Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Some creative float increases for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ac-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23188:1" rel="noopener">AC Energy Corp (ACEN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/san-miguel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22728:1" rel="noopener">San Miguel (SMC PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMP PM)</a> should result in the stocks remaining in the index and getting passive inflows.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmci-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8026:1" rel="noopener">DMCI Holdings (DMC PM)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/megaworld-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8746:1" rel="noopener">Megaworld Corp (MEG PM)</a>, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unionbank-of-the-philippines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23192:1" rel="noopener">UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP PM)</a>'s inclusion should result in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinsons-land-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8831:1" rel="noopener">Robinsons Land Co (RLC PM)</a>'s deletion from the index. </li>
<li>There will be a big impact on the additions, deletions and stocks with float changes. The stocks have already started to move ahead of the passive flows.</li>
</ul>


Some creative float increases for AC Energy Corp (ACEN), San Miguel (SMC PM) and Emperador (EMP PM) should result in the stocks remaining in the index and getting passive inflows.

DMCI Holdings (DMC PM) should replace Megaworld Corp (MEG PM), while UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP PM)'s inclusion should result in Robinsons Land Co (RLC PM)'s deletion from the index. 
There will be a big impact on the additions, deletions and stocks with float changes. The stocks have already started to move ahead of the passive flows.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Float Increases to Drive Changes & Flow

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Emperador (Emp) is looking to raise up to US$750m via a secondary listing in Singapore.</li>
<li>Emp is the Philippines’ largest liquor company and the world’s largest brandy producer. Its products are sold in over 100 countries.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company's past performance.</li>
</ul>


Emperador (Emp) is looking to raise up to US$750m via a secondary listing in Singapore.
Emp is the Philippines’ largest liquor company and the world’s largest brandy producer. Its products are sold in over 100 countries.
In this note, we look at the company's past performance.


Emperador Secondary Listing - Driven by Whisky, Supported by Brandy

Semirara Mining And Power Corp / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today is the last day of the review period for the August rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>We see a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semirara-mining-and-power-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18925:1" rel="noopener">Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/security-bank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3929:1" rel="noopener">Security Bank (SECB PM)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>Historically, the adds have outperformed the deletes and there has been a pop/drop in the adds/deletes the day after announcement. There is one month to pre-position for the announcement.</li>
</ul>


Today is the last day of the review period for the August rebalance of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX). 
We see a high probability of Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM) replacing Security Bank (SECB PM) in the index.
Historically, the adds have outperformed the deletes and there has been a pop/drop in the adds/deletes the day after announcement. There is one month to pre-position for the announcement.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: SCC Likely Replaces SECB

Converge Information and Commu / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Warburg Pincus, aims to raise around US$138m via selling its 3.6% in Converge ICT (CICT). The sale will be accompanied by a company buyback and a private transaction.</li>
<li>Warburg had earlier sold in the IPO and then in Nov 21, and this trade will be a cleanup.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Warburg Pincus, aims to raise around US$138m via selling its 3.6% in Converge ICT (CICT). The sale will be accompanied by a company buyback and a private transaction.
Warburg had earlier sold in the IPO and then in Nov 21, and this trade will be a cleanup.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework.


Converge ICT Placement - Clean-Up and Buyback, Just in Time for the Index Inclusion

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

Citicore Energy REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citicore-energy-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35451:1" rel="noopener">Citicore Energy REIT (CREIT PM)</a> is looking to raise around US$170m in its Philippines IPO.</li>
<li>The initial portfolio will consist of the Clark Solar Power Plant, Armenia Property, Toledo Property, Silay Property, and the Dalayap Property, which had a total appraised valuation of PHP10.9bn (US$214.3m)</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss the REIT’s assets and lease structures.</li>
</ul>



Citicore Energy REIT (CREIT PM) is looking to raise around US$170m in its Philippines IPO.
The initial portfolio will consist of the Clark Solar Power Plant, Armenia Property, Toledo Property, Silay Property, and the Dalayap Property, which had a total appraised valuation of PHP10.9bn (US$214.3m)
In this note, we discuss the REIT’s assets and lease structures.


Citicore Energy REIT IPO - First of Its Kind Listing in Phils with Stable Income Generation

Philippines

Robinsons Land Corporation invests in and develops real estate. The Company develops residential housing and commercial real estate and operates shopping malls and hotels.

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Robinsons Land Co (RLC PM)

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Float Increases to Drive Changes & Flow

There could be 1 or 2 changes in Feb with high impact of passive trading. Creative increases in float will result in high impact passive buying....

Brian Freitas

Emperador Secondary Listing - Driven by Whisky, Supported by Brandy

Emperador (Emp) is looking to raise up to US$750m via a secondary listing in Singapore. In this note, we look at the company's past performance.

Sumeet Singh

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: SCC Likely Replaces SECB

We see Semirara Mining (SCC) replacing Security Bank (SECB) at the August rebalance of the PCOMP Index. Passive trackers will need to buy over 5...

Brian Freitas

Converge ICT Placement - Clean-Up and Buyback, Just in Time for the Index Inclusion

Warburg Pincus, aims to raise around US$138m via selling its 3.6% in Converge ICT (CICT). The sale will be accompanied by a company buyback and a...

Sumeet Singh

Citicore Energy REIT IPO - First of Its Kind Listing in Phils with Stable Income Generation

Citicore Energy REIT (CREIT PM) is looking to raise around US$170m in its Philippines IPO. Citicore Energy REIT is a Philippine REIT with a focus...

Clarence Chu

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