Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A noteworthy flow trend in the Korean stock market is the National Pension Service's local equity purchase. For this, they tend to overweight those previously underweighted blue-chip stocks. </li>
<li>All of the top 10 most net-bought stocks by local pensions on April 18-26 are KOSPI 200 constituents. And most of them all have a relatively small NPS-owned stake.</li>
<li>Most of them have significantly outperformed the KOSPI 200 (-0.90%) during this period.</li>
</ul>


A noteworthy flow trend in the Korean stock market is the National Pension Service's local equity purchase. For this, they tend to overweight those previously underweighted blue-chip stocks. 
All of the top 10 most net-bought stocks by local pensions on April 18-26 are KOSPI 200 constituents. And most of them all have a relatively small NPS-owned stake.
Most of them have significantly outperformed the KOSPI 200 (-0.90%) during this period.


Noteworthy Flow Trend: Korea NPS Overweighting Local Equity

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, raised US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO in Nov 21. Its 6 month lock-up will expire soon.</li>
<li>The stock more than doubled on listing, providing one of the best first day returns in 2021. However, its performance since then hasn’t been all that great.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, raised US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO in Nov 21. Its 6 month lock-up will expire soon.
The stock more than doubled on listing, providing one of the best first day returns in 2021. However, its performance since then hasn’t been all that great.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Kakao Pay IPO Lock-Up - IPO Was Great, Performance Since Then Has Been Tepid

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO.</li>
<li>SKS is the security subsidiary of SK Square. It provides security services across four main categories: information security/Cybersecurity, convergence security, physical security, and Safety &amp; Care.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the refiling updates.</li>
</ul>


SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO.
SKS is the security subsidiary of SK Square. It provides security services across four main categories: information security/Cybersecurity, convergence security, physical security, and Safety &amp; Care.
In this note, we will look at the refiling updates.


SK Shieldus IPO - Refiling Disclosures Should Make Multiples Move, LOWER.

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

ASM Pacific Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Revenue of HK$5.27 billion (US$674.8 million), +21.5% YoY and -15.1% QoQ, was at the high end of revenue guidance issued in 1Q22.</li>
<li>Revenue guidance was US$670 million to US$740 million, which was +5.8% YoY and +4.5% QoQ at mid-point in Q2 2022.</li>
<li>Usually, the 1st quarter is the weakest of the year. The booking magnitude might be showing how is the industry customers' confidence now. </li>
</ul>


Revenue of HK$5.27 billion (US$674.8 million), +21.5% YoY and -15.1% QoQ, was at the high end of revenue guidance issued in 1Q22.
Revenue guidance was US$670 million to US$740 million, which was +5.8% YoY and +4.5% QoQ at mid-point in Q2 2022.
Usually, the 1st quarter is the weakest of the year. The booking magnitude might be showing how is the industry customers' confidence now. 


ASMP (522.HK): 1Q22 Results and 2Q22 Forecast- A Warm up in 2022 and It Should Be Another Hike in 3Q

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (SMSN LI)

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

Noteworthy Flow Trend: Korea NPS Overweighting Local Equity

The NPS seems to have recently begun to overweight local equity, and this post investigates this significant flow trend and the stocks worthy of...

Sanghyun Park

Kakao Pay IPO Lock-Up - IPO Was Great, Performance Since Then Has Been Tepid

Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, raised US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO in Nov 21. Its 6 month...

Sumeet Singh

SK Shieldus IPO - Refiling Disclosures Should Make Multiples Move, LOWER.

SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO. In this note we will look at the...

Sumeet Singh

ASMP (522.HK): 1Q22 Results and 2Q22 Forecast- A Warm up in 2022 and It Should Be Another Hike in 3Q

Revenue guidance was US$670 million to US$740 million, which was +5.8% YoY and +4.5% QoQ. Usually, the 1st quarter is the weakest. The booking...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)