Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>As we noted last week, $209 on the Russell 2000 (IWM) is arguably the most significant resistance level of all right now.</li>
<li>We would like the see a break above $209 on the IWM in order to have a sustainable new bull market.</li>
<li>4590-4600 is a significant resistance level on the S&amp;P 500 we are watching; if bears fail to show up there, next up would likely be a test of all-time highs.</li>
</ul>


As we noted last week, $209 on the Russell 2000 (IWM) is arguably the most significant resistance level of all right now.
We would like the see a break above $209 on the IWM in order to have a sustainable new bull market.
4590-4600 is a significant resistance level on the S&amp;P 500 we are watching; if bears fail to show up there, next up would likely be a test of all-time highs.


Russell 2000 (IWM) Still Testing $209 Resistance: Actionable Groups: Insurance, Shipping, Utilities

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

<ul>
<li>US breadth remains a challenge as we move into a more bearish April cycle. SPX risk to reward is less favorable above 4,500 (March ideal rally target).</li>
<li>Cycle: Call for more bullish cycle from March 16 (bottom on the 15th) into the 22nd, then expect a dip/rally into late March ahead of early April weakness/volatility.</li>
<li>RTY a top short under 2,100 and DJI to build a short toward 35k. Underperform makes a good case to short. NDX 15,100 ideal sell zone.</li>
</ul>


US breadth remains a challenge as we move into a more bearish April cycle. SPX risk to reward is less favorable above 4,500 (March ideal rally target).
Cycle: Call for more bullish cycle from March 16 (bottom on the 15th) into the 22nd, then expect a dip/rally into late March ahead of early April weakness/volatility.
RTY a top short under 2,100 and DJI to build a short toward 35k. Underperform makes a good case to short. NDX 15,100 ideal sell zone.


Marriott International / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>While we are not yet out of the woods, we are seeing several encouraging signals that indicate improving risk appetites.</li>
<li>Additionally, we are starting to see improvement within the Consumer Discretionary (hotels/resorts, casinos, leisure, cruises), Transportation (airlines), and Materials (metals/mining) Sectors -- we highlight several attractive stocks to buy.</li>
<li>The fact that more areas are becoming attractive (and not <em>just</em> Energy and Financials) is a step in the right direction for bulls.</li>
</ul>


While we are not yet out of the woods, we are seeing several encouraging signals that indicate improving risk appetites.
Additionally, we are starting to see improvement within the Consumer Discretionary (hotels/resorts, casinos, leisure, cruises), Transportation (airlines), and Materials (metals/mining) Sectors -- we highlight several attractive stocks to buy.
The fact that more areas are becoming attractive (and not just Energy and Financials) is a step in the right direction for bulls.


Risk Appetites Improving; Buying Cyclicals (Hotels/Resorts/Casinos, Metals/Mining)

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

Crypto

<ul>
<li>The squeeze up over the past few days on Bitcoin looks to have ended after testing the trend resistance</li>
<li>The overall picture still argues for a trend down to at least 30k, which may also be a warning sign for equity indices</li>
<li>Over the short term, US equity indices have remained well correlated to movements in bitcoin. The reflection &amp; suggestion here is that risk sentiment may once again be waning.</li>
</ul>


The squeeze up over the past few days on Bitcoin looks to have ended after testing the trend resistance
The overall picture still argues for a trend down to at least 30k, which may also be a warning sign for equity indices
Over the short term, US equity indices have remained well correlated to movements in bitcoin. The reflection &amp; suggestion here is that risk sentiment may once again be waning.


<ul>
<li>The break below 29k leaves the way open for at least 29k if not 20k (45% lower)</li>
<li>It’s recent correlation to US equities suggests further pain ahead for stocks</li>
<li>Ultimately this looks like nothing more than a pure speculative market that went too far with too much excitement and is now on it's way back down to Earth</li>
</ul>


The break below 29k leaves the way open for at least 29k if not 20k (45% lower)
It’s recent correlation to US equities suggests further pain ahead for stocks
Ultimately this looks like nothing more than a pure speculative market that went too far with too much excitement and is now on it's way back down to Earth


Bitcoin's Break Lower Is Warning Sign for Equities

United States

The Russell 2000 Index is comprised of the smallest 2000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 8% of the Russell 3000 total market capitalization. The index was developed with a base value of 135.00 as of December 31, 1986.

Russell 2000 Index (RTY INDEX)

Russell 2000 (IWM) Still Testing $209 Resistance: Actionable Groups: Insurance, Shipping, Utilities

$209 on the Russell 2000 ($IWM) is arguably the most significant resistance level of all right now, and we would like the see a break above $209 in...

Vermilion Research

US Equity Risk/Reward Turning Negative

US breadth remains a challenge as we move into a more bearish April cycle. SPX risk to reward is less favorable above 4,500 (March ideal rally...

Thomas Schroeder

Risk Appetites Improving; Buying Cyclicals (Hotels/Resorts/Casinos, Metals/Mining)

We are seeing encouraging signals that indicate improving risk appetites, including improvement within the Discretionary, Transports, and Materials...

Vermilion Research

Bitcoin Squeeze Comes to an End

the squeeze up in Bitcoin over the past week looks to be ending. This may also be a short term warning sign for equity indices

Shyam Devani

Bitcoin's Break Lower Is Warning Sign for Equities

Bitcoin's latest break seems consistent with the break also seen on the Russell 2000 Index. Both are likely to suffer more

Shyam Devani