Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.


KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 December and will end 29 February. The changes will be implemented at the close 14 March.</li>
<li>We currently see 3 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 3 new adds to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, and 11 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 December and will end 29 February. The changes will be implemented at the close 14 March.
We currently see 3 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 3 new adds to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, and 11 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - The Outperformance Continues

<ul>
<li>There are 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 LargeCap to MidCap, 8 new additions to MidCap, 17 SmallCap to MidCap, 23 MidCap to SmallCap, 5 new additions to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the stocks migrating between other segments by a huge margin over the last few months.</li>
<li>Given the huge outperformance and looking at how the migrations have performed historically, we'd expect the stocks migrating to MidCap to underperform post implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 LargeCap to MidCap, 8 new additions to MidCap, 17 SmallCap to MidCap, 23 MidCap to SmallCap, 5 new additions to SmallCap.
The migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the stocks migrating between other segments by a huge margin over the last few months.
Given the huge outperformance and looking at how the migrations have performed historically, we'd expect the stocks migrating to MidCap to underperform post implementation of the changes.


KOSPI Size Indices - Changes in September & Implications

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

South Korea

DL Construction Co., Ltd. provides construction and civil engineering services. The Company offers general outsourcing, public building, housing, landscaping, and other related services. DL Construction offers services throughout South Korea.

Dohwa Engineering Co., Ltd. is a construction company that provides architectural, supervision, and engineering services.  The Company constructs water facilities, roads and urban planning services.

HDC Holdings Co.,Ltd operates as a real estate owner and developer. The Company develops residential areas, office buildings, hotels, restaurants, and other related areas. HDC Holdings offers services throughout South Korea.

Seohee Construction Co., Ltd. provides domestic civil engineering, architectural, and residential building construction, and other construction related services.  Seohee Construction constructs roadway, apartment complexes, governmental buildings, water and waste treatment facilities, and sports facilities.

Kolon Global Corp., a civil engineering and architectural firm, constructs highways, railroads, subways, bridges, tunnels, buildings, industrial plants, and apartment complexes.  The Company also operates leisure business, such as country clubs, family hotels, and ski resorts.

Halla Corporation provides civil engineering and architectural services to governmental and industrial customers.  The Company's business focuses on civil works, such as construction of roadways, dockyards, and airports.  Halla Corporation also builds commercial, residential, and educational buildings.

Dong-Ah Geological Engineering Co., Ltd. is a construction company which performs site preparation services for private and public entities.  The Company uses shield, grouting, and excavating methods to prepare sites for a variety of construction works, such as tunnels, dams, highways, subways, and factories.

Dong Ah Geological Engineering (028100 KS)

Hanmiglobal Co., Ltd. is a construction and engineering company.  The Company  p rovides project management services, construction, and financing services.

Dongsin Engineering & Construction provides construction and engineering services. The Company constructs sewage disposal plants, city water facilities, non-hazardous sanitary landfills, and roadways.

Kyeryong Construction Industrial Co., Ltd. focuses on public-sector construction and civil engineering works mainly in the Central area of South Korea.

Kyeryong Construction Industrial Co (013580 KS)

TOKYO ENERGY & SYSTEMS INC. designs and constructs thermal, nuclear, and hydro-electric power plant facilities.  The company also builds transformer substation facilities.  Additionally, Tokyo Energy & Systems performs electrical works for telecommunication, air-conditioning, and water supply systems as well as civil engineering works.

Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group Company Limited designs and develops the seawall, reservoir, flood control and other water conservation and hydropower engineering constructions.

Zhejiang Reclaim Construction (002586 CH)

Fudo Tetra Corporation constructs infrastructure such as airports, roads, and dams.  The Company performs ground improvement works.  Fudo Tetra also builds commercial, institutional, and industrial buildings such as skyscrapers, multi-complex parking, and distribution and production facilities. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates real estate businesses.

Subaru Enterprise Co., Ltd. maintains, cleans, and repairs highways.  The Company also operates movies theaters, restaurants, and other real estate.

Beijing Urban Construction Design & Development Group Co., Ltd. is a construction company that is primarily engaged in rail transit-related design, exploration, and consulting.

Beijing Urban Constn Dsg & Dev Gp (1599 HK)

ASAHI KOGYOSHA CO., LTD. designs, builds, and maintains air-conditioning and sanitation facilities.  The Company also constructs security, disaster prevention, and electrical facilities in family houses, buildings, and industrial plants.  Additionally, Asahi Kogyosha develops and installs environmental control devices such as clean rooms for high-tech industries.

DAIICHI KENSETSU CORPORATION is a civil engineering company based in Kanto, Shin-Etsu, and Tohoku regions.  The Company constructs railways mainly for East Japan Railway.  Daiichi Kensetsu also constructs infrastructure such as sewage facilities, tunnels, and waterways.  Additionally, the Company builds commercial, institutional, and residential buildings.

GR Engineering Services Ltd is an engineering consulting and contracting company. The Company specializes in providing process engineering design and construction services to the mining and minerals processing industries. GR's services cover all aspects of the project life cycle from the initial evaluation and study phase through to design, construction, commissioning and support.

China Ecotek Corporation provides environmental engineering services.  The Company plans, designs, constructs, maintains, and sells incinerators, wastewater treatment systems, cogeneration plants, air pollution control systems, and noise abatement projects, as well as waste recycling and recovery projects.

TECHNO RYOWA LTD. performs air-conditioning engineering works.  The Company builds energy conservation systems and clean rooms.  Techno also constructs water treatment, sanitation, and disaster prevention facilities.  Additionally, the Company sells and installs air-conditioning equipment produced by Mitsubishi Heavy Industries.

Sambu Construction Co., Ltd. specializes in government construction, such as dams, expressways, and subways.  The Company also constructs office buildings, industrial plants, hotels, apartments, schools, shopping malls, museums, and sports facilities.

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Sambu Construction (001470 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

There are many changes expected for the KOSPI size indices in September. The potential upward migrations have outperformed the potential downward...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - The Outperformance Continues

We see 34 migrations and 6 new inclusions for the KOSPI Size indices. Stocks migrating higher have outperformed stocks migrating lower. Some stocks...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - Changes in September & Implications

The changes to the KOSPI Size Indices were announced on Friday. Stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have bigly outperformed and going by...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

We currently forecast 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices. There are stocks that are potential KOSPI200 adds in December and others that will...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

We currently forecast 52 changes for the KOSPI Size Indices. While there are few passive assets tracking these indices, they are used by active...

Brian Freitas

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