Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>U.S. expands China chip restrictions -- Implementing lower performance thresholds and further restricting sales via third party countries.</li>
<li>Intel and AMD chips likely also impacted, as well as equipment from ASML, Lam, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron and others. We will learn more today from Lam and ASML results.</li>
<li>Taiwan AI Plays also to be impacted -- Shares of Wistron, Quanta, Gold Circuit, Asia Vital Gigabyte, Super Micro, Alchip appear precarious.</li>
</ul>


U.S. expands China chip restrictions -- Implementing lower performance thresholds and further restricting sales via third party countries.
Intel and AMD chips likely also impacted, as well as equipment from ASML, Lam, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron and others. We will learn more today from Lam and ASML results.
Taiwan AI Plays also to be impacted -- Shares of Wistron, Quanta, Gold Circuit, Asia Vital Gigabyte, Super Micro, Alchip appear precarious.


U.S. Expands China Chip Restrictions: Taiwan AI Names Most at Risk of Pullback

<ul>
<li>Taiwan's AI supply chain names have fallen over the last month, yet many have still outperformed Nvidia by a wide margin over the last six months.</li>
<li>We don't want to sell our Nvidia despite market risks -- We believe a basket of Taiwan AI stocks can act as a Short to hedge a Long Nvidia position.</li>
<li>Shorting a basket of Wistron, Quanta, Gold Circuit, and Asia Vital Components can act as a hedge vs. a Long Nvidia position. Below we explain why.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan's AI supply chain names have fallen over the last month, yet many have still outperformed Nvidia by a wide margin over the last six months.
We don't want to sell our Nvidia despite market risks -- We believe a basket of Taiwan AI stocks can act as a Short to hedge a Long Nvidia position.
Shorting a basket of Wistron, Quanta, Gold Circuit, and Asia Vital Components can act as a hedge vs. a Long Nvidia position. Below we explain why.


Taiwan AI Supply Chain Names: Four AI Plays to Short as Hedge Vs. An Nvidia Long

<ul>
<li>Nvidia will report its earnings today U.S.-time, we outline the key Taiwan AI supply chain names to watch around the earnings.</li>
<li>TSMC has maintained its full-year revenue guidance despite media reports questioning whether a further downgrade was coming.</li>
<li>Hon Hai produces over 50% of Nvidia's AI hardware according to media reports.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia will report its earnings today U.S.-time, we outline the key Taiwan AI supply chain names to watch around the earnings.
TSMC has maintained its full-year revenue guidance despite media reports questioning whether a further downgrade was coming.
Hon Hai produces over 50% of Nvidia's AI hardware according to media reports.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Supply Chain Names to Watch for Nvidia's Earnings Today

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

<ul>
<li>Q1’23 revenues of $7.19 billion, down 13% from a year ago but up 19% sequentially and ~10% higher than the guided midpoint.</li>
<li>Current quarter outlook for revenues of $11 billion, a ~55% sequential increase, sparked mayhem in the markets and sent NVIDIA’s stock soaring over 24% in after hours trading</li>
<li>Don't go chasing waterfalls, there are many other ways to rise with the tide</li>
</ul>


Q1’23 revenues of $7.19 billion, down 13% from a year ago but up 19% sequentially and ~10% higher than the guided midpoint.
Current quarter outlook for revenues of $11 billion, a ~55% sequential increase, sparked mayhem in the markets and sent NVIDIA’s stock soaring over 24% in after hours trading
Don't go chasing waterfalls, there are many other ways to rise with the tide


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Ase Industrial, Mitac, Bizlink, Wistron, Alchip Technologies, Lite-On Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 15th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Ase Industrial, Mitac, Bizlink, Wistron, Alchip Technologies, Lite-On Technology.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 15th): Wiwynn, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Ase Industrial, Mitac

Taiwan

Quanta Computer Inc. manufactures and markets notebook computers and related peripheral equipment.

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Quanta Computer (2382 TT)

U.S. Expands China Chip Restrictions: Taiwan AI Names Most at Risk of Pullback

Intel and AMD chips likely also impacted, as well as equipment from ASML, Lam, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron and others. Rather than sell...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan AI Supply Chain Names: Four AI Plays to Short as Hedge Vs. An Nvidia Long

Taiwan's AI supply chain names have fallen over the last month, yet many have still outperformed Nvidia by a wide margin over the last six months.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Supply Chain Names to Watch for Nvidia's Earnings Today

Also -- TSMC has maintained its full-year revenue guidance and Hon Hai is said to produce over 50% of Nvidia's AI hardware.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

NVIDIA. Yikes! Have We Missed The Boat?

Q1’23 revenues of $7.19 billion, -13% YoY but up +19% QoQ. Q2'23 outlook @ $11 billion, a ~55% QoQ increase. NVIDIA may be the gold rush, but picks...

William Keating

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 15th): Wiwynn, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Ase Industrial, Mitac

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Wiwynn, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Ase...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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