Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The bullish outlook we initiated in early November 2023 remains intact. The SPX and QQQ still refuse to close below their 20-day MAs/21-day EMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days.</li>
<li>Even if/when they do, important supports are close by, including 4983-5050 on the S&amp;P 500 and $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24). Anything above 4800 SPX is a buy.</li>
<li>We continue to get an ever-increasing number of global indexes/Sectors with long-term breakouts, the latest being the MSCI Emerging Market and Frontier indexes. Clearly risk-on behavior.</li>
</ul>


The bullish outlook we initiated in early November 2023 remains intact. The SPX and QQQ still refuse to close below their 20-day MAs/21-day EMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days.
Even if/when they do, important supports are close by, including 4983-5050 on the S&amp;P 500 and $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24). Anything above 4800 SPX is a buy.
We continue to get an ever-increasing number of global indexes/Sectors with long-term breakouts, the latest being the MSCI Emerging Market and Frontier indexes. Clearly risk-on behavior.


Long-Term Breakouts for Emerging and Frontier Markets; Treasury Yields and Commodities Rising YTD

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ServiceNow delivered an outstanding first quarter for 2023 which was an all-around beat.</li><li>The subscription revenue showed a 27% growth in constant currency, surpassing the high end of guidance by 150 basis points.</li><li>The latest release of ServiceNow, Utah, offers a range of new features and capabilities to increase automation, simplify user experiences, and provide greater organizational flexibility.</li></ul>

ServiceNow delivered an outstanding first quarter for 2023 which was an all-around beat.The subscription revenue showed a 27% growth in constant currency, surpassing the high end of guidance by 150 basis points.The latest release of ServiceNow, Utah, offers a range of new features and capabilities to increase automation, simplify user experiences, and provide greater organizational flexibility.

ServiceNow Inc.: The Next King of Digital Transformation? – Key Drivers

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The exercise of catching bottoms and averaging down versus cutting losers and admitting you were wrong can and often is a painful lessons every investor goes through during points in their investing journey.</li><li>While scanning and examining companies and charts that are participating in strong uptrends is a worthwhile exercise, an equally important exercise is looking for companies which are currently in cycle downtrends but have strong underlying fundamentals which may not be presented reflected in today’s price.</li><li>In effect, they have been “thrown out with the bathwater” and are now potentially mispriced based upon their current and future underlying fundamentals.</li></ul>

The exercise of catching bottoms and averaging down versus cutting losers and admitting you were wrong can and often is a painful lessons every investor goes through during points in their investing journey.While scanning and examining companies and charts that are participating in strong uptrends is a worthwhile exercise, an equally important exercise is looking for companies which are currently in cycle downtrends but have strong underlying fundamentals which may not be presented reflected in today’s price.In effect, they have been “thrown out with the bathwater” and are now potentially mispriced based upon their current and future underlying fundamentals.

<ul><li>ServiceNow continues performing well as its recent quarterly result met market expectations in terms of the reported revenues.</li><li>The company exceeded its subscription revenue guidance and drove strong expansion and renewal rates.</li><li>The free cash flow was above its guidance, and it beat the guidance with the growth in subscription revenue and also managed an earnings beat.</li></ul>

ServiceNow continues performing well as its recent quarterly result met market expectations in terms of the reported revenues.The company exceeded its subscription revenue guidance and drove strong expansion and renewal rates.The free cash flow was above its guidance, and it beat the guidance with the growth in subscription revenue and also managed an earnings beat.

ServiceNow Inc: New Offerings & Other Drivers

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Adobe is down 42% in 2022, and down 22% relative to the S&amp;P. </li>
<li>Valuation has been cut in half, and investors have voiced concerns and skepticism about its (incredibly) expensive acquisition of Figma in September.</li>
<li>Adobe remains better positioned than most large cap software peers as it maintained its guidance from October Analyst Day, highlighting the secular tide behind digital transformation efforts remains strong. </li>
</ul>


Adobe is down 42% in 2022, and down 22% relative to the S&amp;P. 
Valuation has been cut in half, and investors have voiced concerns and skepticism about its (incredibly) expensive acquisition of Figma in September.
Adobe remains better positioned than most large cap software peers as it maintained its guidance from October Analyst Day, highlighting the secular tide behind digital transformation efforts remains strong. 


United States

ServiceNow, Inc. provides enterprise information technology (IT) management software. The Company designs, develops, and produces prepackaged computer software, cloud services, and IT service management platform. ServiceNow serves customers throughout the United States.

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Servicenow Inc (NOW US)

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