European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, S.A. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The CNMV has authorised the takeover bid for Siemens Gamesa launched by Siemens Energy. Shareholders can tender up to 13 December. The market believes the offer will succeed.</li>
<li>Gross spread 0.194%, 1.6% estimated annual return (assuming settlement 23 December). Since announcement, the share price has remained below the offer price, with high daily turnover and a tight spread.</li>
<li>
<strong>Accept offer</strong>. I don't expect any relevant changes: Siemens Energy already has control, operating problems persist and the financial position continues to deteriorate. The offer price represents 46.9x P/2024e E.</li>
</ul>


The CNMV has authorised the takeover bid for Siemens Gamesa launched by Siemens Energy. Shareholders can tender up to 13 December. The market believes the offer will succeed.
Gross spread 0.194%, 1.6% estimated annual return (assuming settlement 23 December). Since announcement, the share price has remained below the offer price, with high daily turnover and a tight spread.

Accept offer. I don't expect any relevant changes: Siemens Energy already has control, operating problems persist and the financial position continues to deteriorate. The offer price represents 46.9x P/2024e E.


Siemens Energy/​Siemens Gamesa: Time to Tender

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 and EuroSTOXX Indices for the December 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>I expect at least two STOXX Europe 600 constituents involved in M&amp;A deals to get deleted in November 2022. There could be more in December 2022.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-ing-h-c-f-porsche-aktiengesellschaft" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36343:1" rel="noopener">Porsche AG (P911 GR)</a> is currently the highest ranked non-constituent and is leading the race to become an intra-review add in November 2022.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 and EuroSTOXX Indices for the December 2022 Rebalance.
I expect at least two STOXX Europe 600 constituents involved in M&amp;A deals to get deleted in November 2022. There could be more in December 2022.

Porsche AG (P911 GR) is currently the highest ranked non-constituent and is leading the race to become an intra-review add in November 2022.


STOXX Europe Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Two Intra-Review Changes & Porsche Addition Likely In Nov

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 and EuroSTOXX Indices for the December 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be five M&amp;A-related intra-review deletions between now and the end of the year.</li>
<li>There could be more index changes in the December 2022 Rebalance too. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 and EuroSTOXX Indices for the December 2022 Rebalance.
There could be five M&amp;A-related intra-review deletions between now and the end of the year.
There could be more index changes in the December 2022 Rebalance too. 


STOXX Europe Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Five Intra-Review Changes, Porsche Leading The Race

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 and EURO STOXX Indices for the September 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Based on current rankings, there could be around 11 ADDs/DELs in the September 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The completion of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avast-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33815:1" rel="noopener">Avast PLC (AVST LN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meggitt-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22044:1" rel="noopener">Meggitt PLC (MGGT LN)</a> deals could result in intra-review changes in September 2022.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the STOXX Europe 600 and EURO STOXX Indices for the September 2022 Rebalance.
Based on current rankings, there could be around 11 ADDs/DELs in the September 2022 Rebalance.
The completion of the Avast PLC (AVST LN) and Meggitt PLC (MGGT LN) deals could result in intra-review changes in September 2022.


STOXX Europe Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: 11 ADDs/DELs, Sandvik-Alleima, and More

<ul>
<li>Q3 2022 results were received as weak by the market. Guidance was (again) revised downwards. Otherwise, the takeover bid continues in the process of authorization by the CNMV.</li>
<li>I don't expect any relevant changes in the offer: Siemens Energy already has control, operating problems persist and the financial position continues to deteriorate. Downwards risks to consensus estimates persist.</li>
<li>Gross spread is 0.33%. The estimated annual return is 1.63% (assuming settlement on 24 October). Sell on strength/tender during the offer in case there's a (low probability) improvement in the offer.</li>
</ul>


Q3 2022 results were received as weak by the market. Guidance was (again) revised downwards. Otherwise, the takeover bid continues in the process of authorization by the CNMV.
I don't expect any relevant changes in the offer: Siemens Energy already has control, operating problems persist and the financial position continues to deteriorate. Downwards risks to consensus estimates persist.
Gross spread is 0.33%. The estimated annual return is 1.63% (assuming settlement on 24 October). Sell on strength/tender during the offer in case there's a (low probability) improvement in the offer.


Siemens Energy/Siemens Gamesa: Downwards Guidance

Spain

Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, S.A. designs and manufactures renewable energy equipment. The Company offers wind turbines, turbine gearboxes, offgrid, and other related equipment, as well as provides maintenance and reconditioning services. Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy serves industrial facility management, automotive industry, and new technology development worldwide.

Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, S.A. (SGRE SM)

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Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, S.A. (SGRE SM)

Siemens Energy/Siemens Gamesa: Time to Tender

The CNMV has authorised the takeover bid for Siemens Gamesa launched by Siemens Energy. Shareholders can tender up to 13 December. The market...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

STOXX Europe Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Two Intra-Review Changes & Porsche Addition Likely In Nov

Between now and the end of the year, there could up to 14 constituent changes in the STOXX Europe 600 index including 5 intra review changes....

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STOXX Europe Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Five Intra-Review Changes, Porsche Leading The Race

I expect ~12 ADDs/DELs in total for the STOXX Europe 600 index before the end of the year including intra-review changes and regular review...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STOXX Europe Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: 11 ADDs/DELs, Sandvik-Alleima, and More

I see 11 ADDs/DELs based on current numbers but there are several other names that are only a small price change away from becoming ADDs/DELs

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Siemens Energy/Siemens Gamesa: Downwards Guidance

Q3 2022 results were perceived as weak by the market and the financial position continues to deteriorate. Guidance was (again) revised downwards. A...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Siemens Energy/​Siemens Gamesa: Time to Tender

The CNMV has authorised the takeover bid for Siemens Gamesa launched by Siemens Energy. Shareholders can tender up to 13 December. The market...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

STOXX Europe Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Two Intra-Review Changes & Porsche Addition Likely In Nov

Between now and the end of the year, there could up to 14 constituent changes in the STOXX Europe 600 index including 5 intra review changes....

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STOXX Europe Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Five Intra-Review Changes, Porsche Leading The Race

I expect ~12 ADDs/DELs in total for the STOXX Europe 600 index before the end of the year including intra-review changes and regular review...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STOXX Europe Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: 11 ADDs/DELs, Sandvik-Alleima, and More

I see 11 ADDs/DELs based on current numbers but there are several other names that are only a small price change away from becoming ADDs/DELs

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Siemens Energy/Siemens Gamesa: Downwards Guidance

Q3 2022 results were perceived as weak by the market and the financial position continues to deteriorate. Guidance was (again) revised downwards. A...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Siemens Energy/Siemens Gamesa: Time to Tender