Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hs-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7311:1" rel="noopener">HS Holdings (8699 JP)</a> remains an interesting hodgepodge of assets. It owns just under 50% of Mongolia's biggest bank, recently IPOed  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/khan-bank-llc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36883:1" rel="noopener">Khan Bank (KHAN MO)</a>. </li>
<li>It has a pile of cash. And it has a glorified pawn shop business in Japan. The bank shares must be sold, to a significant degree, by end of year. </li>
<li>Today it announced a buyback tomorrow of 6.4% of shares out. I expect it is one of two large individual holders. We'll probably know more within a week.</li>
</ul>



HS Holdings (8699 JP) remains an interesting hodgepodge of assets. It owns just under 50% of Mongolia's biggest bank, recently IPOed  Khan Bank (KHAN MO). 
It has a pile of cash. And it has a glorified pawn shop business in Japan. The bank shares must be sold, to a significant degree, by end of year. 
Today it announced a buyback tomorrow of 6.4% of shares out. I expect it is one of two large individual holders. We'll probably know more within a week.


HS Holdings (8699 JP) Buyback - Adds More to BVPS

<ul>
<li>The saga that has been the Sawada now <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hs-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7311:1" rel="noopener">HS Holdings (8699 JP)</a> effective control change and change in Mongolian Banking Law has been interesting but the end game is clear.</li>
<li>Last week, the Mongolian parliament extended the listing deadline for the top 5 Mongolian banks from June 2022 to June 2023. The IPO has been pushed back. Which is good.</li>
<li>The stock is not what people think it is, and the implied PBR and PER of Khan Bank exposure on a cash-adjusted basis is VERY low. </li>
</ul>


The saga that has been the Sawada now HS Holdings (8699 JP) effective control change and change in Mongolian Banking Law has been interesting but the end game is clear.
Last week, the Mongolian parliament extended the listing deadline for the top 5 Mongolian banks from June 2022 to June 2023. The IPO has been pushed back. Which is good.
The stock is not what people think it is, and the implied PBR and PER of Khan Bank exposure on a cash-adjusted basis is VERY low. 


HS Holdings (8699 JP): Khan Bank IPO Delayed but Path Clear

<ul>
<li>It looks like the Khan Bank IPO in Mongolia is on. </li>
<li>HS Holdings (former Sawada) will own &lt;50% shortly. That will trigger de-consolidation of Khan Bank in Q2. </li>
<li>That could be meaningful. Right now, the entire capital structure is in flux because of recently announced/booked/closed asset sales and now this. Earnings are out 28 April. </li>
</ul>


It looks like the Khan Bank IPO in Mongolia is on. 
HS Holdings (former Sawada) will own &lt;50% shortly. That will trigger de-consolidation of Khan Bank in Q2. 
That could be meaningful. Right now, the entire capital structure is in flux because of recently announced/booked/closed asset sales and now this. Earnings are out 28 April. 


HS/Sawada:  Khan Bank IPO Decided, and Earnings in A Week To Show Sharp Gain in BVPS/Liquidity

<ul>
<li>Sawada/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hs-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7311:1" rel="noopener">HS Holdings (8699 JP)</a> yesterday announced it would receive a large dividend from its namesake brokerage business, and then announced it would sell it to its own 2nd largest shareholder. </li>
<li>Then HS Holdings said it would buy back up to 23% of its shares out this morning in a ToSTNeT-3 transaction. </li>
<li>The sale of what was its second most important remaining asset is good. Buying back shares below book is normally good. </li>
</ul>


Sawada/HS Holdings (8699 JP) yesterday announced it would receive a large dividend from its namesake brokerage business, and then announced it would sell it to its own 2nd largest shareholder. 
Then HS Holdings said it would buy back up to 23% of its shares out this morning in a ToSTNeT-3 transaction. 
The sale of what was its second most important remaining asset is good. Buying back shares below book is normally good. 


Sawada/HS Holdings (8699) - A Quite Salutary Development.. And We Wait...

<ul>
<li>Sawada/HS Holdings (8699 JP) gets the bulk of its earnings from Khan Bank (even more so post-exit from gaitame).</li>
<li>Khan Bank just had a fantastic year with earnings up 77%. </li>
<li>But Sawada has just done a deal with should give one pause.</li>
</ul>


Sawada/HS Holdings (8699 JP) gets the bulk of its earnings from Khan Bank (even more so post-exit from gaitame).
Khan Bank just had a fantastic year with earnings up 77%. 
But Sawada has just done a deal with should give one pause.


Sawada/HS (8699) - A NON-Salutary Development

Japan

HS Holdings Co., Ltd. offers banking services. The Company provides deposits, loans, domestic settlement, fund management, and other services. HS Holdings also offers securities dealing, securities brokerage, securities underwriting, and other services.

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HS Holdings (8699 JP)