Risk: Dealing With Known-Unknowns
As any parent will confirm, teenagers know one thing. Unfortunately, it is “every”-thing. The rest of the population, by contrast, recognizes and...
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The Balance Sheet on QE
When quantitative easing (QE) was introduced in 2008, it was seen as a panacea for many economic ills. But eight years on there is a mountain of...
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The Confidence "Interval"
Europe’s banking sector is back in the spotlight – and, once again, it is for less than positive reasons. Unlike earlier episodes, however, the...
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ANIMAL SPIRITS Update: OPEC Fuels Base Effect - Oil, Inflation & The Fed, Yields, Financials and EM
Executive Summary OPEC production cut plan supports our macro thesis of an oil-led, inflation expectations uplift. Our original WTI peak base...
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Financial Services Observer: Solving the Interest Rate Equation
Trends in Technology, Demographics, and Borrowing Will Set the Course of Rates We hypothesise that three main factors will determine the future...
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