding, and operates shipping agency and container freight station services.

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is a port investor, developer and operator. The Company is also involved in transportation related services and logistics operations, including container storage and repair, container tracking, general and bulk cargo tranfer, warehousing, marine shuttle services and other related services.

Marco Polo Marine Limited is an integrated shipping company. The Company provides services that include ship chartering, ship building and repair, and brokering services.

Penguin International Limited operates as an integrated marine and offshore services company. The Company specializes in design, construction, and operation of high-speed aluminum ships. Penguin International owns and operates a fleet of vessels as well as aluminum shipbuilding yards. Penguin International serves customers worldwide.

Metis Energy Limited provides marine services, land reclamation, charter of vessels, and dredging services.  The Company also trades sea-sand, provides logistics, production, and other support services to the coal mining, oil, and gas industries.

Orient International Enterprise Ltd. provides import and export services and agency service for a variety of apparel manufacturers, including London Fog, Rifle, Calvin Klein, and Polo labels. The Company also invests in the biochemical business.

Orient International Enterprise, Ltd (600278 CH)

Allcargo Logistics Limited is a full service logistics company. The Company offers specialized logistics services across multimodal transport operations, container freight station operations and project and engineering solutions.

Farglory F T Z Investment Holding Co.,Ltd. provides land, sea, and air transportation services, as well as operates air cargo terminal, forwarders building, value-added park, international logistics center, and enterprise business center.

Konoike Transport Co Ltd operates production and distribution processes and plant equipment installation service at clients' work cites. Clients range from the basic materials industry to consumer staples, airline and medical industries. The company also operates logistics business domestically and intern ationally.

MITSUI-SOKO Holdings Co., Ltd. provides warehousing and marine, land, and air freight transportation services.  The Company also operates a real estate business of leasing its own land and buildings.

SBS Holdings, Inc. provides integrated logistic services. The Company's services include one-stop marketing such as logistic consulting, logistic management and logistic development, special transportation, and low-temperature logistic. SBS Holdings also offers human resources and information technologies services.

Forward Air Corporation provides transportation services to air freight forwarders, air cargo carriers, and domestic and international airlines.  The Company also operates a truckload business that is an irregular route, high service-level carrier that transports a wide range of commodities in both interstate and intrastate commerce.

PostNL NV collects, transports, stores, sorts, and distributes letters, printed matter, parcels, documents, and freight items.  The Company provides mail and logistics services domestically and internationally.

CTT-Correios de Portugal SA provides commercial services. The Company offers multi-services platform including efficient postal delivery services, and financial services. CTT-Correios delivers letters and packages worldwide.

Transport Corporation of India Limited provides integrated cargo transportation and logistics services. The Company provides handling of heavy-duty cargo through surface movement, door-to-door distribution for time committed cargo, and coastal shipping. The Company moves a variety of products, including raw materials, industrial products, pharmaceuticals, and agricultural products.

Singapore Post Limited is the national postal service provider in Singapore. The Company provides domestic and international postal and courier services including end-to-end integrated mail solutions covering data printing, letter-shopping, delivery and mailroom management, and others. Singapore Post also offers end-to-end e-commerce logistics solutions.

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Singapore Post (SPOST SP)

Sloth Vs Ninja; King Kong Awaits

Shares of Singapore Post recently climbed ~5% because e-commerce giant Alibaba got the green light to increase its stake in the postal company. Is...

Valerie Law, CFA

Takeaways from ASEAN - Investment Opportunities

Obama continues the 'pivot to Asia' by attending the ASEAN meeting in Laos. ASEAN is a critical component of SE Asian stability, partnership with...

David Riedel

Singapore: GDP Grows by 1.8% in 1Q2016 Driven by Consumption Expenditure

Singapore’s GDP grew by 1.8% y-o-y in 1Q2016 similar to the growth experienced in the previous two quarters. Private consumption expenditure...

Rajan Govil

2016 - Washout Year for Container Shipping

Ominous start to the year for container shipping with Drewry forecasting container shipping profitability to deteriorate in 2016. Ocean freight...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

NOL's Latest Potential Merger Discussions... Where is the [Partial] Exit for Temasek?

Another report of potential suitors made it to market on Friday, forcing NOL to disclose there have been talks with French carrier CMA and global...

Charles De Trenck

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