Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> break below key support at 79k induced a high energy decline with sell volumes spiking. This break is bearish. SEC is nearing oversold levels to take a tactical long stance with an intermediate game plan to short a bounce cycle.</p><p>Korea has been a top short from 435 and the break of 425 was led by SEC's break below 79k pivot support.</p><p>SEC sell volumes have spiked and we need to see sell pressure taper off in order to participate in a reaction bounce trade.</p><p>SEC RSI is moving into texteme oversold territory where bounces ignite.</p><p>Conviction lies with selling a bounce attempt.</p>

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) break below key support at 79k induced a high energy decline with sell volumes spiking. This break is bearish. SEC is nearing oversold levels to take a tactical long stance with an intermediate game plan to short a bounce cycle.Korea has been a top short from 435 and the break of 425 was led by SEC's break below 79k pivot support.SEC sell volumes have spiked and we need to see sell pressure taper off in order to participate in a reaction bounce trade.SEC RSI is moving into texteme oversold territory where bounces ignite.Conviction lies with selling a bounce attempt.

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory, ROK Advisory LLC

Ken S. Kim

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory

ROK Advisory LLC

ROK is an independent research advisory firm. We guide you to minimize the information gap between foreign and local investors in Northeast Asia with a focus in Korea, Taiwan and Japan.

Independent Research Advisory Firm

Event-Driven

<p>Local news articles are pointing to the release of JY Lee as a catalyst for the stock to move.  In fact, the locals gave it a 60% possibility that the Chairman of the Samsung Group will be paroled on August 13th and it was just announced that he will be paroled today.  Will this make the stock of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> move or has the parole basically given Samsung stock a box sentence for the next 6 -12 months?</p>

Local news articles are pointing to the release of JY Lee as a catalyst for the stock to move.  In fact, the locals gave it a 60% possibility that the Chairman of the Samsung Group will be paroled on August 13th and it was just announced that he will be paroled today.  Will this make the stock of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) move or has the parole basically given Samsung stock a box sentence for the next 6 -12 months?

Is Samsung Electronics Poised to Make a Move? Depends on Who You Ask

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<div>
<p>Coupang, one of the largest e-commerce players in Korea, was listed on 11th Mar 2021 when it raised around US$4.5bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its US IPO.</p>
<p>In this note, we'll talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry.</p>
<p>We've covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier insights: </p>
</div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-the-positives-fast-growth-sticky-customers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Sticky Customers</a>, </li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-the-negatives-horrendous-data-disclosures-including-no-mention-of-ott-launch" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Horrendous Data Disclosures, Including No Mention of OTT Launch</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-fair-bit-of-competition-but-it-s-doing-better-than-most-local-peers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - Fair Bit of Competition but It’s Doing Better than Most Local Peers</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-pre-ipo-earnings-forecast-and-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang Pre-IPO - Earnings Forecast and Valuation</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-ipo-momentum-play-unequal-lock-up-index-inclusion" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang IPO - Momentum Play, Unequal Lock-Up, Index Inclusion</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-ipo-quick-note-peers-move-down-range-moves-up-ripe-for-trading" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang IPO - Quick Note - Peers Move Down, Range Moves Up. Ripe for Trading.</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/coupang-ipo-trading-most-hit-near-term-peak-on-the-first-day-key-trading-lock-up-dates" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Coupang IPO Trading - Most Hit near Term Peak on the First Day - Key Trading/​Lock-Up Dates</a></li>
</ul></div>


Coupang, one of the largest e-commerce players in Korea, was listed on 11th Mar 2021 when it raised around US$4.5bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its US IPO.
In this note, we'll talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry.
We've covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier insights: 


Coupang Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Sticky Customers, 
Coupang Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Horrendous Data Disclosures, Including No Mention of OTT Launch
Coupang Pre-IPO - Fair Bit of Competition but It’s Doing Better than Most Local Peers
Coupang Pre-IPO - Earnings Forecast and Valuation
Coupang IPO - Momentum Play, Unequal Lock-Up, Index Inclusion
Coupang IPO - Quick Note - Peers Move Down, Range Moves Up. Ripe for Trading.
Coupang IPO Trading - Most Hit near Term Peak on the First Day - Key Trading/​Lock-Up Dates


Coupang Lock-Up Expiry - Failed to Meet Multiple Lock-Up Exits; Now Hitting the US$7bn Expiry

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<p>It was announced today that Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong will get out of jail as the Korean government will release him on parole this week after he spent 18 months in prison. The total original sentence time was for 30 months so Lee will no longer need to serve the remaining one year of jail time. Lee joins 800+ other convicts who will be released from various prisons in Korea on Friday. </p><p>In our view, this could <strong>accelerate</strong> some of Samsung's major investment plans globally and could also have a positive impact on the Samsung Group companies. Lee Jae-Yong joins a long-list of Korean chaebol family members that have served some time in prison. </p><div class="content-highlight">
<p>Overall, we believe that there could be more investors' interest in Samsung C&amp;T with the release of Lee Jae-Yong from jail. Although he remains a figurehead, the persistent negative press on him will likely be relieved and there could be more pressure to improve various ESG metrics of the Samsung Group companies even further. As such, we believe this will have a positive impact on the Samsung Group companies, especially on Samsung C&amp;T. </p>
<p>Our <strong>base case NAV</strong> valuation of Samsung C&amp;T is 202,593 won per share, representing 42.2% higher than current share price. In our base case valuation, we used the current market cap/prices of its ownership in major affiliates including Samsung Electronics, Samsung Biologics, and Samsung Life Insurance. We also used a 40% holdco discount in our valuations. </p>
</div>

It was announced today that Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong will get out of jail as the Korean government will release him on parole this week after he spent 18 months in prison. The total original sentence time was for 30 months so Lee will no longer need to serve the remaining one year of jail time. Lee joins 800+ other convicts who will be released from various prisons in Korea on Friday. In our view, this could accelerate some of Samsung's major investment plans globally and could also have a positive impact on the Samsung Group companies. Lee Jae-Yong joins a long-list of Korean chaebol family members that have served some time in prison. 
Overall, we believe that there could be more investors' interest in Samsung C&amp;T with the release of Lee Jae-Yong from jail. Although he remains a figurehead, the persistent negative press on him will likely be relieved and there could be more pressure to improve various ESG metrics of the Samsung Group companies even further. As such, we believe this will have a positive impact on the Samsung Group companies, especially on Samsung C&amp;T. 
Our base case NAV valuation of Samsung C&amp;T is 202,593 won per share, representing 42.2% higher than current share price. In our base case valuation, we used the current market cap/prices of its ownership in major affiliates including Samsung Electronics, Samsung Biologics, and Samsung Life Insurance. We also used a 40% holdco discount in our valuations. 


Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong Gets Out of Jail (Again) & NAV Analysis of Samsung C&T

<div><p>Kakao Bank (KB), South Korea’s largest digital bank, raised US$2.2bn in its South Korean IPO. It ended the first day of trading up 79% from its IPO price. </p></div><div>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes:</div><div><ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kakao-bank-ipo-riding-on-parent-s-network-but-boundaries-with-kakao-pay-remain-unclear" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kakao Bank IPO - Riding on parents network but boundaries with Kakao Pay remain unclear</a>, </li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kakao-bank-ipo-pricey-as-it-should-be" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kakao Bank IPO - Pricey as It Should Be</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kakao-bank-ipo-lack-of-lock-up-and-msci-ftse-index-implications" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kakao Bank IPO - Lack of Lock-Up and MSCI, FTSE Index Implications, and</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kakao-bank-ipo-trading-one-for-instis-closer-look-at-ftse-and-msci-inclusion-remain-buyers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kakao Bank IPO Trading - One for Instis, Closer Look at FTSE and MSCI Inclusion. Remain Buyers</a></li>
</ul></div><div><p>In this note, we will talk about the first day trading and index inclusion.</p></div>

Kakao Bank (KB), South Korea’s largest digital bank, raised US$2.2bn in its South Korean IPO. It ended the first day of trading up 79% from its IPO price. We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes:

Kakao Bank IPO - Riding on parents network but boundaries with Kakao Pay remain unclear, 
Kakao Bank IPO - Pricey as It Should Be
Kakao Bank IPO - Lack of Lock-Up and MSCI, FTSE Index Implications, and
Kakao Bank IPO Trading - One for Instis, Closer Look at FTSE and MSCI Inclusion. Remain Buyers
In this note, we will talk about the first day trading and index inclusion.

Kakao Bank - MSCI Done, Missed FTSE by a Whisker.

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (SMSN LI)

SEC Oversold Long Level/Short a Rally

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) break below key support at 79k induced a high energy decline with sell volumes spiking. SEC is near oversold levels...

Thomas Schroeder

Is Samsung Electronics Poised to Make a Move? Depends on Who You Ask

Is Samsung Electronics finally poised to get receive retail investor attention in Korea after a significant period of underperformance in 2021?

Ken S. Kim

Coupang Lock-Up Expiry - Failed to Meet Multiple Lock-Up Exits; Now Hitting the US$7bn Expiry

Coupang was listed on 11th Mar 2021 when it raised around US$4.5bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its US IPO. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong Gets Out of Jail (Again) & NAV Analysis of Samsung C&T

It was announced today that Samsung's Lee Jae-Yong will get out of jail as the Korean government will release him on parole this week after he...

Douglas Kim

Kakao Bank - MSCI Done, Missed FTSE by a Whisker.

Kakao Bank (KB), South Korea’s largest digital bank, raised US$2.2bn in its South Korean IPO. It ended the first day of trading up 79% from its IPO...

Sumeet Singh

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