Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Jiangxi Special Electric Motor A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 December.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 13.67% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.53bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed over the last 6 months but have given up some of the gains recently as market turned volatile. Expect outperformance as the review period ends.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 December.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 13.67% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.53bn.
The potential adds have outperformed over the last 6 months but have given up some of the gains recently as market turned volatile. Expect outperformance as the review period ends.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Positioned for Outperformance

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huitongda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33789:1" rel="noopener">Huitongda (9878 HK)</a> raised around US$285m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Overall, we are not comfortable with paying a premium valuation for HTD given its small scale of operations in a highly competitive and fragmented market. </li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics and current valuation.</li>
</ul>



Huitongda (9878 HK) raised around US$285m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Overall, we are not comfortable with paying a premium valuation for HTD given its small scale of operations in a highly competitive and fragmented market. 
In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics and current valuation.


Huitongda (汇通达) IPO Trading - Subscription Rates and Cornerstone Quality Leaves Much to Be Desired

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huitongda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33789:1" rel="noopener">Huitongda (1566215D CH)</a> is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>While the numbers from the growth of member stores look promising, it did not translate to stronger revenue from member stores and HTD did not give a clear explanation.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at PHIP updates and competitive landscape.</li>
</ul>



Huitongda (1566215D CH) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
While the numbers from the growth of member stores look promising, it did not translate to stronger revenue from member stores and HTD did not give a clear explanation.
In this note, we look at PHIP updates and competitive landscape.


Huitongda (汇通达) Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates and Competitive Landscape

China

Shenzhen Aisidi Co., Ltd provides telecommunication services and sales of mobile phones and digital electronics products. The company's products include electronic products, communication devices, electrical equipment, and scientific instruments.

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Shenzhen Aisidi Co Ltd A (002416 CH)

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

We forecast 50 changes a side at the June rebal leading to a one-way turnover of 11.47% & in a one-way trade of CNY 10bn. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Positioned for Outperformance

There could be 50 changes to the index in December. We estimate a one-way turnover of 13.67% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade...

Brian Freitas

Huitongda (汇通达) IPO Trading - Subscription Rates and Cornerstone Quality Leaves Much to Be Desired

Huitongda Network raised around US$285m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics and current valuation.

Clarence Chu

Huitongda (汇通达) Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates and Competitive Landscape

Huitongda (1566215D CH) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we look at PHIP updates and competitive...

Clarence Chu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)