Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

Equity Bottom-Up

Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) Q3 trading update disclosed that Q3 was stronger than expected and FY20 earnings are likely to be well ahead of consensus forecasts. Loan repayment holidays in its Motor Finance and Retail Finance divisions were down remarkably and credit quality is not deteriorating. Loan demand is strengthening after the lockdown. Capital and liquidity remain good. The bank remains cautious due to continued COVID-19 and Brexit uncertainty and is still not providing formal guidance. We are upping our earnings forecasts and fair value from 1,704p to 1,756p. In our view, the valuation remains depressed compared to fundamentals with banking stocks still out of favour. STB trades on an FY20 P/BV of 0.53x, yet it has a strong track record of value creating returns (ROE above COE), a good capital base and liquidity. The Q3 good news reinforces our view that we are unlikely to see book value deterioration during this downturn to justify any NAV discount.

Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) Q3 trading update disclosed that Q3 was stronger than expected and FY20 earnings are likely to be well ahead of consensus forecasts. Loan repayment holidays in its Motor Finance and Retail Finance divisions were down remarkably and credit quality is not deteriorating. Loan demand is strengthening after the lockdown. Capital and liquidity remain good. The bank remains cautious due to continued COVID-19 and Brexit uncertainty and is still not providing formal guidance. We are upping our earnings forecasts and fair value from 1,704p to 1,756p. In our view, the valuation remains depressed compared to fundamentals with banking stocks still out of favour. STB trades on an FY20 P/BV of 0.53x, yet it has a strong track record of value creating returns (ROE above COE), a good capital base and liquidity. The Q3 good news reinforces our view that we are unlikely to see book value deterioration during this downturn to justify any NAV discount.


Secure Trust Bank (STB) reported H120 PBT of £5.1m (vs £18.1m a year ago) and a 3.0% ROE. Income grew 4% y-o-y, but impairments almost doubled, and payment holiday charges also hurt. STB notes that since the lockdown ended, business has been rebounding. Its robust capital (CET 13.5%), business model and proven agility allow it to react to the changing lending environment. STB currently trades on a P/BV of 0.49x, reflecting sentiment more than fundamentals given its profitability track record and successful model. Our fair value estimate is 1,704p per share, down from 2,428p..

Secure Trust Bank (STB) reported H120 PBT of £5.1m (vs £18.1m a year ago) and a 3.0% ROE. Income grew 4% y-o-y, but impairments almost doubled, and payment holiday charges also hurt. STB notes that since the lockdown ended, business has been rebounding. Its robust capital (CET 13.5%), business model and proven agility allow it to react to the changing lending environment. STB currently trades on a P/BV of 0.49x, reflecting sentiment more than fundamentals given its profitability track record and successful model. Our fair value estimate is 1,704p per share, down from 2,428p..


Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) FY19 figures were good, as already flagged in its trading update. Underlying ROE was 14.0% (FY18: 12.8%), EPS was up 10% y o y and capital remained comfortable (CET1 12.7%). However, the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a significant drop in business activity and impairments are expected to increase. STB has suspended forward guidance since March due to uncertainty relating to the pandemic and subsequent economic recovery. Its relatively short duration loan book, already cautious lending stance and good capital position should help. Financial markets turmoil has the bank trading on a 2019 P/BV of 0.65x despite a track record of delivering value creating ROE above its COE.

Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) FY19 figures were good, as already flagged in its trading update. Underlying ROE was 14.0% (FY18: 12.8%), EPS was up 10% y o y and capital remained comfortable (CET1 12.7%). However, the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a significant drop in business activity and impairments are expected to increase. STB has suspended forward guidance since March due to uncertainty relating to the pandemic and subsequent economic recovery. Its relatively short duration loan book, already cautious lending stance and good capital position should help. Financial markets turmoil has the bank trading on a 2019 P/BV of 0.65x despite a track record of delivering value creating ROE above its COE. 

Secure Trust Bank - Caution after a fine 2019

Secure Trust Bank (STB) is delaying the release of its FY19 results, due on 26 March, as requested by the FCA on account of COVID-19. It was aiming for double-digit earnings growth in 2020 and stated that its first two months of trading was strong and ahead of management expectations. COVID-19 uncertainty has nevertheless prompted STB to cancel its forward guidance and final 2019 dividend payment. We are maintaining our FY19 forecasts as the pre-close statement indicated that results would be in line with expectations. However, we are suspending our 2020â21 forecasts until there is more clarity on the impact of COVID-19. Our DDM fair value of 2,428p per share is equivalent to a P/NAV of 1.8x in 2019. This valuation reflected assumptions that STB would deliver returns considerably above its 10% cost of equity (COE) in the medium and long term.

Secure Trust Bank (STB) is delaying the release of its FY19 results, due on 26 March, as requested by the FCA on account of COVID-19. It was aiming for double-digit earnings growth in 2020 and stated that its first two months of trading was strong and ahead of management expectations. COVID-19 uncertainty has nevertheless prompted STB to cancel its forward guidance and final 2019 dividend payment. We are maintaining our FY19 forecasts as the pre-close statement indicated that results would be in line with expectations. However, we are suspending our 2020â21 forecasts until there is more clarity on the impact of COVID-19. Our DDM fair value of 2,428p per share is equivalent to a P/NAV of 1.8x in 2019. This valuation reflected assumptions that STB would deliver returns considerably above its 10% cost of equity (COE) in the medium and long term.


Secure Trust Bank - Guidance and final 2019 dividend suspended

Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) pre-close trading update indicates that FY19 results should be in line with expectations, despite the economic slowdown dampening loan demand in the second half of 2019. STB highlighted its strong control over risk while interest margins have been stable. The bank is cautiously optimistic about 2020 and is well positioned, with healthy capital, good liquidity and new business pipelines. STB does not envisage material changes to 2020 guidance, and we are maintaining our estimates and 2,428p per share valuation.

Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) pre-close trading update indicates that FY19 results should be in line with expectations, despite the economic slowdown dampening loan demand in the second half of 2019. STB highlighted its strong control over risk while interest margins have been stable. The bank is cautiously optimistic about 2020 and is well positioned, with healthy capital, good liquidity and new business pipelines. STB does not envisage material changes to 2020 guidance, and we are maintaining our estimates and 2,428p per share valuation.

United Kingdom

Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, UK Private banking, and Group Centre. The company provides private banking services, such as current accounts, deposit accounts, loans, overdrafts, and foreign exchange services; wealth planning services comprising estate and tax planning, pensions, and wealth preservation and generation; and discretionary investment management services, including asset management and developing tailored investment strategies. It also offers retail banking products and services, such as savings and current accounts; consumer finance products in motor finance, retail finance, and unsecured personal lending areas; and SME?s funding for asset finance, invoice finance, and real estate finance. In addition, the company offers commercial banking services comprising financing and cash transaction requirements of SMEs, as well as household cash management and insurance services. Further, the company offers leasing, debt collection, and property rental and management services. Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC was founded in 1833 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Metro Bank PLC provides a full range of commercial banking services for retail and institutional customers. The Bank offers services such as current accounts, mortgages, safe deposit boxes, cash management, private banking, and debit and credit cards. Metro Bank conducts its business in the United Kingdom.

Bank of Georgia Group PLC operates as a bank. The Bank services includes retail banking and payment services, corporate and investment banking, and wealth management operations solutions. Bank of Georgia Group serves customers in the United Kingdom, Belarus, and Georgia.

Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) PLC, through its subsidiaries, operates as mortgage broker. The company offers face to face and telephone advice for customers. It also provides lifestyle and income protection cover. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in the Derby, United Kingdom.

Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) (MAB1 LN)

Provident Financial plc is a financial services group specialising in the provision of personal credit products for consumers in the United Kingdom non standard lending market. The Company's Consumer Credit division provides small, unsecured loans, which they collect in weekly installments. The Company's Credit Cards business is operated through Vanquis Bank.

India Capital Growth Fund Limited is a close-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Ocean Dial Asset Management Limited. The fund invests in the public equity markets of India. It seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The fund primarily invests in stocks of mid and small cap companies. It employs fundamental analysis with a bottom-up stock selection approach and top-down thematic overlay, focusing on such factors as structural liquidity, cyclical liquidity, earnings momentum, strong management, sound financials, and competitive advantage to create its portfolio. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the BSE Mid-Cap Index. It conducts in-house research to make its investments. India Capital Growth Fund Limited was formed on November 11, 2005 and is domiciled in Guernsey.

H&T Group plc primarily provides pawnbroking services in the United Kingdom. It operates in six segments: Pawnbroking, Gold Purchasing, Retail, Pawnbroking Scrap, Personal Loans, and Other Services. The company also offers gold purchasing, jewelry retail, cheque cashing, unsecured lending, buyback, foreign exchange, money transfer, and prepaid debit card services. As of June 30, 2016, it operated 186 H&T Pawnbrokers stores and est1897 second hand jewelry retail stores. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Sutton, the United Kingdom.

Mercia Asset Management PLC is a venture capital firm specializing in incubation, seed EIS, and early stage investments. It invests in technology focusing on sectors such as digital entertainment, gaming, software, electronics and hardware, advanced materials, engineering and specialist manufacturing, and life sciences. The firm invests in Midlands and the North of the United Kingdom. It makes equity investments in companies either directly or via its funds under management and can also provides investments in form of debt or convertible securities. The firm seeks board position in its portfolio companies. Mercia Technologies PLC was founded in April, 2014 and is based in Henley-in-Arden, United Kingdom with an additional office in Edinburgh, United Kingdom.

Record PLC is a specialist currency management firm. The Company provides specialist currency management to institutions and corporations, pension plans, and other institutional investors. ... More

Weiss Korea Opportunity Fund Ltd.is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Weiss Asset Management LP. The fund invests in the public equity markets of South Korea. It seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The fund primarily invests in value stocks and preferred shares of companies. It focuses on such factors as dividend yield, liquidity, and common shares weighting to create its portfolio. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the MSCI Korea 25/50 Net Total Return Index. Weiss Korea Opportunity Fund Ltd. was formed on April 12, 2013 and is domiciled in Guernsey.

Weiss Korea Opportunity Fund Ltd (WKOF LN)

Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company of Jersey Shore State Bank. The Company provides a variety of commercial and consumer banking services to individual, business, public, and institutional customers.  Penns Woods operates a network of offices in north central Pennsylvania.

Public Financial Holdings Ltd, through its subsidiaries, operates in the deposit taking, personal and commercial lending, credit card, mortgage financing, stockbroking, and property investment businesses.  The Company also provides financing to purchasers of taxis and public light buses, leases taxis, and trades taxi cabs and taxi licenses.

Ames National Corporation is a multi-bank holding corporation.  The Banks offer commercial banking, personal banking, agricultural lending and deposit account services along with trust services and Internet banking services.  Ames affiliates have locations throughout the state of Iowa.

PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk provides commercial banking services.

PT Bank Neo Commerce Tbk is a full service commercial bank based in Indonesia.

PT Bank China Construction Bank Indonesia Tbk provides banking and related services. The Bank also provides interbank transaction services that includes import/export transactions, funds transfer, foreign currency transactions, and bank guarantees.

Bank China Construction Bank Indonesia (MCOR IJ)

National Bankshares, Inc. is a holding company for the National Bank of Blacksburg.  The Bank attracts deposits from the general public and use these funds to originate commercial, real estate, and consumer loans.  National Bankshares operates in Montgomery, Giles, Carroll,Tazewell, and Grayson counties in Virginia, and Mercer county West Virginia.

THE TOCHIGI BANK, LTD. is a regional bank based in Tochigi.  The Bank provides commercial banking services including deposits, loans, foreign exchange transactions, and securities investments.  The Tochigi Bank also provides financial services such as mutual funds sales, credit cards, leasing, and clerical works for banks' daily operations.

Tsukuba Bank, Ltd. provides commercial and personal banking services. The Bank offers personal and business checking, savings accounts, mortgages, issues credit card, and business loans for customers. Tsukuba Bank serves customers in Japan.

PT. Bank Agris Tbk provide financing services. The Bank offers investment products, working capital loans, consumer credit, product trade finance and remittance services.

Secure Trust Bank PLC accepts deposits and offers retail banking services.  The Company offers automobile and retail point of sale financing, and personal unsecured lending.

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Secure Trust Bank (STB LN)

Secure Trust Bank - Upbeat update

Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) Q3 trading update disclosed that Q3 was stronger than expected and FY20 earnings are likely to be well ahead of consensus...

Edison Investment Research

Secure Trust Bank - Resilient numbers

Secure Trust Bank (STB) reported H120 PBT of £5.1m (vs £18.1m a year ago) and a 3.0% ROE. Income grew 4% y-o-y, but impairments almost doubled, and...

Edison Investment Research

Secure Trust Bank - Caution after a fine 2019

Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) FY19 figures were good, as already flagged in its trading update. Underlying ROE was 14.0% (FY18: 12.8%), EPS was up 10%...

Edison Investment Research

Secure Trust Bank - Guidance and final 2019 dividend suspended

Secure Trust Bank (STB) is delaying the release of its FY19 results, due on 26 March, as requested by the FCA on account of COVID-19. It was aiming...

Edison Investment Research

Secure Trust Bank - Positive pre-close

Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) pre-close trading update indicates that FY19 results should be in line with expectations, despite the economic slowdown...

Edison Investment Research

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