EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
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More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

This piece highlights my recent proposal for a mechanism to solve the enforceability and adaptability issues faced by OPEC in their proposed production cuts and provides some worked examples of how the Tactical Petroleum Fund would work in practice for Smartkarma readers.

This piece highlights my recent proposal for a mechanism to solve the enforceability and adaptability issues faced by OPEC in their proposed production cuts and provides some worked examples of how the Tactical Petroleum Fund would work in practice for Smartkarma readers.

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

We attended the 2016 IoT Exhibition &amp; International Conference (Seoul) yesterday, which is the largest one for the IoT sector in Korea. We wanted to kick some tires and see in person some of the interesting developments in the IoT sector. Internet of Things will likely be one of the key investment themes over the next decade. Korea is well positioned to capitalize on this trend, driven by its high penetration of smartphones and broadband as well as its leadership on high-tech products and…

We attended the 2016 IoT Exhibition &amp; International Conference (Seoul) yesterday, which is the largest one for the IoT sector in Korea. We wanted to kick some tires and see in person some of the interesting developments in the IoT sector. Internet of Things will likely be one of the key investment themes over the next decade. Korea is well positioned to capitalize on this trend, driven by its high penetration of smartphones and broadband as well as its leadership on high-tech products and…

Internet of Things Will Change the World (Part 7) - 2016 IoT Exhibition & Conference in Seoul

There are some important regulatory changes that are coming to the IPOs market for companies listing on the KOSDAQ exchange in Korea. Although the exact dates of when these new measures will be enforced were not announced, these measures are expected to become enforced starting 4Q16. Financial Services Commission (FSC) is the key government entity that is spearheading these changes. We believe the net effect of these changes is positive for the investors and negative for the securities companies…

There are some important regulatory changes that are coming to the IPOs market for companies listing on the KOSDAQ exchange in Korea. Although the exact dates of when these new measures will be enforced were not announced, these measures are expected to become enforced starting 4Q16. Financial Services Commission (FSC) is the key government entity that is spearheading these changes. We believe the net effect of these changes is positive for the investors and negative for the securities companies…

Important Regulatory Changes for IPOs on the KOSDAQ Exchange

<ul><li>The six major events in the Korea Stock Market in September were as follows: LG Chem-LG Life Sciences merger, Hanjin Shipping applying for court receivership, Samsung Electronics involved in a major product recall of Galaxy Note 7, the start of One-Shot Act program, the opening of Shinsegae's Starfield Hanam, and Hanmi Pharm's ending of license deal with Boehringer.</li><li>The best-performing sectors in September were Media/Telecom (up 3.1% YoY) and Software/Internet (up 2.8% YoY). The worst-performing sectors were Health Care (down 2% YoY) and Shipbuilding (down 2.6% YoY). </li><li>Our top picks in the stock market were up 0.1% on average in September versus KOSPI which was up 0.2% in the same period. </li></ul>

The six major events in the Korea Stock Market in September were as follows: LG Chem-LG Life Sciences merger, Hanjin Shipping applying for court receivership, Samsung Electronics involved in a major product recall of Galaxy Note 7, the start of One-Shot Act program, the opening of Shinsegae's Starfield Hanam, and Hanmi Pharm's ending of license deal with Boehringer.The best-performing sectors in September were Media/Telecom (up 3.1% YoY) and Software/Internet (up 2.8% YoY). The worst-performing sectors were Health Care (down 2% YoY) and Shipbuilding (down 2.6% YoY). Our top picks in the stock market were up 0.1% on average in September versus KOSPI which was up 0.2% in the same period. 

Korea Stock Market Monthly Recap #6 - (September 2016)

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

In a somewhat surprising development, OPEC members have tentatively agreed to a production target of between 32.5 million and 33.3 million barrels per day, representing a reduction of up to 700 mb/d from current production levels of 33.2 mmb/d.Oil prices rallied on the news, but our view for continued low prices of $50/bbl in 2017 (detailed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/oil-markets-fundamentals-improving-but-u-s-shale-still-looms" target="_blank">Oil Markets: Fundamentals Improving, but U.S. Shale Still Looms</a>) remains unchanged, as we do not believe the potential reduction will have a meaningful sustainable impact on oil prices. While the low end of the target range is nearly 1 mmbd lower than our 2017 forecast for OPEC production, and if realized, it would balance markets and reduce inventories sooner than our original expectations, we see numerous risk factors that we think prevent a sustained recovery in prices until 2018.Analysts: Stephen Simko, CFA &amp; Lorraine Tan, CFA

In a somewhat surprising development, OPEC members have tentatively agreed to a production target of between 32.5 million and 33.3 million barrels per day, representing a reduction of up to 700 mb/d from current production levels of 33.2 mmb/d.Oil prices rallied on the news, but our view for continued low prices of $50/bbl in 2017 (detailed in Oil Markets: Fundamentals Improving, but U.S. Shale Still Looms) remains unchanged, as we do not believe the potential reduction will have a meaningful sustainable impact on oil prices. While the low end of the target range is nearly 1 mmbd lower than our 2017 forecast for OPEC production, and if realized, it would balance markets and reduce inventories sooner than our original expectations, we see numerous risk factors that we think prevent a sustained recovery in prices until 2018.Analysts: Stephen Simko, CFA &amp; Lorraine Tan, CFA

OPEC Cuts, U.S. E&Ps Drill: Our Oil Price Outlook Remains Unchanged

South Korea

S-Oil Corporation refines crude oil and sells petroleum and its related products.  The Company mainly focuses on petroleum refining, petrochemical, and lubricant business. S-Oil's major products are gasoline, bunker oil, kerosene, naphtha, lubricants, benzene, toluene, and xylene.

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S Oil Corp (010950 KS)

How to Fix Oil Prices

This piece highlights my recent proposal for a mechanism to solve the enforceability and adaptability issues faced by OPEC in their proposed...

Emad Mostaque

Internet of Things Will Change the World (Part 7) - 2016 IoT Exhibition & Conference in Seoul

We attended the 2016 IoT Exhibition & International Conference (Seoul) yesterday, which is the largest one for the IoT sector in Korea. We...

Douglas Kim

Important Regulatory Changes for IPOs on the KOSDAQ Exchange

There are some important regulatory changes that are coming to the IPOs market for companies listing on the KOSDAQ exchange in Korea. Although the...

Douglas Kim

Korea Stock Market Monthly Recap #6 - (September 2016)

The six major events in the Korea Stock Market in September were as follows: LG Chem-LG Life Sciences merger, Hanjin Shipping applying for court...

Douglas Kim

OPEC Cuts, U.S. E&Ps Drill: Our Oil Price Outlook Remains Unchanged

In a somewhat surprising development, OPEC members have tentatively agreed to a production target of between 32.5 million and 33.3 million barrels...

Morningstar, Inc.

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