SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Within the Singapore stock market, Sembcorp Industries and Seatrium have booked the most net institutional fund inflows in the year to Jul 18.</li><li>Seatrium has been Singapore’s sixth most traded stock, while Sembcorp Industries has ranked among the 15 most traded stocks, up from ranking among the 30 most traded stocks in 2022.</li><li>Overall, Singapore Exchange-listed stocks have booked S$2.8 billion of net institutional fund outflow and S 4 billion of net retail inflow in the 2023 year to Jul 18.</li></ul>

Within the Singapore stock market, Sembcorp Industries and Seatrium have booked the most net institutional fund inflows in the year to Jul 18.Seatrium has been Singapore’s sixth most traded stock, while Sembcorp Industries has ranked among the 15 most traded stocks, up from ranking among the 30 most traded stocks in 2022.Overall, Singapore Exchange-listed stocks have booked S$2.8 billion of net institutional fund outflow and S 4 billion of net retail inflow in the 2023 year to Jul 18.

Taking stock of institutional and retail fund flows

<ul><li>Union Gas Holdings’ Teo Hark Piang ups stake to 8.05% Seatrium, Wilmar International, Singapore Airlines (SIA), UOL Group and DBS Group led the net institutional inflow for the five sessions.</li><li>With over 40 years of operating track record, Union Gas Holdings’ three key businesses comprise liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), natural gas, and diesel.</li></ul>

Union Gas Holdings’ Teo Hark Piang ups stake to 8.05% Seatrium, Wilmar International, Singapore Airlines (SIA), UOL Group and DBS Group led the net institutional inflow for the five sessions.With over 40 years of operating track record, Union Gas Holdings’ three key businesses comprise liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), natural gas, and diesel.

Union Gas Holdings’ Teo Hark Piang ups stake to 8.05%

<ul><li>On the move in early July, the STI posted a 2.1% decline during the first week, and a 3.5% gain the following week.</li><li>STI stocks that posted gains over each of the two weeks included UOL, SATS, Singapore Airlines and City Developments.</li><li>Among the 100 most traded Singapore- listed stocks this year, there were another 17 stocks that posted gains in each of the first two weeks of July, with one-third of these stocks representing the Industrials Sector: Acesian Partners, SingPost, ComfortDelGro, Dyna-Mac and Samudera Shipping, in addition to the aforementioned Singapore Airlines and SATS.</li></ul>

On the move in early July, the STI posted a 2.1% decline during the first week, and a 3.5% gain the following week.STI stocks that posted gains over each of the two weeks included UOL, SATS, Singapore Airlines and City Developments.Among the 100 most traded Singapore- listed stocks this year, there were another 17 stocks that posted gains in each of the first two weeks of July, with one-third of these stocks representing the Industrials Sector: Acesian Partners, SingPost, ComfortDelGro, Dyna-Mac and Samudera Shipping, in addition to the aforementioned Singapore Airlines and SATS.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), RHB Invest

RHB Invest

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

RHB Investment Bank is one of the leading capital market players in Malaysia. Supported by an award-winning research team of experienced product specialists, RHB Group Investment Banking offers a full range of investment banking products and services covering primary markets, such as advisory (corporate & debt restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, takeovers), fundraising via both equity and debt instruments, and secondary markets including securities trading for both institutional and retail clients. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>We resume coverage on SIA with a REDUCE recommendation and target price of S$6.80, based on 1.1x P/B for FY24e.</li><li>This is in line with historical P/B of 1.1x.</li><li>After an exceptional year in FY23 driven by early-mover advantage, we expect Singapore Airlines (SIA)’s net profit in FY24e and FY25e to decline by 19% and 43%, respectively, with tapering passenger yields and passenger load factors.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We resume coverage on SIA with a REDUCE recommendation and target price of S$6.80, based on 1.1x P/B for FY24e.This is in line with historical P/B of 1.1x.After an exceptional year in FY23 driven by early-mover advantage, we expect Singapore Airlines (SIA)’s net profit in FY24e and FY25e to decline by 19% and 43%, respectively, with tapering passenger yields and passenger load factors.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Singapore Airlines (SIA) - Rising Pressure On Load Factors & Yields

<ul><li>Singapore’s visitor arrivals surpassed 1 million in April 2023, the highest in a month since the pandemic, bringing the total number of visitor arrivals to over 4 million in the year-to-date (YTD).</li><li>The 10 stocks booked net institutional inflows of S$186.7 million, while the broader Singapore stock market recorded over S$2.3 billion of net institutional outflows.</li><li>In the YTD ending 18 May 2023, Genting booked the highest net institutional inflows across the Singapore stock market.</li></ul>

Singapore’s visitor arrivals surpassed 1 million in April 2023, the highest in a month since the pandemic, bringing the total number of visitor arrivals to over 4 million in the year-to-date (YTD).The 10 stocks booked net institutional inflows of S$186.7 million, while the broader Singapore stock market recorded over S$2.3 billion of net institutional outflows.In the YTD ending 18 May 2023, Genting booked the highest net institutional inflows across the Singapore stock market.

Tourism and Hospitality Stocks Benefit from Recovery Momentum

Singapore

SATS Limited provides integrated ground handling and in-flight catering services at Singapore Changi Airport.  The Company also provides aviation security, airline laundry, and airport cargo delivery management services.

ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited provides bus, taxi, car leasing and rental, automotive engineering, maintenance services, and diesel sales.  The Group also provides investment trading and operates vehicle inspection and assessment services, and advertising services.

SIA Engineering Co Ltd provides airframe and component overhaul services, line maintenance and technical ground handling services. The Company also manufactures aircraft cabin equipment, refurbishes aircraft galleys, repairs and overhauls hydromechanical aircraft equipment.

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust is a port investor, developer and operator. The Company is also involved in transportation related services and logistics operations, including container storage and repair, container tracking, general and bulk cargo tranfer, warehousing, marine shuttle services and other related services.

Singapore Post Limited is the national postal service provider in Singapore. The Company provides domestic and international postal and courier services including end-to-end integrated mail solutions covering data printing, letter-shopping, delivery and mailroom management, and others. Singapore Post also offers end-to-end e-commerce logistics solutions.

SBS Transit Limited provides public bus services, advertisement on its bus fleet, and bus chartering.

Samudera Shipping Line Limited owns and operates ocean-going ships and provides containerized feeder shipping services. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also owns and charters vessels, provides sea and air freight forwarding, and operates shipping agency and container freight station services.

Keppel Corporation Limited's core businesses are offshore and marine, infrastructure, property investment and development, telecommunications and transportation, energy, and engineering.

ST Engineering is a global technology, defence and engineering group with offices across Asia, Europe, the Middle East and the U.S., serving customers in more than 100 countries. The Group uses technology and innovation to solve real-world problems and improve lives through its diverse portfolio of businesses across the aerospace, smart city, defence and public security segments. Headquartered in Singapore, ST Engineering reported revenue of $7.9b in FY2019 and it ranks among the largest companies listed on the Singapore Exchange. It is a component stock of the FTSE Straits Times Index, MSCI Singapore, iEdge SG ESG Transparency Index and iEdge SG ESG Leaders Index.

Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited is a multinational enterprise with a portfolio of businesses focused on the Asia-Pacific region. The Group's activities include financial services, supermarkets, consumer marketing, engineering and construction, automobile trading, insurance broking, property investment, and hotels.

China Southern Airlines Company Limited provides commercial airline services throughout China, Southeast Asia and other parts of the world.  The Company also provides other airline related services including aircraft maintenance and air catering.

China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the civil aviation industry. It offers passenger, cargo, mail delivery, ground, cargo handling, and other extended transportation services.

ANA Holdings Inc provides a variety of air transportation-related services. The Company offers scheduled & unscheduled air passenger services and air courier services. ANA sells aircraft parts and provides travel arrangement & reservation services as well.

Air China Limited provides passenger, cargo, and airline-related services in China.  The Company is primarily based in Beijing and a major hub for domestic and international air transportation.  Air China's airline-related services include aircraft maintenance, repair, overhaul service, ground services, and in-flight catering services.

United Airlines Holdings Inc is an airline holding company.  The Company owns and operates airlines that transports persons, property and mail throughout the United States and abroad.

Southwest Airlines Co. is a domestic airline that provides primarily short-haul, high-frequency, point-to-point service.  The Company offers flights throughout the United States.

International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. provides transportation services. The Company offers international and domestic air passenger and cargo transportation services. International Consolidated Airlines Group serves customers worldwide.

International Consolidated Airlines Group (IAG LN)

International Consolidated Airlines Group

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. is an airline that provides both domestic and international flight services.  The Company provides passenger and cargo services to destinations in Chile, South America, the Caribbean, Europe, North America, and the Pacific.  LATAM Airlines operates passenger aircraft and cargo freighters.

InterGlobe Aviation Limited provides passenger airlines services. The Company offers ground management, air transportation, terminal maintenance, and other services. InterGlobe Aviation conducts its business globally.

Turk Hava Yollari Anonim Ortakligi (THY), also known as Turkish Airlines, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services. The Company serves all domestic destinations as well as the Middle East, North America, Europe, Asia, North Africa and South Africa.

Singapore Airlines Limited provides air transportation, engineering, pilot training, air charter, and tour wholesaling services. The Company's airline operation covers Asia, Europe, the Americas, South West Pacific, and Africa.

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Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)

Taking stock of institutional and retail fund flows

Within the Singapore stock market, Sembcorp Industries and Seatrium have booked the most net institutional fund inflows in the year to Jul...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Union Gas Holdings’ Teo Hark Piang ups stake to 8.05%

Union Gas Holdings’ Teo Hark Piang ups stake to 8.05% Seatrium, Wilmar International, Singapore Airlines (SIA), UOL Group and DBS Group led the...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Biggest Movers on Recent STI Swings

On the move in early July, the STI posted a 2.1% decline during the first week, and a 3.5% gain the following week. STI stocks that posted gains...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Airlines (SIA) - Rising Pressure On Load Factors & Yields

We resume coverage on SIA with a REDUCE recommendation and target price of S$6.80, based on 1.1x P/B for FY24e. This is in line with historical P/B...

RHB Invest

Tourism and Hospitality Stocks Benefit from Recovery Momentum

Singapore’s visitor arrivals surpassed 1 million in April 2023, the highest in a month since the pandemic, bringing the total number of visitor...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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