Asia Consumer Research, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Asia Consumer Research

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Tatas are scripting India's early journey in electric cars - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> accounted for 87% of the 8077 electric cars sold in Q1FY23 (1605 units in Q1FY22).</li>
<li>The rapid roll-out of charging infrastructure across the country by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a> and the success of Tata's electric car (compact SUV). Tata Nexon EV, are key factors. </li>
<li>Demand and infrastructure for electric cars seem to be in place but market growth is restricted by a lack of choice/adequate supply in the popular price range (&lt;USD 20K).</li>
</ul>



Tatas are scripting India's early journey in electric cars - Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) accounted for 87% of the 8077 electric cars sold in Q1FY23 (1605 units in Q1FY22).
The rapid roll-out of charging infrastructure across the country by Tata Power (TPWR IN) and the success of Tata's electric car (compact SUV). Tata Nexon EV, are key factors. 
Demand and infrastructure for electric cars seem to be in place but market growth is restricted by a lack of choice/adequate supply in the popular price range (&lt;USD 20K).


India EV Sector: Electric Cars in Demand, but Limited Options. Tata's Nexon EV Leads

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Dongzheng Automotive Finance / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The potential MGO price is HK$1.2430 per H Share vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>’s previously noted HK$1.294 per H Share due to the change in RMB/HK$ rates.</li>
<li>The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. Approvals have low risk as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a>’s controlling shareholder is owned by the Shanghai SASAC.</li>
<li>At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 5.3% and 12.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The potential MGO price is HK$1.2430 per H Share vs Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)’s previously noted HK$1.294 per H Share due to the change in RMB/HK$ rates.
The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. Approvals have low risk as the SAIC Motor (600104 CH)’s controlling shareholder is owned by the Shanghai SASAC.
At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 5.3% and 12.7%, respectively.


Dongzheng’s Potential MGO Price from SAIC at HK$1.2430

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>It's now official - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a> has <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/0527/2022052700075.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">made</a> a possible unconditional mandatory cash Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>To recap: on the 19 May, SAIC acquired <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-zhengtong-auto-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17001:1" rel="noopener">China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)</a>'s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng at a judicial auction. This triggers the mandatory Offer.</li>
<li>The new news from today's <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/0527/2022052700075.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announcement</a> is that the Offer price was reduced to HK$1.243/share - presumably on account of moves in HKD vs. RMB. The Offer price is final.</li>
</ul>


It's now official - SAIC Motor (600104 CH) has made a possible unconditional mandatory cash Offer for Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK).
To recap: on the 19 May, SAIC acquired China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)'s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng at a judicial auction. This triggers the mandatory Offer.
The new news from today's announcement is that the Offer price was reduced to HK$1.243/share - presumably on account of moves in HKD vs. RMB. The Offer price is final.


SAIC’s Unconditional Offer For Dongzheng

<ul>
<li>On 19 May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a> emerged as the successful bidder for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-zhengtong-auto-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17001:1" rel="noopener">China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)</a>’s 71.04% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>As SAIC will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294 per H Share.</li>
<li>Dongzheng shares remain in a trading halt. The equity interest will transfer to SAIC and the MGO launched when the Shanghai Financial Court issues an auction sale judgment. </li>
</ul>


On 19 May, SAIC Motor (600104 CH) emerged as the successful bidder for China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)’s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK).
As SAIC will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294 per H Share.
Dongzheng shares remain in a trading halt. The equity interest will transfer to SAIC and the MGO launched when the Shanghai Financial Court issues an auction sale judgment. 


SAIC Wins the Auction for the 71.04% Stake in Dongzheng, MGO Upcoming

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Multiple Chinese electric-vehicle (EV) makers posted shrinking monthly deliveries in April as the country’s severe Covid outbreaks disrupted sales channels, supply chains and road transport.</li>
<li>The Covid-19 resurgence in the Yangtze Delta region continues to cause severe industry-wide disruptions in supply chain, logistics and production since late March</li>
<li>China has been battling the worst wave of Covid-19 outbreaks since late March, in which Shanghai logged record daily infections during five weeks of an ongoing citywide lockdown.</li>
</ul>


Multiple Chinese electric-vehicle (EV) makers posted shrinking monthly deliveries in April as the country’s severe Covid outbreaks disrupted sales channels, supply chains and road transport.
The Covid-19 resurgence in the Yangtze Delta region continues to cause severe industry-wide disruptions in supply chain, logistics and production since late March
China has been battling the worst wave of Covid-19 outbreaks since late March, in which Shanghai logged record daily infections during five weeks of an ongoing citywide lockdown.


Chinese EV-Makers’ Deliveries Plunge as Lockdowns Hit Dealers, Plants

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and develops, and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. operates as a passenger car manufacturer. The Company engages in research, development, and marketing of new energy vehicles and power battery system. BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology conducts businesses in China.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Techn (600733 CH)

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited develops, manufactures, and markets mini cars, mini sedans, full size sedans, and engines.

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

FAW Jiefang Group Co., Ltd, through joint ventures, manufactures and markets cars and auto parts.  The Company produces automobiles, transmission systems, and engines.  FAW Car also provides auto repair and customizing services.

Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets bus and truck chassis, gear boxes, other auto parts, and business automobiles.

BAIC Motor Corporation Limited designs, researches, develops, manufactures and sells a variety of passenger vehicles in China.

Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited, through joint ventures, designs, manufactures, and markets diesel engines, light trucks, automobiles, castings, and related spare parts.

PT Astra International Tbk assembles and distributes automobiles, motorcycles, and their related spare parts.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the mining, development of plantations, financial and information technology.

NISSAN MOTOR CO., LTD. manufactures and distributes automobiles and related parts. It also provides financing services. Nissan delivers a comprehensive range of products under various brands. The Company manufactures in Japan, the United States, Mexico, the United Kingdom and many other countries.

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited operates as a passenger vehicles manufacturing company. The Company provides passenger vehicles development, manufacturing, sales, and other services. Geely Automobile Holdings also exports passenger vehicles.

Hyundai Motor Company manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. The Company also sells various auto parts and operates auto repair service centers throughout South Korea. Hyundai Motor provides financial services through its subsidiaries.

Kia Corporation manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, mini-buses, trucks and commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures auto-parts and tools using hybrid electric and fuel cell technology. Kia markets its products worldwide.

Tata Motors Limited manufactures cars and commercial automotive vehicles in India. The Company designs, manufactures and sells heavy commercial, medium commercial and small commercial vehicles including trucks, tankers, vans, buses, ambulances and minibuses. Tata also manufactures small cars and sports utility vehicles.

Suzuki Motor Corporation manufactures automobiles, motorcycles, and their related parts. The Company has production facilities in USA, Japan, Taiwan, India, Pakistan, Indonesia, Thailand, and Hungary.

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

Bajaj Auto Limited manufactures and distributes motorized two-wheeled and three-wheeled scooters, motorcycles and mopeds.

Subaru Corp manufactures passenger cars, buses, motor vehicle parts, and industrial machinery.  The Company also produces aircraft parts and supplies it to defense agency and Boeing Co.  The Company sells its passenger cars under the Subaru brand name.

SAIC Motor Corporation Ltd., through joint ventures, manufactures and markets automobiles and related parts and accessories.

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SAIC Motor (600104 CH)

India EV Sector: Electric Cars in Demand, but Limited Options. Tata's Nexon EV Leads

India's electric car market is in an early stage of accelerated growth - currently driven predominantly by Tata Motors which has successfully...

Devi Subhakesan

Dongzheng’s Potential MGO Price from SAIC at HK$1.2430

The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the annualised...

Arun George

SAIC’s Unconditional Offer For Dongzheng

At HK$1.18/share as I type, this is trading at a gross/annualised spread of 5.3%/19.2%, assuming mid-September completion. Get involved here. This...

David Blennerhassett

SAIC Wins the Auction for the 71.04% Stake in Dongzheng, MGO Upcoming

SAIC, the successful bidder, will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, requiring an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294. Shares...

Arun George

Chinese EV-Makers’ Deliveries Plunge as Lockdowns Hit Dealers, Plants

Multiple Chinese electric-vehicle (EV) makers posted shrinking monthly deliveries in April as the country’s severe Covid outbreaks disrupted sales...

Caixin Global

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