External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Vietcap

Vietcap

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

We specialize in consulting both individual and institutional clients, providing them with effective financial solutions that are tailored to their specific needs.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We decrease our target price (TP) for STB by 2.4% to VND37,200/share but maintain our BUY rating.</li><li>Our lower TP is due to a 0.9% decrease in our aggregate 2024-2028F projected NPAT (- 3.1%/+12.9%/-4.8%/-2.6%/-4.1% in 2024/25/26/27/28F, respectively).</li><li>We decrease our aggregate 2024-2028F net income projection mainly due to a 2.7% decrease in aggregate NII following our lower expectation for average NIM at 4.00% vs 4.12% as in our previous Update Report.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We decrease our target price (TP) for STB by 2.4% to VND37,200/share but maintain our BUY rating.Our lower TP is due to a 0.9% decrease in our aggregate 2024-2028F projected NPAT (- 3.1%/+12.9%/-4.8%/-2.6%/-4.1% in 2024/25/26/27/28F, respectively).We decrease our aggregate 2024-2028F net income projection mainly due to a 2.7% decrease in aggregate NII following our lower expectation for average NIM at 4.00% vs 4.12% as in our previous Update Report.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sacombank (STB) - Delaying Income from Phong Phu Debt Sale to 2025

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Credit growth in 3Q24 remained steady: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), credit growth reached approximately 9% YTD as of end-3Q24, showing a quarterly increase of 3%p (QoQ).</li><li>This aligns with the growth rates seen during high-growth years in the past half-decade.</li><li>Recently, the SBV Governor stated that credit growth reached nearly 10.1% YTD (or 16.6% YoY) by end-October and expressed confidence that the 15% target for 2024 will be met. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Credit growth in 3Q24 remained steady: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), credit growth reached approximately 9% YTD as of end-3Q24, showing a quarterly increase of 3%p (QoQ).This aligns with the growth rates seen during high-growth years in the past half-decade.Recently, the SBV Governor stated that credit growth reached nearly 10.1% YTD (or 16.6% YoY) by end-October and expressed confidence that the 15% target for 2024 will be met. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 9M24 Update and Outlook - Letting the Recovery Simmer

<ul><li>Though QoQ credit growth slowed down in Q3 2024, 9M system-wide credit growth of 9% was encouraging.</li><li>Banks under our coverage reported higher credit growth for 9M 2024 compared to the industry average (11.3% vs 9.0%), with standout performances from private banks like TCB (+17.5%), HDB (+16.6%), ACB (+13.8%), and LPB (+16.1%).</li><li>System-wide deposit growth in 7M 2024 remained weak at around 1.7%. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Though QoQ credit growth slowed down in Q3 2024, 9M system-wide credit growth of 9% was encouraging.Banks under our coverage reported higher credit growth for 9M 2024 compared to the industry average (11.3% vs 9.0%), with standout performances from private banks like TCB (+17.5%), HDB (+16.6%), ACB (+13.8%), and LPB (+16.1%).System-wide deposit growth in 7M 2024 remained weak at around 1.7%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q3 2024 Banking Earnings Wrap-Up - Resilient Earnings Growth Despite NIM Contraction

<ul><li>Credit growth achieves mid-year target despite bumpy initiation: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), as of June 30, credit growth reached 6% YTD, achieving the mid-year target of 5–6% for 1H24 set by the Prime Minister.</li><li>Notably, by the end of May, credit growth was only 2.4% YTD, indicating a sharp increase of 3.6% in June, with over 1.5% growth in the final week alone.</li><li>While the rapid increase in June might seem unnatural to some, it aligns well with the broader macroeconomic momentum during the period. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Credit growth achieves mid-year target despite bumpy initiation: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), as of June 30, credit growth reached 6% YTD, achieving the mid-year target of 5–6% for 1H24 set by the Prime Minister.Notably, by the end of May, credit growth was only 2.4% YTD, indicating a sharp increase of 3.6% in June, with over 1.5% growth in the final week alone.While the rapid increase in June might seem unnatural to some, it aligns well with the broader macroeconomic momentum during the period. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 1H24 Update and Outlook - So far, so good

<ul><li>Stagnant credit growth in 1Q24 comes with little surprise: The subdued credit growth in 1Q24 reflects broader economic trends, indicating one of the lowest levels in nearly a decade, with a YTD increase of 1.34%.</li><li>This is just slightly above the 0.5% YTD increase recorded in 1Q14 and similar to the pandemic-inception year of 2020.</li><li>However, this was not entirely surprising, given the cautious macroeconomic outlook, despite some signs of recovery.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Stagnant credit growth in 1Q24 comes with little surprise: The subdued credit growth in 1Q24 reflects broader economic trends, indicating one of the lowest levels in nearly a decade, with a YTD increase of 1.34%.This is just slightly above the 0.5% YTD increase recorded in 1Q14 and similar to the pandemic-inception year of 2020.However, this was not entirely surprising, given the cautious macroeconomic outlook, despite some signs of recovery.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 1Q24 Update and Outlook - Acceptable Shortfall

Vietnam

Saigon Thuong Tin Commercial Joint-Stock Bank, known as Sacombank, operates various personal and corporate banking services such as deposits, foreign exchange transactions, loans, outward transfer, and international payments.

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Sacombank (STB VN)

Sacombank (STB) - Delaying Income from Phong Phu Debt Sale to 2025

Our lower TP is due to a 0.9% decrease in our aggregate 2024-2028F projected NPAT (- 3.1%/+12.9%/-4.8%/-2.6%/-4.1% in 2024/25/26/27/28F,...

Vietcap

Banking Sector - 9M24 Update and Outlook - Letting the Recovery Simmer

Credit growth in 3Q24 remained steady: According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), credit growth reached approximately 9% YTD as of end-3Q24,...

Mirae Asset Securities

Q3 2024 Banking Earnings Wrap-Up - Resilient Earnings Growth Despite NIM Contraction

Though QoQ credit growth slowed down in Q3 2024, 9M system-wide credit growth of 9% was encouraging. Banks under our coverage reported higher...

Vietcap

Banking Sector - 1H24 Update and Outlook - So far, so good

According to the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), as of June 30, credit growth reached 6% YTD, achieving the mid-year target of 5–6% for 1H24 set by...

Mirae Asset Securities

Banking Sector - 1Q24 Update and Outlook - Acceptable Shortfall

The subdued credit growth in 1Q24 reflects broader economic trends, indicating one of the lowest levels in nearly a decade, with a YTD increase of...

Mirae Asset Securities

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