Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>DRAM spot prices have tumbled 11% since early April.  Does this imply a DRAM market downturn in the current quarter?  Will Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron report lower revenues?  A close look at the figures implies that this correction is unlikely to be severe enough to drive a revenue decrease.</p>

DRAM spot prices have tumbled 11% since early April.  Does this imply a DRAM market downturn in the current quarter?  Will Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron report lower revenues?  A close look at the figures implies that this correction is unlikely to be severe enough to drive a revenue decrease.

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> announced its 1Q2021 results which look like a blowout set of numbers with +147% growth in total GAAP revenues with +117% growth in digital bookings for digital entertainment and +250% YoY growth in e-commerce GAAP revenues.</p>
<p>Gross Profit increased a staggering +212% YoY to US$645.4m in 1Q2021 and the company booked a positive EBITDA of US$88.1m versus a (US$69.9m) loss in 1Q2020.</p>
<p>The gross profit margin increased from 28% in 1Q2020 to 36% in 1Q2021, which is a testament to the fact that the company is moving along the path to profitability. Digital entertainment saw higher margins, while-commerce saw falling EBITDA loss per order.</p>
<p>In Digital Entertainment (DE) division continues to see strong growth in its user base with +61% YoY growth in quarterly active users (QAU) to 648.6m but more importantly quarterly paying users saw growth of +12.3% YoY to 79.8m signifying a higher level of monetization on its self-developed game <em>Free Fire.</em></p>
<p>The company continues to successfully expand its gaming business to new geographies, with India being the latest growth engine and players are spending more time on Free Fire and spending more. It continues to add new content and characters to increase the appeal and stickiness of <em>Free Fire</em>. It is also seeing huge response in the eSports arena for <em>Free Fire.</em></p>
<p>Shopee ranked number one in the shopping category by monthly active users and time spent in app in 1Q2021 for both South East Asia and Taiwan, according to App Annie. E-commerce continues to show supercharged growth and especially in the core market of Indonesia.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a>'s move into digital payments in South -East Asia under SeaMoney and ShopeePay in Indonesia continues to see strong momentum.  The mobile wallet total payment volume saw total payment volume triple in 1Q2021 to US$3.4bn. </p>
<p>The company is also expanding the offline use-cases for ShopeePay most recently extending use to Indomaret in Indonesia, the largest mini-market operator in the country.</p>
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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a>'s move into food delivery through ShopeeFood and evidence suggests that it has already had a strong reception to its launch in Jakarta, with growth similar to that in other categories.</p>
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<p>This latest set of results provides further proof of the success of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> growth model which generates huge EBITDA from gaming and reinvests that money into growing the company's e-commerce and digital finance businesses, whilst maintaining the investment momentum into the gaming cash cow, buy pushing out into new geographies such as India.</p>
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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> continues to standout as the best way to play the explosive growth in e-commerce in South East Asia, funded by the popularity of its self developed game <em>Free Fire </em>and its gaming business, together with its move into digital payments a third leg to future growth.</p>
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<section class="figure"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> valuations are higher than its listed peers on 13x and 9x EV/Sales for FY21E and FY22E respectively but it is growing at more than twice the pace in terms of sales to justify this. The market is also paying a premium for its unique financing plus its market leadership and strong track record on execution, with 11 consecutive quarters of triple-digit growth.</section>
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Sea Ltd (SE US) announced its 1Q2021 results which look like a blowout set of numbers with +147% growth in total GAAP revenues with +117% growth in digital bookings for digital entertainment and +250% YoY growth in e-commerce GAAP revenues.
Gross Profit increased a staggering +212% YoY to US$645.4m in 1Q2021 and the company booked a positive EBITDA of US$88.1m versus a (US$69.9m) loss in 1Q2020.
The gross profit margin increased from 28% in 1Q2020 to 36% in 1Q2021, which is a testament to the fact that the company is moving along the path to profitability. Digital entertainment saw higher margins, while-commerce saw falling EBITDA loss per order.
In Digital Entertainment (DE) division continues to see strong growth in its user base with +61% YoY growth in quarterly active users (QAU) to 648.6m but more importantly quarterly paying users saw growth of +12.3% YoY to 79.8m signifying a higher level of monetization on its self-developed game Free Fire.
The company continues to successfully expand its gaming business to new geographies, with India being the latest growth engine and players are spending more time on Free Fire and spending more. It continues to add new content and characters to increase the appeal and stickiness of Free Fire. It is also seeing huge response in the eSports arena for Free Fire.
Shopee ranked number one in the shopping category by monthly active users and time spent in app in 1Q2021 for both South East Asia and Taiwan, according to App Annie. E-commerce continues to show supercharged growth and especially in the core market of Indonesia.
Sea Ltd (SE US)'s move into digital payments in South -East Asia under SeaMoney and ShopeePay in Indonesia continues to see strong momentum.  The mobile wallet total payment volume saw total payment volume triple in 1Q2021 to US$3.4bn. 
The company is also expanding the offline use-cases for ShopeePay most recently extending use to Indomaret in Indonesia, the largest mini-market operator in the country.

Sea Ltd (SE US)'s move into food delivery through ShopeeFood and evidence suggests that it has already had a strong reception to its launch in Jakarta, with growth similar to that in other categories.

This latest set of results provides further proof of the success of the Sea Ltd (SE US) growth model which generates huge EBITDA from gaming and reinvests that money into growing the company's e-commerce and digital finance businesses, whilst maintaining the investment momentum into the gaming cash cow, buy pushing out into new geographies such as India.



Sea Ltd (SE US) continues to standout as the best way to play the explosive growth in e-commerce in South East Asia, funded by the popularity of its self developed game Free Fire and its gaming business, together with its move into digital payments a third leg to future growth.

Sea Ltd (SE US) valuations are higher than its listed peers on 13x and 9x EV/Sales for FY21E and FY22E respectively but it is growing at more than twice the pace in terms of sales to justify this. The market is also paying a premium for its unique financing plus its market leadership and strong track record on execution, with 11 consecutive quarters of triple-digit growth.

















Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>DRAM and NAND flash makers have reported their first quarter earnings, and this has shown that DRAM revenues have grown slowly and NAND flash has stayed relatively flat.  DRAM and NAND market share breakouts have remained relatively stable for a year or longer, but recent spot market activity indicates that DRAM revenues may be headed for a correction.</p>

DRAM and NAND flash makers have reported their first quarter earnings, and this has shown that DRAM revenues have grown slowly and NAND flash has stayed relatively flat.  DRAM and NAND market share breakouts have remained relatively stable for a year or longer, but recent spot market activity indicates that DRAM revenues may be headed for a correction.

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<p>This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.  </p><p><strong><em>Companies mentioned this week:</em></strong></p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a></p>

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.  Companies mentioned this week:Meituan (3690 HK), Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK), Naspers (NPN SJ), Prosus (PRX NA), Tencent (700 HK), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 14 May 2021

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

We have 8 in total currently sitting below -1.00σ on a 20-day moving average. Korean Air Lines 1P tops the list with a -2.07σ, closely followed by Namyang Dairy 1P and Samsung SDI 1P. CJ Corp's two preferred share types are also in a pretty substantial diversion relative to their ordinary share.









Preferred shares
Ticker
Market cap
Disparity to ordinary share
Sigma on a 20-day moving average


Korean Air Lines Co Ltd 1P
003495
₩44.9B
-37.88%
-2.07


Namyang Dairy Products Co., Ltd. 1P
003925
₩29.1B
54.50%
-1.97


Samsung SDI Co Ltd 1P
006405
₩677.9B
33.07%
-1.90


CJ Corp 1P
001045
₩146.5B
39.72%
-1.72


CJ Corp 4PB
00104K
₩358.0B
21.21%
-1.61


Yuhwa Securities Co., Ltd. 1P
003465
₩48.1B
-2.04%
-1.46


DL E&amp;C Ord Shs 1P
37550K
₩165.9B
43.73%
-1.42


Doosan Corp 1P
000155
₩192.6B
29.64%
-1.14

Source: KRX

These are the largest cap preferred shares having a market cap of ₩300B or more. Samsung Electronics 1P is still going strong at +2.00σ. Amorepacific 1P and AmoreG 3PB are also running away from their ordinary shares. Among the large-cap prefs, Samsung SDI 1P currently has the widest diversion, followed by CJ Corp 4PB. 









Preferred shares
Ticker
Market cap
Disparity to ordinary share
Sigma on a 20-day moving average


Samsung Electronics Co Ltd 1P
005935
₩60,811.3B
7.74%
2.00


Hyundai Motor Co 2PB
005387
₩4,122.9B
50.66%
0.91


LG Chem Ltd 1P
051915
₩3,129.3B
52.34%
0.98


Hyundai Motor Co 1P
005385
₩2,715.8B
51.31%
-0.44


LG Household &amp; Healthcare Ltd 1P
051905
₩1,495.0B
53.19%
1.09


LG Electronics Inc. 1P
066575
₩1,228.8B
51.85%
1.27


Amorepacific Corp 1P
090435
₩1,092.7B
64.49%
2.11


Mirae Asset Securities Co Ltd 2PB
00680K
₩690.2B
51.19%
0.11


Samsung SDI Co Ltd 1P
006405
₩677.9B
33.07%
-1.90


Samsung Fire &amp; Marine Insurance Co Ltd 1P
000815
₩528.3B
22.12%
-0.36


Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd. 1P
071055
₩509.7B
17.92%
-0.45


SHINYOUNG SECURITIES CO LTD 1P
001725
₩445.8B
-1.61%
1.92


Daishin Securities Co., Ltd 1P
003545
₩427.7B
12.27%
0.47


Kumho Petro Chemical Co Ltd 1P
011785
₩387.0B
47.54%
1.19


CJ Corp 4PB
00104K
₩358.0B
21.21%
-1.61


Amorepacific Group 3PB
00279K
₩352.8B
33.40%
2.51


Hanwha Corp 3PB
00088K
₩349.4B
51.10%
1.15


Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co., Ltd. 1P
009155
₩300.9B
37.08%
1.35

Source: KRX 




Korea Preferred Shares Disparity & Sigma, Feat. Samsung Electronics 1P & CJ Corp 4PB

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

Does DRAM Price Slide Threaten Samsung?

DRAM spot prices are down 11% since early April. Does this imply a revenue downturn for Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron? This Insight shows why...

Jim Handy

Sea Ltd - Supercharged

Sea Ltd (SE US) is the best way to proxy for the explosive growth in e-commerce in South East Asia, funded by its gaming revenue, with its move...

Angus Mackintosh

NAND Flash, DRAM Status & Outlook

The DRAM and NAND flash markets have recently performed well, but there's are hints that the best quarter of this cycle is behind us.

Jim Handy

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 14 May 2021

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity...

Wium Malan, CFA

Korea Preferred Shares Disparity & Sigma, Feat. Samsung Electronics 1P & CJ Corp 4PB

This post examines the current disparity and sigma of Korea's preferred shares relative to the ordinary shares. It then looks into the two prefs...

Sanghyun Park

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