Director - Research, Consulting and Advisory, BondAdviser

Nicholas Yaxley

Director - Research, Consulting and Advisory

Australian bonds & fixed income research

BondAdviser

BondAdviser is the central reference point for intelligent information on Australian fixed income markets. We help you make informed decisions by providing unbiased research, transparent pricing data, analytics, portfolio tools and education.

BondAdviser has the broadest coverage of retail-accessible ASX-listed and over-the-counter Australian bonds and fixed income securities. We make it easy for you to review and compare investments before you place an order with your broker or dealer.

Credit

Back in February 2016, trading margins of ASX-listed hybrid securities widened significantly. As a result, there were a number of attractive investment opportunities and following a relatively stable reporting season and shift in sentiment, margins began to retrace. While on the surface it appears margins are still tracking well relative to February, a more suitable performance measure would be to calculate the cumulative change to see if investors have recovered the losses endured at start of…

Back in February 2016, trading margins of ASX-listed hybrid securities widened significantly. As a result, there were a number of attractive investment opportunities and following a relatively stable reporting season and shift in sentiment, margins began to retrace. While on the surface it appears margins are still tracking well relative to February, a more suitable performance measure would be to calculate the cumulative change to see if investors have recovered the losses endured at start of…

Hybrids: Have We Recovered Since February?

The BondAdviser Corporate Hybrid Handbook 2017 is designed to be a useful reference for ASX-listed corporate hybrid securities and the credit profiles of their underlying issuers. We believe there are a number of attractive investment opportunities across different corporate industries.Corporate hybrids are overshadowed in a market dominated by banks and other financial institutions. As a result, many investors fail to reap the diversification benefits that non-financial issuers offer in a balanced portfolio. While bank and other financial hybrids are often driven by macro-economic, regulatory and/or political themes and trends, corporate hybrids warrant a more case-by-case approach which promotes diversification. For this reason, corporate hybrids should not be overlooked.Given the ‘lower-for-longer’ interest rate environment, the search for yield is becoming an increasingly difficult task. While hybrids continue to be an attractive option to boost income, they are not without inherent risks.

 The BondAdviser Corporate Hybrid Handbook 2017 is designed to be a useful reference for ASX-listed corporate hybrid securities and the credit profiles of their underlying issuers. We believe there are a number of attractive investment opportunities across different corporate industries.Corporate hybrids are overshadowed in a market dominated by banks and other financial institutions. As a result, many investors fail to reap the diversification benefits that non-financial issuers offer in a balanced portfolio. While bank and other financial hybrids are often driven by macro-economic, regulatory and/or political themes and trends, corporate hybrids warrant a more case-by-case approach which promotes diversification. For this reason, corporate hybrids should not be overlooked.Given the ‘lower-for-longer’ interest rate environment, the search for yield is becoming an increasingly difficult task. While hybrids continue to be an attractive option to boost income, they are not without inherent risks. 

Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

Macroeconomics

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/009/868/original/Chart2.Australia.Risk_.Pref_.png?1467594254" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="9868"><figcaption class="figcaption">Australians risk-averse? Not today, mate (Source: Europacifica)</figcaption></figure> Speculation that Australia will lose its <a href="http://www.afr.com/news/politics/election/election-2016-the-trafficjam-political-culture-threatening-aaa-credit-rating-20160703-gpxil9" target="_blank">AAA rating</a> due to political deadlock at the polls has probably been enhanced by <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/06/27/george-osborne-to-speak-in-attempt-to-calm-markets-following-bre/" target="_blank">the final downgrade</a> to the UK's own rating, motivated by the recent EU referendum.  Medium-term, the "lucky country" might very well escape the fate of capital flight, given there are many more controversial events (such as US elections) that affect Australia little. Whenever appetite for risk revives…

Australians risk-averse? Not today, mate (Source: Europacifica) Speculation that Australia will lose its AAA rating due to political deadlock at the polls has probably been enhanced by the final downgrade to the UK's own rating, motivated by the recent EU referendum.  Medium-term, the "lucky country" might very well escape the fate of capital flight, given there are many more controversial events (such as US elections) that affect Australia little. Whenever appetite for risk revives…

Global Head of Research, Smartkarma

Mark Artherton

Global Head of Research

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
​
More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

<div class="content-highlight">The failure to use or the aggressive implementation of asset write downs in emerging markets and Asia will have far reaching implications for investors.</div> We live in a world where investors are uncertain about asset values both in financial and non-financial companies.  Whilst a lot is written about the nature of bad debts at banks, little has been comprehensively written about the balance sheets of non-financial companies.We see the following evidence in our analysis: <ul><li><div class="content-highlight">The failure of some…</div></li></ul>

The failure to use or the aggressive implementation of asset write downs in emerging markets and Asia will have far reaching implications for investors. We live in a world where investors are uncertain about asset values both in financial and non-financial companies.  Whilst a lot is written about the nature of bad debts at banks, little has been comprehensively written about the balance sheets of non-financial companies.We see the following evidence in our analysis: The failure of some…

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst, Evidente

Sam Ferraro

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst

Evidente

Evidente is an independent financial education firm that delivers innovative financial advice to wholesale investors, including active long only funds, hedge funds, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds, in Australia and globally.  Drawing on academic research in asset pricing, behavioural finance and portfolio construction, Evidente provides wholesale investors with commercial solutions to stock selection and asset allocation decisions across equities and other asset classes.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Evidente has updated the performance and ranking of its proprietary systematic model of earnings certainty or predictability and found that stocks that ranked strongly at the end of 2014 (based on real time information) strongly out-performed the worst ranked stocks over the course of 2015, with the long-short return ranging from 10%-30%.  The performance is impressive because the model does not include measures of dividends, growth, momentum or valuations.</li><li>Companies attain a high score for earnings predictability for the following attributes: low volatility, low beta, low dispersion, low EPS volatility and those that have been listed for a long time.  Firm vintage is designed to capture the dynamics around investor learning: investors typically assign higher standard errors to the growth prospects for newly listed firms.  The rationale for firm vintage draws on the work of Lubos Pastor at the University of Chicago.</li><li>I demonstrate that Evidente's model does a remarkably good job of assessing and summarising the key risk attributes of stocks.  The top 5 ranked stocks for 2016 are: AMC, ASX, BXB, RHC and SHL, while the worst ranked stocks include: MYR, BRS, SPO, GMA and SVW. </li></ul>

Evidente has updated the performance and ranking of its proprietary systematic model of earnings certainty or predictability and found that stocks that ranked strongly at the end of 2014 (based on real time information) strongly out-performed the worst ranked stocks over the course of 2015, with the long-short return ranging from 10%-30%.  The performance is impressive because the model does not include measures of dividends, growth, momentum or valuations.Companies attain a high score for earnings predictability for the following attributes: low volatility, low beta, low dispersion, low EPS volatility and those that have been listed for a long time.  Firm vintage is designed to capture the dynamics around investor learning: investors typically assign higher standard errors to the growth prospects for newly listed firms.  The rationale for firm vintage draws on the work of Lubos Pastor at the University of Chicago.I demonstrate that Evidente's model does a remarkably good job of assessing and summarising the key risk attributes of stocks.  The top 5 ranked stocks for 2016 are: AMC, ASX, BXB, RHC and SHL, while the worst ranked stocks include: MYR, BRS, SPO, GMA and SVW. 

Earnings Certainty Continues to Deliver Strong Returns

Australia

Seven Group Holdings Ltd. is a diversified operating and investment group. The Groups interests include media holdings that include Seven Network, a commercial television network and publishing company, a telecommunications company, and a heavy equipment dealer that operates  Caterpillar dealerships in Australia and North Eastern China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)

Hybrids: Have We Recovered Since February?

Back in February 2016, trading margins of ASX-listed hybrid securities widened significantly. As a result, there were a number of attractive...

BondAdviser

Corporate Hybrids Handbook 2017

The BondAdviser Corporate Hybrid Handbook 2017 is designed to be a useful reference for ASX-listed corporate hybrid securities and the credit...

BondAdviser

Australia a Risk Haven? Not Today, Mate

Speculation that Australia will lose its AAA rating due to political deadlock at the polls has probably been enhanced by the final downgrade to...

Naomi Fink

Beware Impairments in EM and Asia

The failure to use or the aggressive implementation of asset write downs in emerging markets and Asia will have far reaching implications for...

Mark Artherton

Earnings Certainty Continues to Deliver Strong Returns

Evidente has updated the performance and ranking of its proprietary systematic model of earnings certainty or predictability and found that stocks...

Sam Ferraro

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)