Senior Bank Analyst - Japanese Banks, Windamee Research

J. Brian Waterhouse

Senior Bank Analyst - Japanese Banks

Windamee Research

Japanese Banks

Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimizu-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15400:1" rel="noopener">Shimizu Bank (8364 JP)</a>, a small Japanese regional bank from Shizuoka Prefecture in the Chubu Region of central Japan, has slashed its FY3/2020 forecast for consolidated profits by ¥6.3 billion and is now warning of consolidated net losses of as much as ¥3.9 billion, or ¥336.67/share.  The problem seems to be hefty valuation losses in the bank’s investment trusts and equities portfolio, for which the turmoil in global markets caused by the coronavirus pandemic is being blamed. But Shimizu Bank was running into trouble long before the outbreak of COVID-19, with a chronically high Overhead Ratio (OHR) eating into revenues, falling net loan margins, downward pressure on net interest income and core earnings, and a tendency to rely on equity-related profits to shore up reported earnings.Given that the bank only recently agreed to have online financial specialist <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">Sbi Holdings (8473 JP)</a> acquire around 3% of Shimizu Bank’s shares and become a major shareholder, it seems that SBI Group’s president and financial entrepreneur Yoshitaka Kitao is going to be a busy man sorting his latest regional bank alliance out and recouping his investment.Caveat Emptor!  (May the Buyer Beware!)

Shimizu Bank (8364 JP), a small Japanese regional bank from Shizuoka Prefecture in the Chubu Region of central Japan, has slashed its FY3/2020 forecast for consolidated profits by ¥6.3 billion and is now warning of consolidated net losses of as much as ¥3.9 billion, or ¥336.67/share.  The problem seems to be hefty valuation losses in the bank’s investment trusts and equities portfolio, for which the turmoil in global markets caused by the coronavirus pandemic is being blamed. But Shimizu Bank was running into trouble long before the outbreak of COVID-19, with a chronically high Overhead Ratio (OHR) eating into revenues, falling net loan margins, downward pressure on net interest income and core earnings, and a tendency to rely on equity-related profits to shore up reported earnings.Given that the bank only recently agreed to have online financial specialist Sbi Holdings (8473 JP) acquire around 3% of Shimizu Bank’s shares and become a major shareholder, it seems that SBI Group’s president and financial entrepreneur Yoshitaka Kitao is going to be a busy man sorting his latest regional bank alliance out and recouping his investment.Caveat Emptor!  (May the Buyer Beware!)

Shimizu Bank  (8364 JP):  Clear Water Runs Red

Global Bank Equity Specialist, Creative Portfolios

Paul Hollingworth

Global Bank Equity Specialist

Creative Portfolios

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group / Equity Bottom-Up

Japan's banks are just too "bombed out" to ignore.This has been so for awhile now, you may say. And you'd be right. But we see selective light at the end of the tunnel.On a simple Franchise Value assessment (Mkt Cap./Deposits), they rank as the cheapest in the world.We use our tested PH Score™ , a value-quality model, to pinpoint potential "winners" and "losers" for the 12 months following release of Q318 data. The PH Score™ is a fundamental momentum-quantamental score that scores banks according to changes in value-quality. The Score encompasses Profitability, Operating Efficiency, Liquidity, Capital, Asset Quality, and Coverage. The scores lie between 0 and 10, with higher scores representing more positive signs.

Japan's banks are just too "bombed out" to ignore.This has been so for awhile now, you may say. And you'd be right. But we see selective light at the end of the tunnel.On a simple Franchise Value assessment (Mkt Cap./Deposits), they rank as the cheapest in the world.We use our tested PH Score™ , a value-quality model, to pinpoint potential "winners" and "losers" for the 12 months following release of Q318 data. The PH Score™ is a fundamental momentum-quantamental score that scores banks according to changes in value-quality. The Score encompasses Profitability, Operating Efficiency, Liquidity, Capital, Asset Quality, and Coverage. The scores lie between 0 and 10, with higher scores representing more positive signs.

Japan

The Shikoku Bank, Ltd. is a regional bank in Kochi and Tokushima prefectures. The Bank provides banking services such as deposits, loans, and foreign exchange transaction.  The Shikoku Bank also provides financial services such as leasing and letter of credit, and operates venture capital business.

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Shikoku Bank (8387 JP)

Shimizu Bank (8364 JP): Clear Water Runs Red

Shimizu Bank (8364 JP), a small Japanese regional bank from Shizuoka Prefecture in the Chubu Region of central Japan, has slashed its FY3/2020...

J. Brian Waterhouse

Japan's Banks: A Value-Quality Heat Map

Japan's banks are just too "bombed out" to ignore.This has been so for awhile now, you may say. And you'd be right. But we see selective light at...

Paul Hollingworth

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