External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Geojit BNP Paribas

Geojit

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>PVR Ltd owns and operates multiplexes across 21 States and UT's with 846 screens (including 9 in Colombo). Major income segments for them are Box office, Food &amp; Beverage (F&amp;B;) and Advertisement (Ad). PVR reported revenue of Rs.59cr (Q4FY21-Rs.181cr) from core operations as Covid second wave impacted Q1FY22 operations significantly. 63% of total screens are permitted to operate with various restrictions...</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

PVR Ltd owns and operates multiplexes across 21 States and UT's with 846 screens (including 9 in Colombo). Major income segments for them are Box office, Food &amp; Beverage (F&amp;B;) and Advertisement (Ad). PVR reported revenue of Rs.59cr (Q4FY21-Rs.181cr) from core operations as Covid second wave impacted Q1FY22 operations significantly. 63% of total screens are permitted to operate with various restrictions...Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PVR Ltd: Cinemas Reopened; Third Wave Fear Persist

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Interglobe Aviation (Indigo)’s board approved a fund raising of around US$400m (INR30,000m) on 10th May 2021. </p><p>This is the second time over the past year that the company has obtained a board approval for undertaking a fund raising. The previous instance was in Aug 2020, when the board approved a fundraising of up to INR40,000m. However, the quicker than expected recovery since then meant that the company never raised the funds and in Jan 2021, its CFO stated that it had no intention of doing so either.</p><p>However, the brutal COVID-19 second wave in India probably led to a change of heart. In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics. </p>

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo)’s board approved a fund raising of around US$400m (INR30,000m) on 10th May 2021. This is the second time over the past year that the company has obtained a board approval for undertaking a fund raising. The previous instance was in Aug 2020, when the board approved a fundraising of up to INR40,000m. However, the quicker than expected recovery since then meant that the company never raised the funds and in Jan 2021, its CFO stated that it had no intention of doing so either.However, the brutal COVID-19 second wave in India probably led to a change of heart. In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics. 

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) QIP Early Look - Headwinds Lead to a Change of Heart

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<h3>In this Insight </h3>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:733:1" rel="noopener">Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)</a>: Although very early considering the current uncertainty, based on initiation channel feedback, we take a shot at estimating possible trends in wholesale and retail for FY22.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pvr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10144:1" rel="noopener">PVR Ltd (PVRL IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inox-leisure-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1999:1" rel="noopener">Inox Leisure (INOL IN)</a>: We expect a ~10% reduction in the number of screens due to this pandemic, however, we do not see any material impact of the same on ATPs (expecting them to remain lower). </p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/computer-age-management-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28843:1" rel="noopener">Computer Age Management Services (CAMS IN)</a>: Flows mixed, but digitization tailwind could aid revenue growth. Currently, our channels indicate no material stress in terms of SIP flows. </p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marico-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16903:1" rel="noopener">Marico Ltd (MRCO IN)</a>: Our channels reiterate the strong growth prospects for edible oil. Tailwinds remain and players like MRCO are likely to benefit with volumes expected to remain buoyant. </p>
<h3>About India Channel Insight</h3>
<div>
<p>Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets can potentially be signals for larger themes/ideas emerging out of these interactions.  </p>
</div>

In this Insight 
Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN): Although very early considering the current uncertainty, based on initiation channel feedback, we take a shot at estimating possible trends in wholesale and retail for FY22.
PVR Ltd (PVRL IN) &amp; Inox Leisure (INOL IN): We expect a ~10% reduction in the number of screens due to this pandemic, however, we do not see any material impact of the same on ATPs (expecting them to remain lower). 
Computer Age Management Services (CAMS IN): Flows mixed, but digitization tailwind could aid revenue growth. Currently, our channels indicate no material stress in terms of SIP flows. 
Marico Ltd (MRCO IN): Our channels reiterate the strong growth prospects for edible oil. Tailwinds remain and players like MRCO are likely to benefit with volumes expected to remain buoyant. 
About India Channel Insight

Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets can potentially be signals for larger themes/ideas emerging out of these interactions.  


India Channel Insight | Maruti, PVR, Inox, CAMS, Marico

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.</p><p>The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.</p><p>In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.</p><p>Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.</p>

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Forensic Accounting

<p>As promised at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/smartkarma-webinar-accounting-and-insider-diagnostics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40146" rel="noopener">Smartkarma Webinar | Accounting and Insider Diagnostics</a>, we have extended our forensic analysis model to India. <em>To learn more about our detailed forensic analysis framework, please refer to our original note on forensic analysis model that caters to Developed Asia at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/a-forensic-analysis-tool-for-detecting-accounting-red-flags-focus-on-developed-asia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:36832" rel="noopener">A Forensic Analysis Tool for Detecting Accounting Red Flags: Focus on Developed Asia</a>.</em></p>
<p>In this insight, we run our forensic analysis model through our India focused universe that comprises of 141 listed Indian companies that have futures available for shorting on NSE. We score these Indian listed companies to identify high-risk accounting candidates.</p>

As promised at Smartkarma Webinar | Accounting and Insider Diagnostics, we have extended our forensic analysis model to India. To learn more about our detailed forensic analysis framework, please refer to our original note on forensic analysis model that caters to Developed Asia at A Forensic Analysis Tool for Detecting Accounting Red Flags: Focus on Developed Asia.
In this insight, we run our forensic analysis model through our India focused universe that comprises of 141 listed Indian companies that have futures available for shorting on NSE. We score these Indian listed companies to identify high-risk accounting candidates.

Forensic Accounting | High Risk Companies in India

India

PVR INOX Limited operates cinemas. The Company owns and manages multiplex movie theaters.

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Pvr Inox (PVRINOX IN)

PVR Ltd: Cinemas Reopened; Third Wave Fear Persist

PVR Ltd owns and operates multiplexes across 21 States and UT's with 846 screens (including 9 in Colombo). Major income segments for them are Box...

Geojit

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) QIP Early Look - Headwinds Lead to a Change of Heart

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo)’s board approved a fund raising of around US$400m on 10th May 2021. This is the second time over the past year that...

Sumeet Singh

India Channel Insight | Maruti, PVR, Inox, CAMS, Marico

Channel interactions are an integral part of our research process. For this insight, we interact with channels and share our views on the likely...

Pranav Bhavsar

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

The reclassification of stocks to large, mid and small cap will set off a churn in mutual fund portfolios where historically stocks migrating...

Brian Freitas

Forensic Accounting | High Risk Companies in India

As promised at Smartkarma Webinar | Accounting and Insider Diagnostics, we have extended our forensic analysis model to India. To learn more about...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

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