Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p style="text-align: justify;">Emerging markets remain leadership. While many of the world's developed markets in correction or consolidation mode, EM markets continue to remain immune to the disruption occurring elsewhere.  Price and relative strength uptrends intact remain, and we reiterate our overweight recommendation.  In today’s report we provide a collection of the better looking company charts across the emerging markets universe.</p>

Emerging markets remain leadership. While many of the world's developed markets in correction or consolidation mode, EM markets continue to remain immune to the disruption occurring elsewhere.  Price and relative strength uptrends intact remain, and we reiterate our overweight recommendation.  In today’s report we provide a collection of the better looking company charts across the emerging markets universe.

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Event-Driven

<h2>Qualcomm says "NO" to Broadcom</h2><p>After we have highlighted two major challenges (antitrust scrutiny issue and Qualcomm's shareholders to ask much more) ahead in our earlier report " <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/broadcom-is-buying-qualcomm-two-major-challenges-ahead-to-close-the-deal" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:15027">Broadcom Is Buying Qualcomm; Two Major Challenges Ahead to Close the Deal</a> " dated 5 November 2017, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/969" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1">Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)</a> today announced its board of directors unanimously rejected <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/998" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:998:1">Broadcom Limited (AVGO US)</a> 's unsolicited proposal due to the followings.</p><ul><li>
<strong>Undervalue</strong>: Significantly undervalues Qualcomm for its leadership…</li></ul>

Qualcomm says "NO" to BroadcomAfter we have highlighted two major challenges (antitrust scrutiny issue and Qualcomm's shareholders to ask much more) ahead in our earlier report " Broadcom Is Buying Qualcomm; Two Major Challenges Ahead to Close the Deal " dated 5 November 2017, Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) today announced its board of directors unanimously rejected Broadcom Limited (AVGO US) 's unsolicited proposal due to the followings.
Undervalue: Significantly undervalues Qualcomm for its leadership…

Qualcomm Says "NO" To Broadcom; Raise Price with a Proxy Fight?

<h2><strong>Summary</strong></h2><p><em>We believe the merger news is somehow reliable as Broadcom CEO Hock Tan said at TSMC's 30th Anniversary Celebration Forum on October 23 that only strong IP portfolio and financial position can defend its market share against cloud vendors which are trying to take away semiconductor design value. Therefore, by buying Qualcomm/NXP, Broadcom can strengthen its IP portfolio into 3G/4G/5G baseband/modem, WiFi, Bluetooth, 3D sensing, NFC, and automotive semiconductor IP and enhance its</em>…</p>

SummaryWe believe the merger news is somehow reliable as Broadcom CEO Hock Tan said at TSMC's 30th Anniversary Celebration Forum on October 23 that only strong IP portfolio and financial position can defend its market share against cloud vendors which are trying to take away semiconductor design value. Therefore, by buying Qualcomm/NXP, Broadcom can strengthen its IP portfolio into 3G/4G/5G baseband/modem, WiFi, Bluetooth, 3D sensing, NFC, and automotive semiconductor IP and enhance its…

Broadcom Is Buying Qualcomm; Two Major Challenges Ahead to Close the Deal

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Summary</h2><ul>
<li><em>Starting October 13, 2016, TSMC will be the first company to report 3Q16 results and provide 4Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings season. Driven by iPhone 7, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/666" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a> Watch 2 production built, open market smartphones in emerging countries, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/191" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1">Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930 KS)</a> Note 7 battery problem, our 3Q16 sales report takeaways suggest y/y strengths in foundry and fabless vendors and q/q strengths in Apple's touch panel/pressure sensor and OEM/EMS vendors.  </em></li>
<li>
<em>On</em>…</li>
</ul>

Summary
Starting October 13, 2016, TSMC will be the first company to report 3Q16 results and provide 4Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings season. Driven by iPhone 7, Apple Inc (AAPL US) Watch 2 production built, open market smartphones in emerging countries, and Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930 KS) Note 7 battery problem, our 3Q16 sales report takeaways suggest y/y strengths in foundry and fabless vendors and q/q strengths in Apple's touch panel/pressure sensor and OEM/EMS vendors.  

On…


Taiwan Semi/Tech 3Q Sales Takeaway as an Early Indicator for Global Tech Earnings

<p><em>Despite recent strong performance (17% ytd) across US and Taiwan semiconductor index, we are turning a bit cautious here because Taiwan Semi/Tech July sales are somehow below seasonal and below our expectations. If analysts start to factor in 3-4% appreciation on NT$ against US starting July, earnings prospects in 2H16 for semi and tech companies might not be as strong as market estimated earlier. In conclusion, we believe not much sales momentum left over before we see a seasonal semiconductor</em>…</p>

Despite recent strong performance (17% ytd) across US and Taiwan semiconductor index, we are turning a bit cautious here because Taiwan Semi/Tech July sales are somehow below seasonal and below our expectations. If analysts start to factor in 3-4% appreciation on NT$ against US starting July, earnings prospects in 2H16 for semi and tech companies might not be as strong as market estimated earlier. In conclusion, we believe not much sales momentum left over before we see a seasonal semiconductor…

Insights from Taiwan Semi/Tech July Sales

Taiwan

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

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Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT)

Attractive EM Charts

Emerging markets remain leadership. While many of the world's developed markets in correction or consolidation mode, EM markets continue to remain...

Vermilion Research

Qualcomm Says "NO" To Broadcom; Raise Price with a Proxy Fight?

Qualcomm says "NO" to BroadcomAfter we have highlighted two major challenges (antitrust scrutiny issue and Qualcomm's shareholders to ask much...

Andrew Lu

Broadcom Is Buying Qualcomm; Two Major Challenges Ahead to Close the Deal

SummaryWe believe the merger news is somehow reliable as Broadcom CEO Hock Tan said at TSMC's 30th Anniversary Celebration Forum on October 23 that...

Andrew Lu

Taiwan Semi/Tech 3Q Sales Takeaway as an Early Indicator for Global Tech Earnings

Summary Starting October 13, 2016, TSMC will be the first company to report 3Q16 results and provide 4Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings...

Andrew Lu

Insights from Taiwan Semi/Tech July Sales

Despite recent strong performance (17% ytd) across US and Taiwan semiconductor index, we are turning a bit cautious here because Taiwan Semi/Tech...

Andrew Lu

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