External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>PGCIL: PGCIL’s consolidated asset capitalisation in Q1FY23 declined 76.2% YoY to INR13.5bn, on a high YoY base, while consolidated Capex went up 33.5% YoY to INR14.8bn</li><li>On a standalone basis, capitalisation/Capex came in at INR13.3bn/INR7.6bn</li><li>Q1FY23 revenue increased 6.8% YoY, led by moderate growth in transmission segment (+5.5% YoY) and strong growth in the telecom (+60.1% YoY) and consultancy (+53.2% YoY) segments</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PGCIL: PGCIL’s consolidated asset capitalisation in Q1FY23 declined 76.2% YoY to INR13.5bn, on a high YoY base, while consolidated Capex went up 33.5% YoY to INR14.8bnOn a standalone basis, capitalisation/Capex came in at INR13.3bn/INR7.6bnQ1FY23 revenue increased 6.8% YoY, led by moderate growth in transmission segment (+5.5% YoY) and strong growth in the telecom (+60.1% YoY) and consultancy (+53.2% YoY) segmentsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: PGCIL, ABB India, Cummins, Bharat Forge

<ul><li>Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 9/4% on three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/4% on three-year CAGR in revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY23 (vs 5/3% in Q1FY22 and 8/6% in Q4FY22)</li><li>Demand continued to be weak due to the elevated commodity pressure impacting affordability (particular in rural)</li><li>Thereby, the industry is witnessing a similar volume decline in Q1FY23 as seen in Q4FY22.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 9/4% on three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/4% on three-year CAGR in revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY23 (vs 5/3% in Q1FY22 and 8/6% in Q4FY22)Demand continued to be weak due to the elevated commodity pressure impacting affordability (particular in rural)Thereby, the industry is witnessing a similar volume decline in Q1FY23 as seen in Q4FY22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev - Sustaining Pressure on Demand and Margin

<ul><li>Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 9/4% on three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/4% on three-year CAGR in revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY23 (vs. 5/3% in Q1FY22 and 8/6% in Q4FY22).</li><li>Gross margin YoY pressures continue in Q1FY23: Commodity pressure continued into Q1FY23, impacting the margin (even sequentially).</li><li>Three-year CAGR: Our coverage universe is expected to deliver 9/4% three- year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs in Q1.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 9/4% on three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/4% on three-year CAGR in revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY23 (vs. 5/3% in Q1FY22 and 8/6% in Q4FY22).Gross margin YoY pressures continue in Q1FY23: Commodity pressure continued into Q1FY23, impacting the margin (even sequentially).Three-year CAGR: Our coverage universe is expected to deliver 9/4% three- year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs in Q1.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev -  Sustaining Pressure on Demand and Margin

<ul><li>Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 8/9%: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/9% YoY in revenue/EBITDA in Q4FY22 (vs 24/22% in Q4FY21 and 16/12% in Q3FY22)</li><li>Inflationary pressure continued to disrupt demand in both urban and rural India; however, rural volume growth was weaker than urban</li><li>Volume growth has been decelerating even on 2/3 year CAGR (demand pressure, grammage reduction); however, downtrading was not witnessed</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 8/9%: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/9% YoY in revenue/EBITDA in Q4FY22 (vs 24/22% in Q4FY21 and 16/12% in Q3FY22)Inflationary pressure continued to disrupt demand in both urban and rural India; however, rural volume growth was weaker than urbanVolume growth has been decelerating even on 2/3 year CAGR (demand pressure, grammage reduction); however, downtrading was not witnessedContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev: Rural Demand Struggles; Margin Pressures Continue

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Astral: We maintain our REDUCE rating on Astral with a revised TP of INR 2,180/sh (34x its Dec-23E consolidated EBITDA, implying 53x P/E)</li><li>Aarti Industries: We maintain our BUY recommendation on Aarti Industries (AIL) with a target price of INR 1,380/share</li><li>Aditya Birla Capital: We maintain BUY on ABCL with a revised SOTP-based TP of INR157 and initiate coverage on ABSLAMC with a target price of INR720</li></ul><div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

Astral: We maintain our REDUCE rating on Astral with a revised TP of INR 2,180/sh (34x its Dec-23E consolidated EBITDA, implying 53x P/E)Aarti Industries: We maintain our BUY recommendation on Aarti Industries (AIL) with a target price of INR 1,380/shareAditya Birla Capital: We maintain BUY on ABCL with a revised SOTP-based TP of INR157 and initiate coverage on ABSLAMC with a target price of INR720Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Astral, Aarti Industries , Aditya Birla Capital, Narayana Health, Radico...

India

Radico Khaitan Ltd. produces and distributes branded liquor.   The Company operates molasses and grain distilleries and produces whiskey, rum, brandy, and vodka.  Radico also produces country liquor and extra neutral alcohol.

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Radico Khaitan (RDCK IN)

HSIE Results Daily: PGCIL, ABB India, Cummins, Bharat Forge

PGCIL: PGCIL’s consolidated asset capitalisation in Q1FY23 declined 76.2% YoY to INR13.5bn, on a high YoY base, while consolidated Capex went up...

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev - Sustaining Pressure on Demand and Margin

Demand continued to be weak due to the elevated commodity pressure impacting affordability (particular in rural). Thereby, the industry is...

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev - Sustaining Pressure on Demand and Margin

Gross margin YoY pressures continue in Q1FY23: Commodity pressure continued into Q1FY23, impacting the margin (even sequentially).

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev: Rural Demand Struggles; Margin Pressures Continue

Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 8/9%: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 8/9% YoY in revenue/EBITDA in Q4FY22...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Astral, Aarti Industries , Aditya Birla Capital, Narayana Health, Radico...

Prince Pipes: We maintain our BUY rating on Prince Pipes, with an unchanged target price of INR 940/sh (18.5x its Dec-23E EBITDA, implying 31x P...

HDFC Securities

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